EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION CENTER
This page has material aimed at describing the results and derived merit of the forecasting efforts using solar and terrestrial signals. Here you will find videos describing the real-world events and coincident forecasting, a chart showing all the largest events and forecast results since model inception, and directly below this paragraph, a full list of the daily forecasts, fault cover, earthquake events and notes.
The videos below show some of the results of the forecasting and descriptions of the factors used to make the forecasts.
November 30, 2016 - The Consecutive Hit Streak
The Earthquake Prediction Center at QuakeWatch.net is the home of the study of pre-seismic signals, and the practice of earthquake forecasting. The Earthquake Prediction Center at QuakeWatch.net is a division of SpaceWeatherNews and is supported by a collective of nearly 300,000 people. The model was formulated by performing a thorough survey and review of the available literature on pre-seismic signals like foreshock patterns, ground ion changes, atmospheric and electromagnetic factors, and the most robust and reliably-available factors were chosen to combine into a real-world-practice model that seeks to use these factors to actively reduce the global active fault area by 80 to 90%, finding the 10 to 20% of of earth most at-risk of a large and significant earthquake at that time (usually M6+). The model has been successfully predicting the location of these large earthquakes, within that 10 to 20%, approximately 80% of the time.
The chart below shows all M6+ ‘significant’ earthquakes (as defined by the USGS), in decreasing order of magnitude, and whether or not the forecast struck the alerted region. The forecasting began on October 15, 2016.
Currently, the earthquake alert maps are posted daily to The Disaster Prediction App, with screen-shots posted to our twitter feed.