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115 ptslesterJanuary 1, 2021 at 3:00 am #10026
Prediction for an eruptive / explosive event from Mt Etna volcano in Sicily, Italy … 14’59’E – 37’45’N
Secondary prediction for Mt Stromboli volcano in the Eolian Islands, Italy … 15’12’E – 37’48’N
Period: From 03:00 UTC January 1, for 5 days
According to EMSC records, southern regions close to Mt Etna volcano experiences a total of 15 seismic events, ranging from 2.0 to 4.2 during 31st December. The T sequence is displaying the moons longitude position as 130’39’E at 16:41:39 UTC… Mt Sakurajima volcano resides on this longitude. At “12-hours” later 04:41:39 UTC 1st January, the ATB threshold is located on both Mt Etna and Mt Stromboli volcanoes. Further to this, an M 5.4 event occurred on the Southern Mid Atlantic Ridge at 00:40:36 UTC 1st January. The moon was located on longitude 15’15’E.
Whilst the moon was located within the vicinity of these volcanoes at 00:40:36 UTC, it correlated with several usual suspects including; Sun located on longitude 170’43’E Loyalty Islands… Moonrise on Vinogradov Fracture Zone, South of Bristol Island, South Sandwich Islands. At “12-hours earlier 12:40:36 UTC 31st December,it was moonrise off the coast of Padang, Western Sumatra, and the Andaman Island region !
Thank you
Score: 0115 pts115 pts115 pts115 ptslesterJanuary 6, 2021 at 6:40 pm #10060Observed… M 5.5 South Sumatra 17:28:35 UTC. At 17:29 UTC 6th Jan, the ATE threshold was located on Mt Etna volcano. On 7th Jan the ATE threshold will be located on Mt Stromboli volcano at 17:28 UTC = 24-hours !
Continuing this forecast for 5 days from 18:40 UTC January 6
Frequent activity may be expected from Mt Etna volcano during the coming days, so focus is with Mt Stromboli volcano for the duration of this posted forecast period !
Score: 0115 pts115 ptslesterJanuary 13, 2021 at 12:40 am #10092Observed… M 5.9 North coast of Papua, Indonesia 18:17:39 UTC -12-hours = sunrise on Mt Stromboli volcano 06:17 UTC.
The T sequence…
Between dates 1st – 16th Jan, the ATB threshold is located on Mt Stromboli volcano, during the stated duration at 04:42 UTC. The same arrangement also applies to Mt Etna volcano between dates 4th – 14th Jan.
On 12th Jan at 17:34 UTC, the ATE threshold will be located on Mt Etna volcano, and “12-hours” later 05:34 UTC 13th Jan, it will be moonset on Mt Ebeko volcano in the northern Kuril Islands.
On 13th Jan at 11:08 UTC, the sun will be located on longitude 15’12’E Mt Stromboli… and it will be moonset on Mt Semeru volcano in Java, Indonesia.
On 13th Jan at 16:42:52 UTC (“12-hours”) the moon will be located on 61’10’W… Mt Pelee and La Soufriere volcanoes.
On 13th Jan at 17:35 UTC, the ATE threshold will be located on Mt Etna, and the RLT (moonrise) will be located on mauna Loa volcano in Hawaii.
On 14th Jan at 11:08 UTC, the sun will be located on longitude 15’17’E, and “12-hours” later at 23:08 UTC (Ref; Mt Semeru forecast !), it will be moonrise on Mt Ebeko volcano.
On 8th Jan at 15:59 UTC, it was sunset on Mt Etna volcano, at “12-hours” earlier 03:59 UTC, it was sunset on Mt Kilauea volcano in Hawaii. This sunset / 12-hour correlation continued between Mt Etna and Mt Kilauea until 16:02 UTC 12th Jan. At 16:01 UTC 10th Jan, it was also accompanied by moonrise in Port-villa, Vanuatu !
Continuing this forecast for 5 days from 00:40 UTC January 13 … focus applies to both volcanoes !
Score: 0115 pts115 ptslesterJanuary 14, 2021 at 1:00 am #10096Observed… M 5.2 Tobelo, Indonesia 17:33:03 UTC 13th Jan. At the time of this event, the RLT (moonrise) was located on Mt Kilauea volcano in Hawaii, and the ATE threshold was located on Mt Stromboli. At “12-hours” earlier 05:33:03 UTC, it was moonset on Mt Ebeko volcano in the northern Kuril Islands.
This was the only 5+ event to occur during Wednesday 13th January !
Score: 0115 ptslesterJanuary 17, 2021 at 9:14 pm #10109A Stronger Influence…
On a majority of days during the month of January, the ATB threshold (Astronomical Twilight Begins) will be located on Mt Etna and Mt Stromboli volcanoes, Theory goes that two active volcanoes working in tandem, may produce a stronger influential attraction. The following table is a guide of when this unity occurs, and includes : Date, ATB time on Mt Etna, followed by ATB time on Mt Stromboli…
1st Jan – 04:41 UTC – 04:42 UTC
2nd Jan – 04:41 UTC – 04:42 UTC
3rd Jan – 04:41 UTC – 04:42 UTC
4th Jan – 04:42 UTC – 04:42 UTC *
5th Jan – 04:42 UTC – 04:42 UTC *
6th Jan – 04:42 UTC – 04:42 UTC *
7th Jan – 04:42 UTC – 04:42 UTC *
8th Jan – 04:42 UTC – 04:42 UTC *
9th Jan – 04:42 UTC – 04:42 UTC *
10th Jan – 04:42 UTC – 04:42 UTC *
11th Jan – 04:42 UTC – 04:42 UTC *
12th Jan – 04:42 UTC – 04:42 UTC *
13th Jan – 04:42 UTC – 04:42 UTC *
14th Jan – 04:42 UTC – 04:42 UTC *
15th Jan – 04:41 UTC – 04:42 UTC
16th Jan – 04:41 UTC – 04:42 UTC
17th Jan – 04:41 UTC – 04:41 UTC *
18th Jan – 04:41 UTC – 04:41 UTC *
19th Jan – 04:40 UTC – 04:41 UTC
20th Jan – 04:40 UTC – 04:40 UTC *
21st Jan – 04:40 UTC – 04:40 UTC *
22nd Jan – 04:39 UTC – 04:40 UTC
23rd Jan – 04:39 UTC – 04:39 UTC *
24th Jan – 04:38 UTC – 04:39 UTC
25th Jan – 04:38 UTC – 04:38 UTC *
26th Jan – 04:37 UTC – 04:38 UTC
27th Jan – 04:37 UTC – 04:37 UTC *
28th Jan – 04:36 UTC – 04:36 UTC *
29th Jan – 04:36 UTC – 04:36 UTC *
30th Jan – 04:35 UTC – 04:35 UTC *
31st Jan – 04:34 UTC – 04:34 UTC *On Saturday 16th January at 10:24 UTC, an eruptive event occurred from Mt Semeru volcano in East Java, Indonesia. The following table is an indication of future relations between Mt Etna, Mt Stromboli, and Mt Semeru volcanoes. The columns represent; Data, ATB time on Mt Etna (E), ATB time on Mt Stromboli (S), and the suns longitude position within 15 minutes of Arc from Mt Semeru on longitude 112’55’E…
19th Jan – 04:40 UTC – 112’41’E – E
20th Jan – 04:40 UTC – 112’45’E – E + S
21st Jan – 04:40 UTC – 112’50’E – E + S
22nd Jan – 04:40 UTC – 112’54’E – SThis indicates that on 20th – 21st Jan, Mt Semeru volcano may be working in tandem with Mt Etna and Mt Stromboli… three volcanoes !
In this next table, it gives indication of past “12-hour” relations between Mt Etna volcano, and the three noted volcanoes of Hawaii. The columns represent: Date, Sunset time on Mt Etna, and Sunset time on respective volcanoes in Hawaii at “12-hours” earlier…
8th Jan – 15:59 UTC – 03:59 UTC = Mt Kilauea – Mauna Kea
9th Jan – 16:00 UTC – 04:00 UTC = Mt Kilauea – Mauna Kea
10th Jan – 16:01 UTC – 04:01 UTC = Mt Kilauea – Mauna Kea
11th Jan – 16:01 UTC – 04:01 UTC = Mt Kilauea – Mauna Kea
12th Jan – 16:02 UTC – 04:02 UTC = Mt kilauea – Mauna Kea
13th Jan – 16:03 UTC – 04:03 UTC = Mauna Loa – Mauna Kea
14th Jan – 16:04 UTC – 04:04 UTC = Mauna Loa – Mauna Kea
15th Jan – 16:05 UTC – 04:05 UTC = Mauna Loa
16th Jan – 16:06 UTC – 04:06 UTC = Mauna LoaOn Tuesday the 12th January at 16:42 UTC, it was moonrise on Mauna Loa volcano, and this was also the time that an ATB unity was ongoing between Mt Etna and Mt Stromboli volcanoes. On 13th January, the HVO reporeted that a resunption of lava fountaining was occurring at Mt kilauea volcano ! (posted above; Jan 13 11:51 am).
On 15th Jan at 16:10:50 UTC, an M 5.9 event occurred off the coastline of Guatemala. During late May of 2018, whilst in collaboration with my good friend “Counselor”, determined satellite data as being related to pre seismic activity. It was a successful effort as an M 5.2 event occurred on 4th June at 15:06:45 UTC. It was unfortunate however that on the day before at 18:00 UTC, an eruptive event occurred from Mt Fuego volcano in Guatemala, killing 446 people. It was then debatable whether the satellite data related to seismicity, or volcanism… the latter option seemed to be the favoured choice. I have learned a few new tricks since then, and hope that I can stay one step ahead of the future Fuego scenarios… an event forever ingrained in my memory !
This leads on to the next table that signifies the relations between Mt Etna and Mt Stromboli in Italy, with those of Mt Fuego and Mt Pacaya in Guatemala. This first section relates to sunset on Mt Etna (E) and Mt Stromboli (S), and the suns longitude position, within 15 minutes of Arc of Mt Fuego (F) on longitude 90’52’W, and Mt Pacaya (P) on longitude 90’36’W, at “12-hours” later !
15th Jan – 06:14 UTC – 18:14 UTC – 91’06’W – E +12 = F
16th Jan – 06:14 UTC – 18:14 UTC – 91’01’W – E +12 = F
17th Jan – 06:14 UTC – 18:14 UTC – 90’56’W – E +12 = F & P
18th Jan – 06:13 UTC – 18:13 UTC – 90’36’W – E +12 = P
18th Jan – 06:15 UTC – 18:15 UTC – 91’06’W – S +12 = F
19th Jan – 06:13 UTC – 18:13 UTC – 90’32’W – E +12 = P
19th Jan – 06:14 UTC – 18:14 UTC – 90’47’W – S +12 = F & P
20th Jan – 06:14 UTC – 18:14 UTC – 90’42’W – S +12 = F & PThese tables do not signify that elevated activity is a foregone conclusion at any of the aforementioned volcanoes. These relationships occur at the same time every year… therefore Mt Fuego volcano does not erupt during the third week of January year after year because it had relations with Mt Etna. It is the intervention of significant seismic correlations, that begins the process of attraction. Or in some cases, the instigating factor can be the ephemeral time points related to lunar phases and positional alignments. It is simply a question of taking an active volcano, and running a T Sequence to see if any other potential eruptive volcanoes are in the same neighbourhood !
Score: 0115 pts115 ptslesterJanuary 18, 2021 at 8:42 pm #10121Observed…
18th Jan at 13:10 UTC – Eruption from Mt Sinabung volcano … -12-hours = ATE threshold located on Mt Fuego volcano in Guatemala… Oops !
18th Jan at 17:40:22 UTC – M 5.3 South of the Kermadec Islands = ATE threshold located on Mt Etna
Kermadec’s is a VC ALERT target, but this particular event did not reach the required magnitude !
Score: 0115 pts115 pts115 ptslesterJanuary 20, 2021 at 1:46 am #10129” Heading for another paroxysm in the next few hours…… ”
Yes, I agree… and probably at one of the 20th January times listed in Mt Pelee watch forecast !
Observed… Eruption from Mt Suwanosejima volcano 22:33 UTC 19th Jan = Sun located on longitude 155’31’W Hawaii… Moonrise on Mt Etna volcano !
Score: 0115 pts115 ptslesterJanuary 24, 2021 at 5:57 pm #10173Observed…
23rd Jan 11:47:37 UTC – M 5.5 South of Fiji Islands = Moonrise on Mt Etna
23rd Jan 23:48:38 UTC – M 5.4 South Shetland Islands -12-hours = Moonrise on Mt Etna (ref; Fiji !)
24th Jan 12:14:45 UTC – M 5.5 South Shetland Islands = RLT located on Mt Stromboli
24th Jan 14:26:46 UTC – M 5.2 Mindanao, Philippines -12-hours = Moonset on Mt Etna
Score: 0115 pts115 ptslesterJanuary 27, 2021 at 3:30 pm #10184On Tuesday 26th January, a swarm of small magnitude events occurred in the Atarfe region in Southern Spain on approx coordinates 3’40’W – 37’10’N. Events totaled 38 members, and the first event occurred at 21:36:32 UTC. At this time, the moon was located on longitude 15’02’E… equating to 3 Arc minutes East of Mt Etna volcano !
Score: 0115 pts115 ptslesterJanuary 29, 2021 at 11:32 pm #10196Observed… M 5.6 Panama-Costa Rica border region 12:41:39 UTC 29th Jan … 82’57’w – 8’11’N
The following table represents; Dates, ATE time on Mt Etna volcano, Sun longitude position within 15 minutes of Arc from longitude 82’57’W…
20th Jan – 17:41 UTC …. 82’27’W
21st Jan – 17:42 UTC …. 82’38’W
22nd Jan – 17:43 UTC …. 82’49’W *
23rd Jan – 17:44 UTC …. 83’00’W ** = Moonset on Mt Kerangatang volcano
24th Jan – 17:45 UTC …. 83:12 W *
25th Jan – 17:46 UTC …. 83’23’WOn 29th Jan at 16:35 UTC, an explosive event occurred from Mt Sakurajima volcano in Kyushu, Japan. at “12-hours” earlier 04:35 UTC, the ATB threshold was located on Mt Etna volcano !
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