On Watch ! – La Soufriere Volcano … Mt Pelee Volcano

https://www.volcanodiscovery.com/pelee/news/115642/Pelee-volcano-West-Indies-France-activity-update-Alert-Level-raised-to-Yellow-increased-seismicity-t.html

On Friday 12th April 2019 between times 20:26 UTC – 20:53 UTC, the moon was located on the sunset threshold during the period of “First Quarter” moon phase. Between times 18:46 UTC – 19:12 UTC, the sun was located on the moonrise threshold. And between times 20:36 UTC – 20:50 UTC, the sun was located on the RLT.

At 20:36 UTC, the sun was located on coordinates 128’48’W – 8’49’N over the Eastern Pacific ocean. Moonrise and moonset at these coordinates occurred at 20:40 UTC – 08:40 UTC respectively, equating to “12-hours”. At 08:40 UTC, the ATB threshold was located on Mt Pelee volcano.

At 08:36 UTC 12th April (12-hours earlier) the moon was located on longitude 152’34’E… and it was sunrise on coordinates 27’19’W – 56’15’S. On 22nd April, an M 6.0 event occurred in the South Sandwich Islands on these coordinates. And on 14th May at 12:58:25 UTC, an M 7.6 event occurred in New Britain P.N.G. on coordinates 152’35’E – 4’03’S.

At 20:50 UTC 12th April, the SLT was located on coordinates 57’16’E – 10’51’N Carlsberg Ridge, and it was sunrise on coordinates 27’19’w – 56’15’S Kyushu, Japan. On 29th April, an M 6.2 event occurred on the Carlsberg Ridge, and on 9th May, an M 6.2 occurred in Kyushu, Japan, both on the stated coordinates. Also at 20:50 UTC, the sun was located on coordinates 132’18’W – 8’49’N. Moonrise and moonset at these coordinates occurred at 20:54 UTC – 08:54 UTC respectively, equating to “12-hours”. Verification would show that the 12-hour period does not calculate prior or beyond the stated times for Sun / RLT correlation !

On 26th May 2019 at 07:41:15 UTC, an M 8.0 event occurred Southeast of Lagunas, Peru on coordinates 75’16’W – 5’48’S. On 13th – 14th April, Mt Pelee volcano shared an ATB / Sunrise relationship with this pre seismic epicentre at 09:52 UTC on both days.

On 12th April 2019 at 11:40:49 UTC, an M 6.8 event occurred SSW of Luwuk, Sulawesi, Indonesia on coordinates 122’34’E – 1’48’S. Between 14th – 17th April, Mt Pelee volcano shared an ATB / ATE “12-hour” relationship with this epicentre… 08:38 UTC – 20:38 UTC. On 14th April at 17:50 UTC, it was moonrise on Mt Pelee, and moonset on the M 6.8 Sulawesi Epicentre. This lunar correlation was repeated again on 15th April at 18:50 UTC.

During the previous “First Quarter” moon phase on 14th March 2019, the sun was located on the moonrise threshold between times 10:12 UTC – 10:40 UTC. At 10:12:56 UTC, it was sunrise on Mt Pelee volcano !

This analysis is not testament to why Mt Pelee volcano began stirring after 87 years in slumber. Because it is without doubt, that several First-Last Quarter moon phases since 1932, will have correlated with Mt Pelee and La Soufriere volcanoes during this time. The calculations focus on the closest ephemeral points to the month of April 2019… and the data indicates that Mt Pelee especially, had casual relations with several big players during this period !

https://www.volcanodiscovery.com/soufriere-st-vincent/news/118392/Soufriere-St-Vincent-volcano-West-Indies-St-Vincent-actively-growing-lava-dome.html

The following list is a compilation of seismic correlations with Mt Pelee and La Soufriere volcanoes. The list spans 1st November 2020 to 5th January 2021, and incorporates 12 – 24 hours windows in relation to pre / post contact theory.

4th Nov – 12:23:45 UTC – M 5.0 Unimak Island, Alaska -24 hours = Moonset on Mt Pelee
6th Nov – 01:40:17 UTC – M 5.0 Taiwan region = Moonrise on La Soufriere
9th Nov – 16:45:33 UTC – M 5.6 New Ireland P.N.G. -24 hours = Moonrise on Mt Pelee
12th Nov – 07:18:28 UTC – M 5.3 Philippine Islands = Moonrise on Mt Pelee
14th Nov – 08:50:25 UTC – M 5.0 Myanmar Region = ATB on Mt Pelee
16th Nov – 22:45:27 UTC – M 5.4 Bougainville P.N.G. = ATE on Mt Pelee
20th Nov – 03:19:15 UTC – M 5.7 West of Macquarie Island +12 hours = RLT on Mt Pelee

11th Dec – 21:33:27 UTC – M 5.0 Taiwan region = Sunset on Mt Pelee
13th Dec – 22:05:58 UTC – M 5.3 New Ireland P.N.G. +12 hours = RLT on Mt Pelee
26th Dec – 10:28:35 UTC – M 5.2 Krygyzstan = Sunrise on Mt Pelee

1st Jan – 00:40:35 UTC – M 5.2 Southern Mid-Atlantic Ridge = SLT on Mt Pelee

On 7th May 1902 at 16:55 UTC, La Soufriere volcano erupted on the Island of St Vincent. At 17 hours 57 minutes later 10:52 UTC 8th May 1902, Mt Pelee volcano erupted on the island of Martinique. The initial eruption was a horizontal ejection, and 1000 degree material engulfed the city of Saint Pierre in under a minute. The death toll was estimated to be in the range of 30,000 people, and this event is still regarded as the worst natural disaster of the 20th century !

Whether others are accustom to my methodology or not, the seismic correlations indicate a more influencing attraction during November 2020. And they are overwhelmingly focused on Mt Pelee volcano. It is always wise to move on the side of caution in relation to any volcanoes. But despite the published report above, my data does not suggest or indicate an immediate threat is apparent from either of these volcanoes… and the favored one to “watch” in my opinion, is Mt Pelee !

https://spaceweathergallery.com/indiv_upload.php?upload_id=170580

On 15th December 2020, I posted a prediction for an M 6.5 – M 7.5 event to occur in Isla Grande De Chiloe, Los Lagos, Chile. I had observed multiple correlations with this region, and the deciding factor was the occurrence of a Total Solar eclipse in the southern hemisphere on 14th December. My methodology employs solar / lunar thresholds to calculate locations of potential seismic anomalies. So during this solar eclipse, I calculated the nearest point that the moons Umbra border with the inner penumbra, was closest to my observed correlations… and predicted accordingly.

On 27th December at 21:39:14 UTC, an M 6.8 event occurred Off the coast of Los Lagos, Chile on coordinates 74’56’w – 39’19’S… approximately 250 km’s north of my forecast coordinates. I have analysed this event in relation to the solar eclipse of 14th December, and the data showed that the “Central” point of the moons umbra shadow, was located on the M 6.8 epicentre at 16:00 UTC during its transit of South America… you can see a good representation of this using the “Time & Date” maps.

I revisited this data during the course of business today ( 8th Jan) and discovered that on 14th December at 15:59:40 UTC, the sun was located on longitude 61’10’W during this solar eclipse event… Solar Noon (High noon) on Mt Pelee and La soufriere volcanoes !

I made comment in my Los Lagos forecast that history might repeat itself… I express that same sentiment again !!

After carrying out a T Sequence run on Mt Etna volcano in Sicily, Italy. It signified that relations between Mt Pelee volcano and Mt Etna have been on going from mid-January. The following table represents the relationship of the ATE threshold (Astronomical Twilight Ends) on Mt Pelee, whilst the sun is located within 15 minutes of Arc from longitude 165’01’W… the opposite longitude to Mt Etna. The columns include; Date, ATE time on Mt Pelee, and the longitude position of the sun…

13th Jan – 23:08 UTC – 164’55’W
14th Jan – 23:09 UTC – 164’55’W *
15th Jan – 23;09 UTC – 164’50’W *
16th Jan – 23:10 UTC – 165’00’W *
17th Jan – 23:10 UTC – 164’55’W *
18th Jan – 23:11 UTC – 165’05’W *
19th Jan – 23:11 UTC – 165’01’W **
20th Jan – 23:12 UTC – 165’11’W *
21st Jan – 23:12 UTC – 165’07’W *
22nd Jan – 23:13 UTC – 165’18’W
23rd Jan – 23:13 UTC – 165’15’W *
24th Jan – 23:13 UTC – 165’11’W *
25th Jan – 23:14 UTC – 165’23’W

On dates prior to 14th January, ATE relations do not exist during the first two weeks of January, or at any time during the month of December 2020. On the other hand however, La Soufriere volcano had significant ATE relations with Mt Etna during December (Ref first post !), and continued with casual contact during early January on dates 1st – 2nd – 3rd – 4th – 6th – 8th… relations discontinued after 8th January.

On 14th January at 18:28:18 UTC, an M 6.2 event occurred in Sulawesi, Indonesia. In my Mt Sinabung forecast of 14th January, it cited that it was moonrise on Mt Kilauea volcano in Hawaii when this event occurred. And the Moon had been on longitude 98’30’E Mt Sinabung, when a precursory M 5.7 event occurred at the same location nearly five hours earlier. In hindsight, one could conclude that Mt Kilauea and Mt Sinabung volcanoes could not be ruled out as being the trigger instigators of said events. Why this relates to Mt Pelee, is because I believe the Sulawesi events are a precursory warning that Mt Pelee may abruptly awake in the near future. Mt Pelee resides on longitude 61’10’W… the opposite longitude calculates as 118’50’E. The M 6.2 Sulawesi event occurred on longitude 118’54’E… within 4 minutes of Arc, of the opposite longitude of Mt Pelee and La Soufriere volcanoes. The Sulawesi event occurred on 14th January, on the same day that Mt Pelee ATE relations began with Mt Etna volcano. Mt Etna and Mt Stromboli had ATB relations for a continuous 10 day period… the last day being 14th January. And after 7 days, on 14th January Mt Etna ceased sunset to sunset relation with Mauna Kea volcano in Hawaii. It is questionable whether Mt Pelee volcano had any influence in instigating the Sulawesi events. As there has been no reports of visible volcanism from Mt Pelee, but correlating attraction may have already begun due to these events occurring !

Observed… M 5.1 Hengchun, Taiwan 23:10:58 UTC 16th Jan… refer to list above !!

Coming to a volcano near you… Wednesday 20th January 2021

During the past few days, I have been compiling data tables relating to several active volcanoes around the world. For the purposes of producing a volcanic summery for a specific date, I have extrapolated data from these tables, that correlates all subjects to one day… 20th January. I have also run a 24-hour T Sequence (TS) to determine correlations that do not appear in the aforementioned data tables (DT)…

03:52 UTC – The moon will be located on longitude 155’18’W Mt Kilauea… At “12-hours” earlier 15:52 UTC 19th Jan, the SLT (moonset) was located on Mt Merapi Volcano (TS).

04:40 UTC – The ATB threshold will be located jointly on Mt Etna and My Stromboli volcanoes, and the sun will be located on longitude 112’45’E = Solar Noon on Mt Semeru volcano 112’55’E (DT).

06:14 UTC – It will be sunrise on Mt Stromboli volcano… At “12-hours” later 18:14 UTC, the sun will be located on longitude 90’42’W = Solar Noon on Mt Fuego and Mt Pacaya volcanoes, on longitudes 90’52’W – 90’36’W respectively (DT).

10:19:40 UTC – The moon will be located on longitude 110’27’E Mt Merapi, and the RLT (moonrise) will be located on Mt Etna volcano (TS).

10:32 UTC – It will be sunrise on La Soufriere volcano… At “12-hours” later 22:32 UTC, the sun will be located on longitude 155’11’W = Solar noon on Mt Kilauea volcano 155’17’W (DT).

10:34 UTC – It will be sunrise on Mt Pelee volcano… At “12-hours” later 22:34 UTC, the sun will be located on longitude 155’41’W = Solar noon on Mauna Loa volcano 155’35’W… it will also be sunrise on Mt Merapi volcano (DT).

15:28:34 UTC – The sun will be located on longitude 49’21’W, the opposite longitude calculates as 130’39’E Mt Sakurajima volcano. Also at this time, the SLT (moonset) will be located on Mt Sakurajima (TS)

16:15:48 UTC – The sun will be located on longitude 61’10’W Mt Pelee and La Soufriere volcanoes, and it will be moonset on Mt Semeru volcano (TS).

22:05:38 UTC – The moon will be located on longitude 61’10’W Mt Pelee and La Soufriere volcanoes, and the RLT (moonrise) will be located on Mt Kilauea volcano… At “12-hours” earlier 10:05:38 UTC, the ATE threshold will be located on Mt Sakurajima volcano (TS).

23:12 UTC – the ATE threshold will be located on Mt Pelee volcano, and the sun will be located on longitude 165’11’W. The opposite longitude calculates as 14’49’E = opposite Solar Noon on Mt Etna volcano 14’59’E (DT).

With every passing day, these sequences and correlations are constantly changing. But there will be occasional days that the correlations seem to highlight specific volcanoes in preference to others i.e How many time did Mt Fuego volcano get a mention on this day, compared to Mt Kilauea ?. The natural conclusion based on this data, for this “one” day, is that elevations in volcanism may be on the horizon for Mt Kilauea in Hawaii. It figures predominantly in the data tables, and this one day T Sequence. It has also been associated with several significant seismic event, which indicates that influential attraction is present. I have been trying to maintain a daily T Sequence routine since the 1st January. It has highlighted several specific subjects including Mt Semeru, Mt Sinabung, and Mt Etna… and the ever present Mt Ebeko and Mt Sakurajima volcanoes which I unofficially use for practice 🙂 . Unfortunately, I am finding that my daily T Sequence quest is not easy to sustain, it is very labour intensive, and exhausting when trying to combine formulations with normal daily household requirements. But I believe the effort is worth it, because my proclamation results seem to suggest that there is something here that works !

On 20th January at 10:11 UTC, it will be moonset on coordinates 155’18’W – 19’24’N. This is the West flank region on Mt kilauea volcano. At these same coordinates “12-hours” later 22:11 UTC, it will be moonrise. On 19th Jan at 02:46:22 UTC, an M 6.4 event occurred in San Juan, Argentina on coordinates 68’50’W – 31’48’S. On 18th Jan between times 02:58 UTC – 14:58 UTC, it was moonset and moonrise on these coordinates respectively… an exact “12-hour” window. It is questionable whether this “specific” period, influenced the outcome at this location. But as stated above, Mt kilauea volcano is going to be the focus of a 12-hour lunar window, on this summarized day !!

https://www.volcanodiscovery.com/volcanism/blog/news/117215/Could-volcanic-crystals-provide-insight-into-future-eruptions.html

“A key question in volcanology is………. ”