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115 ptslesterJanuary 6, 2021 at 10:00 pm #10062
Locations…
South of the Kermadec Islands – 179’46’W – 36’00’S … 5.5 – 6.8
South of False Pass, Aleutian Islands – 162’58’W – 54’30’N … 5.5 – 6.8East of Tome, East Coast of Honshu – 141’27’E – 38’38’N … 5.0 – 6.3
San Cristobal Island, Solomon Islands – 161’05’E – 10’00’S … 5.0 – 6.3Mayotte Island Region – 45’36’E – 13’00’S … 4.5 – 5.8
Garberville, California – 123’53’W – 40’05’N … 4.5 – 5.8Margin: 350 Radial Kilometres
Period: From 22:00 UTC January 6, for 10 days
Locations were determined using 10 days of Volcanic correlations between dates 28th Dec 2020 – 6th Jan 2021. Theory goes that the posted magnitudes, reflect the number of correlations per location. This may not turn out to be a “reliable” guide, but any “notable” magnitude hit is going to be one step closer to finding the right theory !
Thank you
Score: 0115 ptslesterJanuary 10, 2021 at 12:23 am #10069https://www.emsc-csem.org/Earthquake/earthquake.php?id=937280
M 5.3 Solomon Islands … 9th January
Score: 03 pts115 ptslesterJanuary 10, 2021 at 3:41 pm #10073Canary Islands… seismic / volcanic correlations 1st – 10th January.
2nd Jan 01:05:51 UTC – M 5.0 Caspian Sea -12-hours = Sun located on longitude 15’25’W Gran Canaria
3rd Jan 06:42:30 UTC – M 5.0 Ryukyu Islands = ATB threshold located on La Palma
4th Jan 07:42 UTC – Mt Sakurajima volcano explosive event -12-hours = ATE threshold located on Gran Canaria
5th Jan 11:56:18 UTC – M 5.1 Timor Region -12-hours = RLT on Puerto de la Cruz – moonrise on La Palma
6th Jan 00:38 UTC – Mt Klyuchevskoy volcano eruption -12-hours = SLT on Puerto de la Cruz
8th Jan 18:36:42 UTC – M 5.0 Tonga region -12-hours = ATB threshold located on puerto de la Cruz
10th Jan 01:09 UTC – Mt Sakurajima volcano eruption -12-hours = sun located on longitude 15’20’W Gran Canaria
10th Jan 03:54:13 UTC – M 6.1 Jujuy, Argentina +12-hours = moonset on Gran CanariaAccording to these correlations, the odds would appear favorable for a notable event to occur in the Canary Islands… but looks can sometimes be deceiving. For instance, the T sequence shows that ATB in the Canaries shares sunset relations with the Tonga / Fiji region. sunrise shares sunset relations with Bougainville and New Ireland. Solar Noon shares opposite longitude relations with the Santa Cruz Islands, and San Cristobal Island in the Solomon’s ( 🙂 ). Sunset shares sunrise relations with Vanuatu. and the ATE shares sunrise relations with new Britain and New Ireland.
If you take into account that some significant events have been occurring during the last 10 days, and time the correlations accordingly. The correlations favor “frequently active” regions, over regions were significant event are rare like the Canary Islands. The last 4+ event to occur here was an M 5.2 on 26th September 2019… and only Two 5+ events have occurred in this region during the last 15 years. This is not to say that nothing will happen in the canaries, as you could propose that a significant event is over due. The math is not always right, but it will always put the regular suspects first !
As example, a significant event listed above for today, M 6.1 Jujuy, Argentina at 03:54:13 UTC. The correlation states that at “12-hours” earlier 15:54:13 UTC 9th Jan, it was moonset on the Island of Gran Canaria in the Canaries. But in actual fact, it was also moonrise on Port-Villa, Vanuatu. Considering resent 6+ activity in this region… the math would favor Port-Villa as first choice. Further more, the T sequence relations that the Canary islands experiences with several highly active regions, may account for frequent “low” seismic activity in this region. And may also account for the reason why the activity is alternating between islands, rather than focusing on one specific location. It is not a region I would personally forecast myself, but it does have potential, due to post seismic influence !!
Score: 0115 pts115 ptslesterJanuary 10, 2021 at 5:05 pm #10076Observed… M 5.3 Southern East pacific rise 15:44:48 UTC 10th Jan = Moonset on Fuerteventura Island, Canary Islands… another island !. Moonset in the Loyalty Islands… -12-hours = Moonset on the Fiji Islands… Solar Noon in Mindanao, Philippines and Molucca Sea region !
Score: 0115 ptslesterJanuary 11, 2021 at 6:52 pm #10086https://www.emsc-csem.org/Earthquake/earthquake.php?id=937651
M 5.1 Unimak Island region … 11th January
In range of forecast coordinates, but didn’t reach required magnitude !
Score: 0115 pts115 ptslesterJanuary 16, 2021 at 3:57 pm #10101On 16th Jan at 01:28 UTC, a significant aspect change occurred in the ACE Mag data. The ATB threshold was located on my forecast coordinates in Mayotte. It may not be plainly obvious, but I am currently trying to follow the volcano trail (!). The region of Mayotte harbors a recently discovered submarine volcano. Multiple seismic / volcanic correlations have occurred in this general vicinity since 1st January, and the prospect of further volcanism is an intriguing possibility.
At 01:28 UTC 16th Jan, the ATE threshold was located on coordinates 71’28’W – 31’02’S = M 5.0 SSW of Ovalle, Chile 03:53:36 UTC 16th Jan !
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