Santa Barbara California area 5.0 next 10 days

Forecast:

M 4.5 to M 5.5 Mount Pinos, CA 2021-01-23 to 2021-02-02 34°48’36.33″N 119° 9’0.76″W 100mls/160kms radius less then 70km deep

Secondary Forecast:

If we see a M 5.0+ near Lebec, CA and Frazier Park, CA, then there is an immediate alert for M 6.0+ for both the Garlock Fault and or the San Andreas from Parkfield, CA to the Salton Sea, CA.

Thoughts: This region is a silent zone with several quakes that have overlapping influence. If I am low on my forecast and a M 5.0+ strikes near Lebec, then I will put my secondary forecast into play immediately until I can review the event and make a more formal forecast. Also, Mount Pinos is at it’s peak is 8847ft/2697meters high. The area is subjected to catastrophic uplifts from time to time. The last uplift was in 1857 14 miles south on the San Andreas from Parkfield CA, it had a magnitude of 7.9! This is all just good info, I do not see any thing big happening at this time.

Mount Pinos: https://pubs.usgs.gov/sir/2004/5206/SIR5206-508.html

Sorry for breaking this up, but you are watching me fight with the web software.

My other attempts to post:

NOTE: This did not post, so I am reposting.

Canyonrat
January 23, 2021 at 10:57 pm #10146

STILL NOT POSTING: Changed title
Canyonrat
January 23, 2021 at 11:46 pm #10150

Canyonrat
January 23, 2021 at 11:52 pm #10151