• 115 pts
    lester
    May 4, 2021 at 1:20 pm #10536

    Prediction for a volcanic eruption from Mt Ebeko volcano on Paramushir Island in the Northern Kuril Islands, on coordinates 156’01’E – 50’41’N

    Period: From 13:20 UTC May 4, for 48 hours

    Ref; Mt Sakurajima volcano x 2 4/5

    Thank you

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    May 6, 2021 at 5:00 pm #10541

    Continuing this forecast for 24 hours from 17:00 UTC May 6

    Thank you

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    May 7, 2021 at 5:00 pm #10544

    Observed…

    M 5.5 North Atlantic Ocean 11:45:25 UTC 7th May = ATE threshold located on Mt Ebeko volcano

    M 6.0 West of Macquarie Island 15:21:14 UTC 7th May = ATB threshold located on Mt Ebeko volcano

    Continuing this forecast for 24 hours from 17:00 UTC May 7

    http://www.timeanddate.com

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    May 9, 2021 at 6:35 pm #10547

    Assessment…

    Since Tuesday 4th May, I have observed a total of nine seismic / volcanic correlations with Mt Ebeko volcano. And yet, it has not erupted… which is uncharacteristic when you consider its history. I have also observed an increase in seismic activity in the same region. So my original analysis could be related to seismicity rather than volcanism. This may also account for a lack of activity from Mt Ebeko, as a pre seismic anomaly “may be” inhibiting such activity.

    I ran a short T Sequence to check whether Mt Ebeko volcano was actually producing any volcanic influence… and got a surprising result from California !

    On 8th May at 11:20:27 UTC, the ATB threshold was located on Hermosa Beach in Los Angeles, and the moon was located on longitude 23’59’W… the opposite longitude calculates as 156’01’E Mt Ebeko.

    On 9th May at 01:55:40 UTC, an M 3.5 event occurred in the region of Hermosa Beach, and the sun was located on longitude 150’12’E New Britain P.N.G. At 06:14 UTC, it was moonset on 150’12’E new Britain P.N.G., and also moonset on Mt Ebeko volcano.

    On 9th May at 09:09:33 UTC, an M 3.2 event occurred in the Loma Linda region of Los Angeles… it was sunset on Mt Ebeko volcano at this time. At 15:13:50 UTC, the ATB threshold was located on Mt Ebeko volcano, and the sun was located on longitude 49’21’W… the opposite longitude calculates as 130’39’E Mt Sakurajima volcano. At 17:57 UTC, it was sunrise on Mt Ebeko, and sunset on Mt Etna volcano !

    I also ran a short T sequence for Los Angeles, and this did not reveal any “significant” correlations. However, whilst on the subject of Mt Ebeko… On 9th May at 12:01:00 UTC, it was moonrise in Anaheim, Los Angeles, and the moon was located on longitude 23’59’W… the opposite longitude to Mt Ebeko volcano. On 10th May at 12:42:00 UTC, the moon will again be located on longitude 23’59’W… and it will be moonrise in the San Francisco Bay Area !

    On the basis of providing a “testable” assessment, I am continuing this forecast for 3 days from 18:35 UTC May 9… and including the possibility of an M 5.0 – M 6.3 seismic event occurring within 250 kilometres of Mt Ebeko volcano !

    Thank you

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    May 9, 2021 at 11:22 pm #10549

    https://www.volcanodiscovery.com/ebeko/news/129611/Ebeko-Volcano-Volcanic-Ash-Advisory-ERUPTION-AT-202105092112Z-FL070-EXTD-E-REPORTED-OBS-VA-DTG-09213.html

    At “12-hours earlier 09:12 UTC 9th May, the ATE threshold was located on Mt Shiveluch / Mt Klyuchevskoye volcanoes !

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    May 13, 2021 at 1:00 am #10566

    https://www.emsc-csem.org/Earthquake/earthquake.php?id=983826

    M 5.1 Kuril Islands 228 km’s Southwest of Mt Ebeko volcano ! … no further volcanic activity since 21:12 UTC 9th May !

    Continuing this forecast for 3 days from 01:00 UTC May 13

    Thank you

    Score: 0
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