DSG March 27, 2017 12:55pm

Updates to forecast DSG March 27, 2017 12:55pm

Location: Pacific Ocean

Updated Forecast Watch Area Extended – following coordinates and 500km radius from an additional watch point of: lat: 16° 8’28.48″N lon: 137°25’45.89″W.

lat: 22°53’53.81″N lon: 150°31’13.37″W
lat: 22°45’14.39″N lon: 134°52’30.08″W – expanded region to the East of original watch-zone
lat: 0°58’47.19″N lon: 134°57’27.69″W – expanded region to the East of original watch-zone
lat: 0°36’24.24″N lon: 150°18’21.61″W

Mag: 4.0+

Forecast Watch Time: extending initial Forecast Watch time which was 3-27-17 through 4-2-17. Updated now to new watch time of 3-27-17 to 4-4-17.

Formal UTC Watch Time now 3/27/2017 6:55 PM (18:55) UTC through 4/4/2017 11:59 PM (23:59).

Rationale Note: Territory has the potential for 1 or more earthquakes. Conservative magnitude due to current solar conditions, however with 4-1-17 increased potential for solar activity, the magnitude of the epicenter would grow proportionate to solar activity. A USGS earthquake history for this general region exists towards the nadir of solar minimum activity last seen in 2008. I folded in new mathematical updates to the current forecast model I am using, based upon geographic accuracy but with the 500km radius errors made in South America, Zimbabwe/South Africa area, and Afghanistan forecasts from 3-25-17 to 3-3-17. I have run the model 6x and logged about 8 hours of midnight-oil on just this one area, with these same results for the extended watch zone as included in this update/extension. Model is also producing updated coordinates of lat: 16° 8’28.48″N lon: 137°25’45.89″W as an area of vulnerability.

Updating forecast, DSG March 27, 2017 12:55 – with only changes being in lowering magnitude down to 4+

Location: Pacific Ocean

Updated Forecast Watch Area Extended – following coordinates and 1000km radius from an additional watch point of: lat: 16° 8’28.48″N lon: 137°25’45.89″W.

lat: 22°53’53.81″N lon: 150°31’13.37″W
lat: 22°45’14.39″N lon: 134°52’30.08″W – expanded region to the East of original watch-zone
lat: 0°58’47.19″N lon: 134°57’27.69″W – expanded region to the East of original watch-zone
lat: 0°36’24.24″N lon: 150°18’21.61″W

Mag: 4+

Forecast Watch Time: extending initial Forecast Watch time which was 3-27-17 through 4-2-17. Updated now to new watch time of 3-27-17 to 4-4-17.

Formal UTC Watch Time now 3/27/2017 6:55 PM (18:55) UTC through 4/4/2017 11:59 PM (23:59).

Rationale: 4/3 Africa discharge event of 6.1 effects model and magnitude scale for this target.