Lets discuss more on topics fellow forecasters. We can even make this post a discussion thread. Certainly we have questions, and/or ideas to explore.
During this seemingly ever lasting earthquake lull, provides us such an opportunity.
Example topic: If you do not use the prediction centers tools, what factors are you utilizing?
Has anyone come across any interesting earthquake related papers/articles? I will post a few for you all in abit.
I have always been of the belief that team effort is essential, for the development of a working theory on this subject. There are too many Variables, factors and probabilities for one person to “successfully” voice their idea’s. This will be the third time an attempt to solicit a gathering has been made on this forum. If you wish to chair a discussion with the aforementioned in mind… count me in!
I have been trying to follow your hypothesis with interest, but inevitably I may miss pieces due to my own commitment. So apologies if you have covered this question before; Regarding your referral to “energy transmigration”, is this concerned with stress redistribution, a transfer of electromagnetic energy, or something else ?. There is the issue of open source here, so I will understand if an appropriate answer is not forthcoming!
I am afraid I’m not very good at making conversation on forums, or keeping up to speed as they say with how things work. So in reference to the latter… I apologise for intruding on your discussion thread.
Lester, you are fine 🙂 Please continue. I will come back to this. I was planning on posting these papers, and have been busy is all. so just give me some time.
Forgive me, I truly am the persona of an old fool :).
I have dealt with a lot of sceptics, which unfortunately leaves one with a certain degree of paranoia… I’m sure you can appreciate that. My query can wait… looks like there could be an increase in activity developing!
Since 1990 the Earth’s core is considered to have entered an active phase and has been discharging powerful thermal energy into the mantle. The recent spate of unusually strong earthquakes worldwide [back late last year] support this assertion. coincides with the declining solar curve started from the cycle 22 peak
The Earth core active phase in relation to the arrival of a major solar low cycle
1. The Earth’s core activity has entered an active phase since 1990 as seen in the sudden appearance of great deep earthquakes after 1990.
2. 1990 is the starting year of unusual behaviour of solar activity
3. We expect the stronger release of thermal energy from the outer core to continue for the coming 20 to 30 years, which would generate catastrophic earthquakes and volcanic eruptions throughout the globe.
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This reply was modified 7 years, 5 months ago by HookEcho.
I have spent a rainy afternoon reading up on “upward transmigration of seismic energy” and its founder Claude Blot. This is a totally different method to my own, but my impression and conclusion thus far is that I have been hanging out with the wrong kind of scientists.
Thank you for your direction and patience… I have now been brought up to speed 🙂
Because the deep great earthquakes (magnitude 7.0 or greater) are considered the first tangible appearance of the Earth’s outer-core discharged thermal energy, they are considered to directly reflect the activity of the outer core which is intricately interacting with the solar activity and its cycle. HIgh magnitude deep quakes, particularly in Fiji- Southwest Pacific, most sensitively respond to the outer core activity, because the region is the site where thermal plume rises directly from the outer core according to the mantle tomography.
No M7.0+ deep earthquakes from 1970 to 1984 in the Southwest Pacific, this was interrupted in 1985-86 by a group, but then became quiet again until 1991 coinciding with the declining solar curve started from the cycle 22 peak After that the region has become seismically very active up until today, 2016.
This reply was modified 7 years, 5 months ago by HookEcho.
After the trio of 7.9’s in Bougainville, Solomon’s and New Zealand last fall, global seismic activity reduced dramatically over the following post event 12 hours… more so with the NZ event. It is as if retained energy in pre seismic anomalies, is redirected and channelled to the effected area, thus causing multiple aftershocks… does this sound feasible?
I agree, the sun and Earth are interacting with each other… but at what level! It is generally accepted that the sun combined with other factors is the main contributor of seismic activity. But do you, or any other forecasters have an opinion about the possibility of the Earth actually instigating solar activity e.g. solar flares, coronal holes etc.
Possibly. In fact, this is my in part my potential explanation for the observed “earthfacing” quiet effect that seems to coincide with solar minimums.
Due to the Suns rotation, the interplanetary magnetic field is warped, often referred to as the Parker spiral. Thus Earth and Sun do not magnetically connect until about 65 degrees solar longitude. The “earthfacig quiet effect” is observed long before the sunspot reaches this point, ruling out alot of the direct magnetic mechanism e g magnetic portals for the most part.
Now, sunspots emit radio waves on a continuous basis, these oscillations remain the sane throughout with very little variance. What if these oscillations change before and during a major minimum solar cycle of solar and match Earths radio waves therefore a canceling or disruptive effect as a result? This is to assume radio waves emitted from other planets play a role in sunspot formation. Just think how certain planetary alignments cause sunspots to form and increase overall solar activity. Planetary alignments is not unlike adding additional speakers to a stereo, Wiring them in series or parallel..parallel the more speakers you wire in, the lower the impedance. Output increases because the amplifiers power output rises as the load impedance decreases.
I was wondering if we could simply start discussion threads, seemed like this area was designated for forecasting.
That’s good stuff to know about the Earth’s core, i wasn’t even aware of that, definitely wanna check it out now. 🙂
Mostly I just try to time transequatorial Coronal Holes with planetary alignments – like the one we’re having now lol! Geomagnetic instability (Planetary K Index) seems to mitigate the forces from coronal holes so if there’s yellow or red bars it means less significant interactions in the lithosphere. Just my uneducated guess, but I imagine that these forces travel via flux transfer events?
FYI I have zero formal education, for my 16th birthday my dad got me a job and I haven’t seen the inside of a classroom since. I just see what I see and know what I know almost exclusively from my 10 years of being on the internet. I’m pretty much self-taught everything.
HookEcho, hope you don’t mind me being one step ahead, I took this to the chat room. I you feel it is a bad move, I’ll go with what ever you decide… in a bad mood because I forecast 26’E South of Africa, and missed Turkey 🙂
