Pi_Seas: March 19 2020 – Oak Harbor, WA

Cool name… 🙂 and pleasing to see “realistic” magnitude levels !

Good luck !

Determining magnitude range is the hardest part of any prediction… and to be honest, it is mostly a game of chance. The only real tool we have to help with this aspect is regional history. Predicting 6+ in locations like the Philippines, Papua New Guinea or Vanuatu etc, is never a wasted effort, because the frequency of high mag events in these regions puts the odds of success in your favour. West coast US does experience high mag events, but they are infrequent and notoriously difficult to get the timing right… thus lowering the odds. Long periods of quiet that get broken by a 4+ in San Francisco or LA for instance becomes big news, and sometimes just as significant as hitting a 6+ in P.N.G. In my opinion, being in the right place within the time you posted, is as greater achievement as correctly predicting magnitude. Therefore, you missed the mark in Petrolia, but still deserve to give yourself a pat on the back for being in the right place… at the right time!

I posted a crazy 5.5+ Mother’s Day prediction yesterday for Northern Kuril Islands, and a 4.3 occurred here this morning (my time). I missed the magnitude mark by a long shot, but at least it put a smile on my mothers face… 🙂

Keep trying… even with failed attempts, you always learn something new !

Hi Pi_Seas, hope you don’t mind that I convers with you in this thread. Didn’t want to cut into your new posts, because sometimes the recipient of the post may want to print it off as a keep sake… especially if it produces a result. Prediction is a bit of a novelty at first, and I used to do this myself, and managed to paper hang my spare bedroom in the process. Couldn’t do a bedroom with my successful print offs, but nearly got enough to cover my porch… its a small porch !

Excellent posts again, and you have buddied up with me in a couple of places… so your definitely going to hit something this time 🙂 . But I was wondering if you had a specific game plan ?. Your start and finish dates are all in sync, and a friendly suggestion would be that if you was doing multiple short forecast predictions, you could handle them better if they were together in one post. And in the long run, would be easier for others to access their posts too. Tayrence and Becca are good examples of multiple short forecast predicting. Tayrence segregates his choices into different grades… and Becca uses creative colourful formats, and brightens the place up a little for the rest of us. Not saying you should mimic their styles, because you may have your own unique way of doing things. I’m sure that you can appreciate that during the last 18 months or so, there have only been a handful of us posting here… and yes, we have had our differences like old married couples. But we consider ourselves as good guys (and Gals), not requiring mediation because we general sort things out between ourselves. I’m the fool of the bunch, and I think Ben perceivers with me, because I occasionally bring home the goods. My only flaw is that I have a phobia of people in white coats… don’t know why ! But due to the current global crisis we all find ourselves facing, I wouldn’t be surprised that more new members, such as people laid of work (like humours carpenters 🙂 ) that have found themselves with time on their hands, and nothing to do… may engage with us here. You can see from my posts that I work an individual system, but this is because my game plan is a little different from others. My method works with interpretations of changing daily data, and you will notice that my individual post’s are marked up with different dates. Plus, I also try to match volume of predictions with my fellow short forecast predictors. Admittedly, I have had moments when I got sick of the sight of my own name, but I am also an experimentalist. Its more challenging to try and get things right in the public domain, and hoping for success rather than looking the fool… probably past the point of no return on that score !. However, this I do when the forum is a little quieter , but as I said things might get busy. So it might be case of exercising a little consideration in the near future, so peoples coffee’s don’t go cold, because of the time it takes them to find their original post.

You have made an impression with me Pi_Seas, because your magnitude ranges are well thought out, and strategically suited to the regions you have selected. We’ve got a big money prize here open to all members, and we have had 7.5 predictions here in the past for places like the Canary Isles, and even Long Island, New York. But you have shown that you have put passion for this subject before “pot luck” prosperity. However, saying that, you should allow yourself a dabble for the pool now and then, like I do, I had purpose with my last attempt, because I wanted to get roses for my mum on UK Mother’s Day. Have you seen the price of roses lately ?… outrageous 🙂

No offence intended…