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115 ptslesterMay 12, 2020 at 12:01 am #8811
Locations…
Southeast of Pahala, Big Island, Hawaii … 155’12’W – 18’52’N
Offshore Waimea, Kauai Island, Hawaii … 159’40’W – 21’54’N
Magnitude: 4.5 – 5.8
Margin: 200 Radial Kilometres
Period: From 00:01 UTC May 12, for 5 days
I have observed that up to the time of this post, a total of thirty five 2+ events have occurred in the region of Hawaii, during the 24 hour period of 11th May. I checked back through EMSC records to 1st March, and this figure represents the greatest number of 2+ events from this day. First event on 11th May occurred at 06:27:13 UTC, this coincided with moonrise on Anza, California. The last event prior to this occurred at 22:20:39 UTC 10th May, it was sunrise on Bali Island, Indonesia at this time, and the sun was located on longitude 156’04’W.
I am also including with this forecast, the possibility of increased volcanic activity in this region, or an eruptive event.
Thank you
Score: 0115 ptslesterMay 12, 2020 at 3:51 pm #8813Question… When was the last time the Puerto Rico region experienced less than four events, greater than 2+ in one day ?
On 11th May, only 4 events greater than 2+ occurred in the Puerto Rico region… the last time this occurred was 3rd December 2019. This drastic reduction in seismic activity seems to coincide with a significant uptick of activity in the Hawaiian region. As per my method, I found only one correlation between these locations on 11th May. At 08:35 UTC on this day, it was moonrise on the swarm epicentre in Hawaii, the ATB threshold (astronomical twilight begins) was located on Puerto Rico, and the moon was located on longitude 74’06’W. Locations on this longitude include; Los Lagos Chile, Southern Peru, Northern Colombia, Haiti, and Eastern Cuba.
The last time Puerto Rico experienced only “one” event (M 2.0), was 10:15:31 UTC 23rd September 2019. On 24th September, an M 6.0 occurred in Puerto Rico, followed two days later on 26th by an M 6.1 event in Los Lagos, Chile !
In my opinion, this unusual behaviour may be the forbearer to a “significant” seismic event, in the very near future. I have observed that the ACE data has displayed several significant aspect changes, during the last 7 days. My method correlates this data to the Northern Kuril Islands Region… or more specifically in the sea, north of Mt Alaid volcano.
Moonset occurred on the Hawaiian epicentres at 19:49 UTC 11th May, the ATB threshold was located on Taiwan, the ATE threshold was located on Mt Etna volcano in Sicily, Italy, and the sun was located on longitude 118’09’W… which lines up with Downtown Los Angeles, and Dixie Valley, Nevada !
Score: 0115 pts115 ptslesterMay 13, 2020 at 2:24 pm #8820An explanation for increased seismic activity in Hawaii…
The Northern Kuril Islands connection… On 12th May at 22:03 UTC, Mt Ebeko volcano erupted in the Northern Kuril Islands.
The “significant” event… On 12th May at 22:41:12 UTC, an M 6.6 event occurred in the Santa Cruz Islands Region.
Trigger theory… On 12th May at 22:42 UTC, it was moonset (SLT) on Mt Ebeko volcano in the Northern kuril Islands !!
Puerto Rico… On 12th May, only 3 events greater than 2+ occurred in this region !
With reference to Moonset occurring on the Hawaiian epicentres on 11th May at 19:49 UTC (last paragraph, post of 12th May 3:51 pm)… I am including a possible eruptive event from Mt Etna volcano in Sicily, Italy, during the current period of this forecast.
Thank you
Score: 0115 ptslesterMay 16, 2020 at 4:59 pm #8853An observation…
I have noted that on dates 13th – 14th May, seismic activity increased dramatically in the Dominican Republic, with 38 and 18 events respectively. As of the time of this post, only one event has occurred today.
On the volcano scene, a high level eruption occurred from Mt Ibu volcano in Halmahera, Indonesia at 10:25 UTC. And a high impact eruption occurred from Mt Semeru volcano in East Java, Indonesia at 12:45 UTC. As is my usual practice, I make the assumption that these events occurred, due to solar / lunar or threshold correlation with pre seismic anomalies… and therefore try different combinations, to determine possible locations. In the case of Ibu and Semeru, I only found two possibilities…
10:25 UTC – 12:45 UTC corresponds to moonrise / sunrise on coordinates 122’0’W – 42’28’N Upper Klamath Lake, Oregon. The fact that I am already forecasting two other locations on longitude 122’W, makes this location an interesting coincidence !
10:25 UTC – 12:45 UTC also corresponds to sunrise and the longitude of the moon on coordinates 75’16’W – 19’50’N South of Guantanamo, Cuba. Taking into account the recent decline in activity in Puerto Rico, and the recent increase in activity in Dominican Republic… this behaviour could indicate a westerly shift in pre seismic energy towards Haiti or Cuba !!
Score: 0115 pts115 pts115 ptslesterMay 17, 2020 at 9:49 pm #8871Counselor,
I just unofficially predicted a 4.6 in Cuba, using two volcanic eruptions… do you have any credible “believable data I can borrow, towards posting an official prediction ?. If I told the media something major may strike Cuba or Haiti, because these events occurred, I would end up sitting beside God, drinking tea… 🙂
Just funning Mark, but you see my point… even my methodology would not be believed !!
Score: 015 ptsCanyonratMay 18, 2020 at 5:14 pm #8875LOL
My observational data shows this round of energy in the Islands has passed, and we should see same size or smaller aftershock quakes go off in or near the current seven locations of M3.9+ quakes over the last two weeks. Hopefully the area has some calm. But this is just my method and it has it’s limitations.
One possible open/silent area is the area around Isla de Providencia 13°20’47.72″N 81°22’27.77″W. It could experience a M4.0 to M5.0 250km/150mls radius in the next 48 hours. Likely on or near an underwater cliff/rise plate boundary. But this is an area I don’t often look at, so may familiarity is lacking.
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