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115 ptslesterMay 18, 2020 at 8:30 pm #8878
Location: Off East coast of Kamchatka … 157’16’E – 50’52’N
Magnitude: 6.5 – 7.5
Margin: 400 radial kilometres
period: From 20:30 UTC May 18, for 7 days
This forecast location has been mostly determined using Multiple data sets from the ACE satellite website. There have also been several significant seismic correlations… but no volcanic correlations. However, I have record of all recent global volcanic eruptions, and between dates 25th April – 15th May, the most active volcano during this period was Mt Ebeko volcano on Paramushir Island, Northern Kuril Islands, which experienced 14 eruptions. Dates and times are as follows…
25th April 03:52 UTC
26th April 00:36 UTC
28th April 21:20 UTC
29th April 19:35 UTC
30th April 02:21 UTC – 22:34 UTC4th May 02:44 UTC
6th May 23:32 UTC
8th May 03:04 UTC – 18:32 UTC
11th May 03:01 UTC
12th May 22:03 UTC
14th May 21:44 UTC
15th May 23:35 UTCPrior to these listed events occurring, Mt Ebeko volcano last erupted on 1st April at 23:00 UTC… it was sunrise on Mt anak Krakatau volcano in Indonesia at this time. within this list, are eruptions on 8th May 03:04 UTC – 11th May 03:01 UTC. these two events correspond with sunrise east of Rhodes Island, Greece. Two other eruptions listed as 6th May 23:32 UTC – 15th May 23:35 UTC correspond to sunset on coordinates 76’40’W – 19’42’N South of Cuba. In this case, these last two events correlate to the recent M 4.6 – M 4.3 events in this region on 17th -18th May respectively. I decided to commit this forecast at this time, because a very rare M 4.9 event occurred in Sweden at 01:11:57 UTC. I checked its T sequence (threshold history) and discovered several prominent correlations with recent prominent and seismic locations, including these forecast coordinates!
M 4.9 Sweden 20’18’E – 67’51’N… At 01:11:57 UTC 18th May, the ATB threshold (astronomical twilight begins) was located East of Rhodes Island, Greece.
16th May 00:21 UTC = Sunrise on M 4.9 epicentre – Moon located on longitude 105’25’E… Mt Anak Krakatau volcano resides on longitude 105’25’E
16th May 10:44 UTC = SLT located on M 4.9 epicentre – Moonrise on pre seismic M 5.5 Off Coast of California epicentre of 18th May
17th May 00:15 UTC = Sunrise on M 4.9 epicentre – Moonset on post seismic Hawaiian swarm epicentre of 11th – 12th May
17th May 12:11 UTC = Moonset on M 4.9 epicentre – ATE threshold located Off East Coast of Kamchatka, on stated forecast coordinates
17th May 12:18 UTC = SLT located on M 4.9 epicentre – Moonset East of Rhodes Island, Greece.http://www.sunrisesunsetmap.com
Thank you
Score: 015 ptsCanyonratMay 19, 2020 at 10:05 pm #8890I like your write up, you really explain your reasoning and methodology. I’m going to follow your method to see if I do it correctly and reproduce your out conclusions.
On my methodology end of things, I’ve been looking at possible leading indicators to those larger surprise quakes we have had recently in the Western part of North America. I keep looking back at two areas, one of shore south of Japan and one off shore to the east of Petropavlovsk-Kamchatskiy, Russia. So my thinking is some deep large activity rolls out and heads toward the West Coast USA, but it is not following the plate boundary, so it rolls under and past the coast and hits something on the bottom of the plate inland, and goes off as a quake. So remember I am new at this. But that idea fits what we just observed. I have been working on how to make or rather organize data into a .CSV file so that I can import it into Earthquake-3D. Once I have that figured out, I can pull in old data from years ago and start working backwards in time from a large event and see if my hypothesis holds true…at least some of the time. As they say, even the worlds best cat herder can’t herd every cat. Cats and quakes might have the same temperament. LOL
Score: 0115 ptslesterMay 25, 2020 at 11:00 pm #8930At the time of this post, Mt Ebeko volcano in the Northern Kuril Islands, has continued to erupt a further 8 times between 15th – 24th May !
20th May 02:22 UTC – 22:21 UTC
21st May 05:24 UTC – 09:20 UTC
22nd May 02:38 UTC – 18:11 UTC
24th may 02:04 UTC – 21:10 UTCIt is noticeable that a 5 day lapse in activity occurred between 15th – 20th May, and it then resumed with double events per day !
Always worth trying for a slice of the pie in this region, but if its not ready to leave the oven…you have to go hungry !. Reviewing my other accumulated data for this region, it suggests seismic science should now take priority.
Continuing this forecast for 7 days from 23:00 UTC May 25
Thank you
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