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7 pts7 ptsNomadicFredJune 3, 2020 at 10:22 am #8976
hmmm day and depth wrong, could have lowered the range to about 180 miles if google earth ruler is right, did not expect it that far inland though, might bring out range 180 for everyone, that would pick up the inland ones and in this case the area by Cerro Paranal that has a lot of 7.0 on the Magnitude
Score: 07 ptsNomadicFredJune 3, 2020 at 10:27 am #8977Oh and thanks to lester and hookecho on the Moon/Sun Link/routine, if you look at the time 03:35:34 I have 3:40:00
https://www.timeanddate.com/worldclock/sunearth.html?iso=20200605T0340
The Moon’s position at its zenith in relation to an observer
Score: 0115 ptslesterJune 3, 2020 at 2:17 pm #8978OH! soooo close Fred, I know how you must feel. All I can say is, don’t drink coffee whilst using your computer… because of moments like this 🙂
I think you should post in proclamations as “predicted by”, rather than successful. And if you include a brief analysis how you determined this location, it may benefit others… and we (you) will have permanent record of this event.
6.8’s don’t happen every day… so every little detail helps !
Definitely a hit in my book !
Score: 07 ptsNomadicFredJune 3, 2020 at 2:38 pm #8979Well I think the rules say its not a hit, which is why I just commentated, as far as the moon location routine,
To setup a timeframe I look at the OLR the Phi and the Moon and sun locations
For the OLR I am looking at a bounce from one extreme to another starting from the negative or pink side to the brown side when I see that I am close to location and the when.
Ideally I want to see the Phi angle drop/rise into the 180 range…. I have no idea on why , just following what I have heard.. this sets up the time start period
to get the time end period I go to the timeanddate.com site and starting at my current time, I walk the sun and moon forward and look for my exit within a 7 day period set my the contest rules where the sun and moon are close to my location or at least the moon, if I have a time where both the sun and moon are overhead I use that as my exit time, if I have the moon (within that 7 days of the contest rule) I go with the moon.
I limit the timeframe by the lows in the area… if from windy.com I have a low that is gone by the 3rd day then I bring in the exit time within the 12 hours of the low being gone and then match it to what the moon and sun are doing
I am still working on a better way to judge the magnitude though , right now its a 30 year average of the one at 6.0 or better for the geographical area and then I do .5 above and below that to make the 1 point range for the contest rules. I know there was something on the Kp index to put in there as well, both on the frequency of the quakes and the magnitude (moreso magnitude) but I lost my notes on that. but I think it went something like low Kp higher Magnitude cause the energy has to be somewhere… thank you for the reply lester
Score: 07 ptsNomadicFredJune 3, 2020 at 2:49 pm #8980tell me if that read ok… I was in the middle of 9 things not related to anything here … I hope everyone is ok… my family is fine here in Cleveland ohio , I don’t go out much as I don’t like to wear a mask and the people are all goofy about that… all the civil discourse is about 5 miles away… oh well be safe everyone… if I missed something on how I do things say Fred I need magnitude or what not and ill reply in this thread as to whatever I missed or answers to comments
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