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115 ptslesterJune 2, 2020 at 7:30 pm #8974
locations…
East of Skiros Island, Aegean Sea … 24’46’E – 38’46’N
West of South Orkney Islands, Scotia Sea … 47’10’W – 60’25’S
East of Kathmandu, Nepal … 86’26’E – 27’52’N
North of Rinca Island, Flores Sea … 119’40’E – 8’00’S
South of Santo Domingo, Dominican republic … 69’55’W – 17’25’N
Off Coast of Antalya, Western Turkey … 30’40’E – 36’44’N
Magnitude: 5.0 – 6.3
Margin: 350 radial Kilometres
Period: From 19:30 UTC June 2, for 10 Days
Includes possible eruptive event from either Mt Etna volcano or Mt Stromboli volcano, Italy
Forecast is based on Seismic / volcanic event time correlations… minus “12 Hours” !
Thank you
Score: 0115 ptslesterJune 3, 2020 at 3:45 pm #8981The locations in this forecast, were derived from experimentation related to trigger theories. This theory relates to the possibility that threshold correlations with undetermined locations, 12 hours prior to seismic occurrence, may be of relevant interest towards trigger analysis. Therefore the location selection process, was a simple matter of taking all 5+ seismic and volcanic event times, between 20th – 31st May. Deducting 12 hours from these event times, and determining positions of solar / lunar thresholds with the aid of http://www.timeanddate.com in respect of these new times. Total Correlating points in the maps for this period, amounted to 16 different locations. Locations in the forecast were then selected from those receiving 10 or more threshold correlations. The idea itself is unconventional, but I have noted over several years, a 12 hour window relationship on many occasions… just unclear how or why this sometimes fits the seismic picture !
On 3rd June at 07:35:34 UTC, an M 6.8 event occurred in Antofagasta, Chile on coordinates 68’25’W – 23’17’S. At this time, it was 1 minute from Sunset on Mt Cleveland volcano in the Aleutian Islands, Alaska… and the RLT was located in the Flores Sea on my stated forecast coordinates. The rising / setting lunar threshold (RLT / SLT) represents the foreglow and afterglow accossiated with the moon, prior to moonrise or after moonset on the horizon… and this calculates at approximately “4 minutes”. Deducting “12 hours” from this event time, calculates as 2nd June 19:35:34 UTC. At this time, the RLT was located on coordinates 68’25’W – 23’17’S, which according to USGS is the epicentre location of the M 6.8 Antofagasta event… the ATE threshold (Astronomical Twilight Ends) was located on Skiros Island in the Aegean Sea, on my stated forecast coordinates… and the moon was located on longitude “25’52’E”. At 07:35:34 UTC 2nd June, exactly 24 hours prior to this event occurring, it was Moonset on this M 6.8 epicentre, and Sunset on Mt Cleveland volcano. This can be confirmed using http://www.sunrisesunsetmap.com On 3rd June at 09:03:29 UTC, an M 5.2 event occurred SSE of Lerapetra, Crete, on longitude “25’54’E”.
The last eruption from Mt Cleveland volcano, occurred on 2nd June at 06:32 UTC. At “12 hours” earlier 18:32 UTC 1st June, the SLT was located in the Flores Sea, on my stated forecast coordinates.
On 3rd June at 09:31:36 UTC, an M 5.9 event occurred SSW of Tonga, on longitude 176’35’W (EMSC listed as 176’43’W)… the moon was located on longitude 175’45’W at this time. Adding “4 Minutes” to this event time, and moon longitude calculates as 176’41’W… the event occurred “4 minutes” before lunar zenith !!
I have tried this theory in the past, and did not achieve positive results, but I didn’t include volcanoes back then… so who knows !
This post has received 1 vote up.Score: 1115 ptslesterJune 3, 2020 at 6:15 pm #8982On 3rd June at 15:54:04 UTC, an M 5.7 event occurred in the Bali Sea, North of Labuan, Lombok Island, on coordinates 116’53’E – 7’00’S. Prior to this at 14:11:18 UTC, the moon was located on longitude 116’53’E… and it was moonset on Mt Cleveland volcano in Aleutian Islands ,Alaska.
On 31st May at 05:09:35 UTC, an M 6.1 event occurred WNW of Lampa, Southern Peru on coordinates 70’39’W – 15’16’S. Sunset at this epicentre between 22nd May – 11th June, occurs at 22:19 UTC. Sunrise at the M 5.7 Bali Sea epicentre between 3rd – 7th June occurs at 22:19 UTC. There is a 3 mile threshold difference on 2nd June, for sunrise to occur here at 22:19 UTC on this day. Epicentre coordinates are only as reliable as the service being provided by USGS !!
Deducting “12 hours” from 05:09:35 UTC 31st may, equates to 17:09:35 UTC 30th May. At this time, it was sunset off the coast of Antalya, Western turkey, on my stated forecast coordinates… and the RLT was located South of Santo Domingo, Dominican Republic, on my stated forecast coordinates.
Between 3rd – 7th June at 22:19 UTC, the sun transits from longitude 155’10’W to 154’59’W… i.e. Solar Noon (high noon) on Big Island, Hawaii.
Score: 0115 ptslesterJune 4, 2020 at 1:58 pm #8988On 3rd June I noted a Moderate 2+ Swarm was in progress in Banda Aceh, North Sumatra… totalling 20 events between 22:27:34 UTC 3rd Jun – 05:11:17 UTC 4th June. First swarm member was an M 4.2 at 22:27:34 UTC, at “12 hours” earlier 10:27:34 UTC, the RLT was located in Nepal on my stated forecast coordinates. Prior to this event occurring, at 22:06 UTC the ATB threshold (Astronomical Twilight Begins) was located on Banda Aceh… it was sunrise in the Flores Sea on my stated Forecast coordinates… and the SLT was located on my forecast coordinates in Nepal.
On 4th June at 01:32:11 UTC, an M 5.5 event occurred in Southern California… the moon was located on longitude 47’07’W at this time. My Scotia Sea forecast states longitude 47’10’W !
On 4th June at 08:49:39 UTC, an M 6.4 event occurred in Tobelo, Indonesia on coordinates 128’14’E – 2’55’N. At “12 hours” earlier 20:49:39 UTC 3rd June, the ATB threshold was located in the Flores Sea on my stated forecast coordinates. Prior to this event occurring, at 07:38 UTC Mt Sakurajima volcano exploded in Kyushu, Japan. At “12 hours” earlier 19:38 UTC 3rd June, the SLT was located on coordinates 128’14’E – 2’55’N !
On 4th June at 11:21:52 UTC, an M 5.1 event occurred in Port Vila, Vanuatu. At “12 hours” earlier 23:21:52 UTC 3rd June, it was sunrise in Banda Aceh, Northern Sumatra !
Score: 0115 ptslesterJune 4, 2020 at 3:54 pm #8989Trivia…
On 29th May at 04:30 UTC (12:30 pm local East java), a gas explosion occurred from Mt Ijen volcano in East Java. Unfortunately, this resulted in the death of a sulphur miner working next to the caldron lake. At “12 hours” earlier 16:30 UTC 28th May, the sun was located on longitude 68’10’W. This longitude is the Solar Noon (high noon) threshold limit to longitude 68’25’W. The M 6.8 Antofagasta, Chile event of 3rd June, occurred on longitude 68’25’W… all depends on weather the event time was reported accurately “to the minute” !
The last report relating to Mt Ijen volcano was posted 8th October 2015 !
Score: 0115 ptslesterJune 7, 2020 at 2:43 pm #8998Trivia…
On 29th May, a small seismic swarm occurred in Yellowstone National Park, Wyoming. According to EMSC, a total of nine 2+ events occurred between 09:15:07 UTC – 11:37:46 UTC. The first swarm member was an M 2.1 event at 09:15:07 UTC, if you deduct “12 hours” this equates to 21:15:07 UTC 28th May. At this time, it was sunrise on coordinates 128’14’E – 2’55’N, location of the M 6.4 Tobelo, Indonesia epicentre of 4th June !
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