• 15 pts
    Canyonrat
    June 20, 2020 at 6:21 pm #9037

    There must be bigger energy building from the south and the west. The fact that Japan has gone totally quiet from larger places it into a high alert status.

    M 5.8 to M 6.8 34°14’36.98″N 137°22’1.30″E 2020-06-20 to 2020-06-27 less then 100km deep. Radius 160km/100mls.

    This one should strike and the northern Japan should by struck, perhaps by an even larger quake.

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    June 20, 2020 at 10:23 pm #9038

    Hmmm yes, I agree… same reason why I posted a high mag prediction for Hokkaido !!

    my concern is with the recent lack of volcano activity, particularly with to mainland Japan and the Kamchatka region. According to http://www.volcanodiscovery.com , the last volcanic eruption occurred at 02:20 UTC 12th June… this was from Mt klyuchevskoy volcano in Kamchatka. Prior to this, the last volcanic activity in mainland Japan, was an explosive event from Mt Sakurajima volcano in Kyushu… this occurred on 10th June at 02:19 UTC. the last report issued by volcano discovery with reference to mainland Japan, was on 10th June at 12:15 UTC… this related to volcanic ash emissions from Mt Aso volcano in Kyushu.

    I originally considered the possibility that these events from Mt Klyuchevskoy and Mt Sakurajima, may have correlated to the M 6.2 Northern Mariana Islands event of 13th June. On 10th June at 02:19 UTC, the sun was located on longitude 145’07’E… on 12th June at 02:20 UTC, the sun was located on longitude 144’59’E. The M 6.2 Mariana event occurred on longitude 145’06’E, therefore, it was solar noon on a pre seismic anomaly on both counts. However, it has now been 7 days since the Mariana’s event, and pre event activity has not returned to these regions. It suggests they may be being inhibited by a pre seismic build up of some kind !

    I have a strong feeling Japan is going to get a big hit, but actual location is still open to speculation. I chose Hokkaido because it fits with my M 7.4 Kermadec’s analysis in the “chat room”. On 5th June at 18:53 UTC, the SLT was located on the pre seismic M 7.4 Kermadec Islands epicentre of 18th June… the ATB threshold was located on the pre seismic M 6.6 Naze, Japan epicentre of 13th June. And I have recently discovered it was also moonset in Kushiro Canyon, Hokkaido at this time. On 21st June between times 06:41:56 UTC – 06:44:35 UTC, New Moon occurs, and this is accompanied by an annular solar eclipse. At “12 hours” earlier 18:43 UTC 20th June, it was sunrise in Kushiro Canyon, Hokkaido !

    You get kudos from me on this occasion, because you made a significant observation… though, it was a few hours behind the old timer LOL. But as I have described here, there are other less obvious events occurring that may relate to the same region. Your seismic wave started on 13th June, my correlation trail started on 5th June. At 19:26:22 UTC 20th June, an M 5.7 event occurred North of Iceland. The last sunrise and sunset to occur on this epicentre was at 01:36 UTC – 01:05 UTC respectively on “5th June”. It is now in permanent daylight for Northern hemisphere summer since this date… interesting !!

    Score: 0
    15 pts
    Canyonrat
    June 21, 2020 at 7:22 am #9041

    This area I forecasted should go off first, then I can make the next forecast, likely near Hokkaido.

    AND hot off the press…or maybe magma chamber.

    Observed: M 4.4 – 67 km SSW of ?yama, Japan 2020-06-21 04:55:21 (UTC) 34.022°N 137.985°E 306.2 km depth. USGS.

    I already have points for my center point being 322 feet away from this quake. LOL But it is not the one I am after, too deep. But the depth adds .6 to the magnitude making it a 5.0. So we should see a 4.5 to 5.5 strike near and soon. I’m looking for 5.8 to 6.8. But as dutch says, watch because the next quake could be 1 magnitude higher and that would mean a 6.0 could strike.

    Score: 0
    15 pts
    Canyonrat
    June 21, 2020 at 7:46 am #9042

    Ok I had to double check the UTC times on my forcast and the 4.4 quake. It was 2020-06-21 01:22:00 UTC at time of my forecast and the quake struck at 2020-06-21 04:55:21 (UTC). So I was about 3 1/2 hours before the quake struck. I can do accounting fore millions of dollars but one little UTC calculation is just about a train wreck for me. LOL

    Score: 0
    15 pts
    Canyonrat
    June 23, 2020 at 3:48 pm #9059

    Japan still quiet??? This could be good, but it could be bad. This silence has my full attention. I will be away from my computer next 8 hours.

    Score: 0
    15 pts
    Canyonrat
    June 24, 2020 at 3:07 am #9075

    I knew today would be big.

    Observed: M 7.4 – south of the Kermadec Islands 2020-06-18 12:49:53 (UTC) 33.294°S 177.838°W 10.0 km depth came into play today.

    So I thought it would push north to Japan…but not today…and it still could.

    Observed today: M 7.4 – 12 km SSW of Santa María Zapotitlán, Mexico 2020-06-23 15:29:05 (UTC) 16.029°N 95.901°W 26.3 km depth. And the Tensor data is super strange. I am not experienced enough to know what it means. Tensor link: https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eventpage/us6000ah9t/moment-tensor

    So today’s 7.4 is likely from June 18’s 7.4 near New Zealand.

    Now go to google earth and follow this, and it is eye opening. Draw a circle from the New Zealand quake out to 40,000km/24,850mls and save it. Then do the same for the Mexican quake, same distance. Where the intersect up north, measure over to Mount Ebeko Volcano which is erupting. Ebeko is only 170km/106mls from the intersection point. Mnt Ebeko is only .00425% off from a perfect triangle. I must give credit to Dutch for pointing this out. But I will add my thoughts that this triangular pattern is what Dr. Hoagland spoke of planetary geometry involving tetrahedrals.

    This will lead me to post a new “Watch”, but not forecast for the South Sandwich Islands, 5.0 to 7.0 activity next 7 days.

    Score: 0
    15 pts
    Canyonrat
    June 29, 2020 at 1:45 am #9137

    Some partial misses. 🙁 But still solid misses.

    I caught this one! Observed: M 4.4 – 67 km SSW of ?yama, Japan 2020-06-21 04:55:21 (UTC) 34.022°N 137.985°E 306.2 km depth. USGS. Too small and had to throw it back into the ocean. LOL And I don’t fish. LOL

    Observed this big one, but out of reach, but Lester caught it!!! M 5.9 – 40 km SE of Hasaki, Japan 2020-06-24 19:47:44 (UTC) 35.453°N 141.127°E 28.9 km depth. Congrats to Lester on his northern forecast!

    Observed this one, but out of reach and too small. M 4.2 – Izu Islands, Japan region 2020-06-26 01:25:36 (UTC) 30.762°N 137.461°E 484.5 km depth and the depth to magnitude makes this one a 5.1 !!! And I will make a forecast based upon this one under my hypothesis that it will roll under the Pacific and strike unexpectedly inland in North America east of California. My watch area is south of “about here 30°24’3.54″N 139°39’40.63″E and this is still being developed.

    Score: 0
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