• 115 pts
    lester
    June 26, 2020 at 9:00 pm #9109

    Location: Southeast of Andaman Island … 95’03’E – 10’05’N

    Magnitude: 5.2 – 6.5

    Margin: 350 Radial kilometres

    Period: From 21:00 UTC June 26, for 10 days

    Ref; 4.0 Ghana 24/6

    Thank you

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    July 8, 2020 at 1:15 am #9222

    Continuing this forecast for 10 days from 01:15 UTC July 8

    Ref; 4.6 Andaman 23:49:28 UTC = 6.6 Java 6/7 ATE -12 hours

    Thank you

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    July 17, 2020 at 11:16 pm #9280

    On 24th June at 22:53:52 UTC, an M 4.0 event occurred near the North end of the Weija reservoir in Ghana, West Africa on coordinates 0’21’W – 5’37’N. It has been suggested that this event occurred due to over-spill of the hydroelectric dam i.e. volume of water is causing ground compression. On checking EMSC records, this event appears to be the only one to have occurred in this region during the last 15 years… or within limited period of EMSC records. This suggestion is “not” in dispute, but it would be interesting to know if, or when similar water levels were reached in this reservoir, during the stated 15 year period for comparison.

    I had formulated an observational analysis related to the M 4.0 Ghana event… and posted a correlating forecast location accordingly. As off 14:03:42 UTC 17th July, a corresponding M 6.1 event has occurred in the Andaman Islands region on coordinates 94’52’E – 11’58’N. There is a Northerly difference of 210 km’s with the posted forecast coordinates. But due to threshold angles at this time of year, the pre 26th June formula is still within tolerant margins… thus data continues to correspond with the epicentre location.

    The following table was used to calculate lunar stability between two specific locations i.e. moonrise / moonset. locations chosen were moonset in the Andaman Islands region, or pre epicentre coordinates… and moonrise at the coast of Oaxaca, Mexico. Each time represents the moon exactly on longitude 0’21’W Ghana.

    20th June 11:21:41 UTC – moon 0’21’W – 22’14’N … MR Oaxaca 96’52’W …… MS Andaman 94’50’E
    21st June 12:15:25 UTC – moon 0’21’W – 23’47’N … MR Oaxaca 97’36’W …… MS Andaman 94’52’E
    22nd June 13:11:11 UTC – moon 0’21’W – 23’58’N … MR Oaxaca 97’36’W …… MS Andaman 94’52’E
    23rd June 14:07:33 UTC – moon 0’21’W – 22’41’N … MR Oaxaca 97’06’W …… MS Andaman 94’52’E
    24th June 15:03:05 UTC – moon 0’21’W – 19’57’N … MR Oaxaca 95’30’W …… MS Andaman 94’52’E
    25th June 15:56:51 UTC – moon 0’21’W – 16’00’N … MR Oaxaca 95’00’W …… MS Andaman 93’15’E

    The table shows that between 21st – 24th June, moonrise in Oaxaca differed by 2 degrees, whilst Andaman remained constant. Only exeption since the M 6.1 Andaman Islands event occurred, relates to 24th June… the SLT replaces moonset due to coordinate difference. On 20th and 25th June, as the table shows… there was no match with the Andaman epicentre or forecast coordinates.

    During 21st and 24th June, several solar / lunar ephemeris events occurred. These events do not directly correlate to the locations in question, but give some indication of potential influences during this period…

    On 21st June between times 04:15:14 UTC – 04:34:00 UTC, the sun and moon shared the same lateral position of 23’26’N for the duration of this period. This latitude is the highest the sun attains during the Northern Hemisphere solstice period. At 04:34:00 UTC, the moon was located on longitude 110’47’E. On 6th July at 22:54:47 UTC, an M 6.7 event occurred in Java, Indonesia on longitude 110’41’E… this event was included (second post above) in my determinations to continue this forecast.

    On 21st June between times 06:41:56 UTC – 06:44:35 UTC, It was New Moon and this was accompanied by a Northern Hemisphere solar eclipse.

    On 22nd June between times 00:51:43 UTC – 06:58:29 UTC, the moon was located on its most Northern Latitude for June at 24’04’N, and remained at this latitude for the duration of this period… a lunar standstill.

    On 22nd June at 17:34:34 UTC, the sun made its first move South, after being at solar standstill for solstice, on latitude 23’26’N since first reaching this latitude at 01:22:41 UTC on 19th June.

    On 23rd June between times 03:10:28 UTC – 03:28:21 UTC, the sun and moon were again sharing the same lateral position of 23’25’N.

    Each of these events correlate to several of my current forecast locations, but these are not relevant in this analysis. Although this forecast resulted in a successful outcome, it does not conclusively suggest solar / lunar threshold correlations won the day over water volume theory. This is one analysis, and just like more “volume to quake” comparisons would be required to determine if this was a “working” theory. Further comparable analysis would be required as per my methodology i.e. would I get another positive result from analysing recent earthquakes in China !

    The idea of posting this analysis, is to give opportunity to others to determine if this data can be deemed credible. This is pure observation, using online tools to determine calculations. However, though I try to be impartial whilst analysing comparative theories, on this occasion my last correlation may have swung the balance in my favour…

    As mentioned at the start of this analysis, the M 4.0 Ghana event occurred on 24th June at 22:53:52 UTC. At “12 hours earlier 10:53:52 UTC, the SLT (Setting Lunar Threshold) was located on coordinates 145’45’E – 7’50’S pre seismic M 7.0 Eastern New Guinea epicentre of 17th July. Also at this time,the ATB threshold was located on both Los Angeles and the San Francisco Bay Area… this was an “interesting” event !!

    http://www.timeanddate.com

    http://www.sunrisesunsetmap.com

    http://www.fourmilab.ch

    Thank you

    Score: 0
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