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115 ptslesterJuly 26, 2020 at 7:30 pm #9313
Location: East of Tarata, Southern Peru … 69’42’W – 17’34’S
Magnitude: 5.0 – 6.3
Margin: 350 Radial Kilometres
Period: From 19:30 UTC July 26, for 10 days
Forecast includes possible eruptive event from Mt Merapi volcano in Central Java 110’27’E – 7’32’S
Analysis…
My analysis starts with an interesting phenomena, and combined with significant post seismic correlations, it suggests one possible reason why a long duration swarm is occurring in Southern Peru. At this time of year, the sun transits one Arc minute of distance every 3 seconds. I used my model and placed the sun on longitude 69’42’W… at the first second of contact with this longitude. I did this over several days and compared the relevant results against the months of June and August. The following table displays the results…
19th July – 16:45:10 UTC
20th July – 16:45:14 UTC
21st July – 16:45:16 UTC
22nd July – 16:45:18 UTC
23rd July – 16:45:20 UTC
24th July – 16:45:21 UTC … 24th June – 16:41:24 UTC … 24th August – 16:36:59 UTC
25th July – 16:45:21 UTC … 25th June – 16:41:37 UTC … 25th August – 16:36:42 UTC
26th July – 16:45:21 UTC … 26th June – 16:41:49 UTC … 26th August – 16:36:25 UTC
27th July – 16:45:20 UTC
28th July – 16:45:18 UTC
29th July – 16:45:16 UTC
30th July – 16:45:13 UTC
31st July – 16:45:10 UTCAs the table shows, the sun made contact with longitude 69’42’W, at the exact same time on 24th, 25th and 26th July. On 25th July at 16:45:21 UTC, the RLT (Rising Lunar Threshold) was located on the post seismic M 7.4 Oaxaca, Mexico epicentre of 23rd June… and it was Moonset on the post seismic M 6.3 Western Xizang, China epicentre of 22nd July. On 24th July at 03:19:51 UTC, an M 5.5 event occurred in Oaxaca, Mexico, close to the original M 7.4 epicentre. Timings on any longitude during these stated dates would produce similar solar position results. But it was only at the relevant time and date stated, with analysis from 10 minute increments during this period that a significant correlation occurred with 6+ post seismic epicentres since 1st June.
Further correlations are as follows…
On 25th July at 02:34 UTC, the SLT was located on the stated coordinates and Puerto Rico… and the RLT was located on Mt Merapi volcano.
On 25th July at 10:38 UTC, it was sunset on Mt Merapi volcano, and sunset on coordinates 122’27’E – 24’16’N, pre seismic M 5.3 Taiwan epicentre of 26th July.
On 25th July at 15:03 UTC, it was Moonrise on the stated coordinates… the SLT was located on Mt Merapi volcano… and the moon was located on longitude 19’42’E. On 26th July at 14:16:02 UTC, an M 4.5 event occurred in Albania on longitude 19’42’E !
On 25th July at 12:43:42 UTC, an M 3.1 event occurred in Southern Peru… this was the first member of the current swarm. At this time, the ATE threshold (Astronomical Twilight Ends) was located on Mt Ebeko Volcano in the Northern Kuril Islands.
On 25th July at 11:07 UTC, it was sunrise in Southern Peru on the stated coordinates, and the ATE threshold was located on coordinates 126’50’E – 6’20’N, pre seismic M 5.2 Mindanao, Philippines epicentre of 26th July.
On 26th July at 03:27 UTC, it was Moonset on the stated coordinates, and the SLT was located on coordinates 69’25’W – 18’43’N, pre seismic M 4.2 Dominican Republic epicentre of 26th July.
On 26th July at 15:45 UTC, it was Moonrise on the stated coordinates… Moonrise on Puerto Rico… and the SLT was located on Mt Raung volcano in East Java.
Back to the table… On 27th July at 16:45:20 UTC, the sun will be located on longitude 69’42’W, and it will be Moonset on Mt Merapi volcano. Mt Merapi volcano resides on longitude 110’27’E, the opposite longitude calculates as 69’33’W.
Focus of this forecast is mostly with Mt Merapi volcano. As I believe the swarm in Southern Peru is responding to opposite threshold correlations with either Mindanao, Philippines, or East coast Honshu, Japan… or lunar correlations with Southern Chile.
http://www.timeanddate.com
http://www.sunrisesunsetmap.com
http://www.fourmilab.chThank you
Score: 0115 ptslesterJuly 27, 2020 at 6:31 pm #9316With reference to my conclusion in last post…
On 27th July at 17:32:44 UTC, an M 5.8 event occurred in Mindanao, Philippines… and the ATB threshold was located off the East Coast of Honshu, Japan at this time.
Seismic swarms are good indicators of notable pre seismic activity… but not necessarily at the location they occur at !
Score: 0115 ptslesterAugust 6, 2020 at 6:45 pm #9358Continuing this forecast for 10 days from 18:45 UTC August 6
Note – Real-time updates have not been occurring at http://www.volcanodiscovery.com for the past month. They are currently publishing reports once or twice a day between 08:00 UTC – 10:00 UTC… change may be attributed to pandemic !
Last report prior to this post was “Thu, 6 Aug 2020, 10:00”
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