• 3 pts
    Marco Polo
    November 16, 2020 at 4:55 pm #9760

    Coordinates: 37°57’49″N 20°56’38″E

    Radius: 200miles

    Valid for 72 hours from November 16th, 5pm UTC

    Range: 4.5-6R

    Score: 0
    3 pts
    Marco Polo
    November 17, 2020 at 7:18 am #9765

    4.4R in the strike zone. Nafpaktos.

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    November 17, 2020 at 3:59 pm #9766

    https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/ace-real-time-solar-wind

    At 12:34 UTC today (17th Nov), an aspect change occurred in the ACE magnetic data. This coincided with the moon being located on longitude 21’49’E at this time… the M 4.4 Greece event of this morning occurred on longitude 21’51’E. The data may reflect a residual energy signature from said event, or may be indicating the presence of “more” unreleased energy within a short range of this longitude. Considering the level of influence currently being displayed in the ACE data… the later option seems the more likely probability !

    Another possibility relates to the ATB threshold being located on Puerto Libertad in Sonora, Mexico at this same time. Other options include the ATE threshold located on North Sumatra, and the sun located on the opposite longitude to Port-Vila, Vanuatu. Looking at how elements were situated “12-hours” earlier at 00:34 UTC, it was solar noon in Port-Vila, Vanuatu… and sunset in Puerto Libertad, Sonora, Mexico !

    Other data I have accumulated since 5th November, suggests further activity in Greece is highly probable… but seems to focus more in the region of Preveza.

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    November 18, 2020 at 12:02 am #9767

    https://www.emsc-csem.org/Earthquake/earthquake.php?id=922099

    Okay… all you have to do now is calculate the longitude of the sun, at “exactly” 12-hours prior to this event.

    Preveza is located on longitude 20’44’E !!

    http://www.fourmilab.ch/cgi-bin/Earth

    Score: 0
    3 pts
    Marco Polo
    November 18, 2020 at 8:55 am #9768

    Thank you Les. 5.1 event in Vanuatu does indeed point to the Ionian Sea. It looks like the forecast is still active. Focusing on the Ionian Sea in particular.

    Forecast is still active anyway but will extend until end of play November 20th to be on the safe side.

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    November 20, 2020 at 12:14 pm #9772

    Observed… M 5.5 West of Macquarie Island 03:19:15 UTC 20th Nov

    At “12-hours” earlier 15:19:15 UTC 19th Nov, it was sunset in Preveza, Greece… sunset also occurs at this “same time” today !

    http://www.sunrisesunsetmap.com

    Score: 0
    3 pts
    Marco Polo
    November 21, 2020 at 6:35 pm #9776

    Thank you Les.

    Extending this forecast for another 72 hours.

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    November 22, 2020 at 12:52 pm #9782

    Observed… M 5.3 Northern Algeria 03:53:09 UTC 22nd Nov = ATB threshold located on 20’44’E – 38’57’N Preveza, Greece.

    (20.47’long – 38.95’lat)

    https://in-the-sky.org/ephemeris.php?irs=1&objtype=1&objpl=Sun&objtxt=the+Sun&tz=1&startday=21&startmonth=11&startyear=2020&interval=1&rows=25

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    November 24, 2020 at 5:55 pm #9785

    Observed… M 5.0 Volcano Islands 16:51:57 UTC = ATE threshold located on 20’44’E – 38’57’N Preveza, Greece

    (20.74′ long – 38.95′ lat)

    https://in-the-sky.org/ephemeris.php?irs=1&objtype=1&objpl=Sun&objtxt=the+Sun&tz=1&startday=23&startmonth=11&startyear=2020&interval=1&rows=25

    Score: 0
    3 pts
    Marco Polo
    November 24, 2020 at 8:46 pm #9787

    Thank you Les. More confluence…

    Score: 0
    3 pts
    Marco Polo
    November 26, 2020 at 4:20 am #9791

    Extending this forecast for 72 more hours.

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    December 2, 2020 at 4:55 pm #9826

    On 30th Nov at 22:54:34 UTC, an M 6.4 event occurred in the Tatar Strait, Russia. This was followed 25 seconds later by an M 6.3 event in Salta, Argentina. There is nothing overly significant about the magnitude range of these events. But the fact that they occurred several thousand kilometres apart, within the same minute, could be deemed a rare event, and may be of relevance !

    At these event times, the moon was located on longitudes 20’17’E and 20’11’E respectively. Considering activity that has occurred in Greece today, I thought these lunar correlations might be worth mentioning !

    I noted the M 4.5 in the Attica region, and therefore you were on target here too. It is only the constraints of timing that this was not an official success. My philosophy is that if a seismic anomaly begins to appear in data sets, it does not necessarily indicate an event is imminent. It could imply that the anomaly has reached a specific stress level, that is detectable in satellite data, seismic correlations, OLR signatures etc, or what ever method you chose to employ. The actual event could occur several days or weeks later. And this is one reason why I post a few days on a potential location, then wait for further data before proceeding. I am sure Ben is aware of this buildup period, and why we are given the option of 20 days per forecast, compared to other prediction websites.

    Score: 0
    3 pts
    Marco Polo
    December 2, 2020 at 9:11 pm #9828

    Thank you Les! I did indeed see the Argentina
    event correlationn with the West side of Greece!

    Score: 0
    3 pts
    Marco Polo
    December 3, 2020 at 8:04 pm #9832

    Reactivating this forecast from Dec 4th for 4 days.

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    December 16, 2020 at 7:38 pm #9927

    6th Dec 04:50:09 UTC – M 5.0 Pacific Antarctic Ridge
    7th Dec 22:30:03 UTC – M 5.1 Solomon Islands -12 hrs
    12th Dec 17:48:04 UTC – M 5.2 New Ireland P.N.G. -12 hrs
    16th Dec 05:49:23 UTC – M 5.3 Sand Point, Alaska
    16th Dec 17:48:43 UTC – M 5.6 Southern Peru -12 hrs

    I hear it is nice in Preveza at this time of the year !

    Score: 0
    3 pts
    Marco Polo
    December 17, 2020 at 12:06 pm #9930

    Confluence with a seperate study that shows South Albania/Corfu!!

    Score: 0
    3 pts
    Marco Polo
    December 17, 2020 at 12:07 pm #9931

    Reactivating this forecast for 72 hours.

    Score: 0
    3 pts
    Marco Polo
    December 19, 2020 at 8:11 am #9941

    4.1R South Albania.

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    December 19, 2020 at 12:31 pm #9942

    on 17th Dec at 18:16:48 UTC, an M 3.8 event occurred in Uttar Pradesh, India (139 felt). At this time, the SLT was located on the pre seismic M 4.1 Albania epicentre, and it was moonrise in San Francisco. At “12-hours” earlier 06:16:48 UTC, the SLT was located on Mauna Loa volcano in Hawaii.

    The M 4.1 event in albania occurred at 00:53:12 UTC 19th Dec… it was sunset in San Francisco !

    Several correlations with Preveza, Greece also extended to Albania, Macedonia and Croatia… I didn’t follow through because this forecast was for “Ionian Region” !

    Very good call… 🙂

    Score: 0
    3 pts
    Marco Polo
    December 19, 2020 at 8:16 pm #9950

    Thank you my friend 😊

    Score: 0
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