• 3 pts
    Marco Polo
    November 26, 2020 at 3:54 pm #9792

    Coordinates: 34°43’33″N 119°43’26″W

    Valid from Nov 27th for 72 hours

    Magnitude: 5-6.5R

    Radius: 350 miles

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    November 28, 2020 at 9:18 pm #9801

    https://www.volcanodiscovery.com/klyuchevskoy/news/114781/Klyuchevskoy-Volcano-Volcanic-Ash-Advisory-ERUPTION-AT-202011272328Z-FL200-EXTD-E-REPORTED-OBS-VA-DT.html

    On 27th Nov at 23:28 UTC, Mt Klyuchevskoy volcano erupted in Kamchatka, Russia. On 28th Nov at 13:09:47 UTC, an M 5.3 event occurred on the Southeast Pacific Rise. Four minutes later at 13:14 UTC, a significant aspect change occurred in the ACE MAG data.

    As per my method, these events correspond as RLT – SLT – ATB on the US west coast, converging at Santa Barbara, California !

    Score: 0
    3 pts
    Marco Polo
    November 28, 2020 at 10:00 pm #9802

    Excellent teamwork Les!! We just had a felt 2.3R event there. More to come…

    Score: 0
    3 pts
    Marco Polo
    November 28, 2020 at 10:00 pm #9803

    Extending this forecast for another 72 hours.

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    November 29, 2020 at 4:03 pm #9809

    https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/ace-real-time-solar-wind

    On 29th Nov at 14:03 UTC, a significant aspec change occurred in the ACE MAG data… the Phi level dropped to the floor. This time corresponds with moonset in Santa Barbara, California. It also reduces the possibility of notable seismic anomalies further inland from the coast, because the threshold angle is more easterly… although, there is a double correlation leading up to the Yosemite valley region. The Santa Barbara region does experience its fair share of seismic activity, but I would personally be drawn further south towards the channel Islands !

    Score: 0
    3 pts
    Marco Polo
    November 30, 2020 at 8:50 pm #9814

    Thank you Les.

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    November 30, 2020 at 9:38 pm #9815

    On 30th Nov at 00:37:04 UTC, an M 5.0 event occurred in the Tonga Region. This event corresponded with moonrise in the Channel islands Region… compared with moonrise in Santa Barbara at 00:35 UTC. I calculated this event against the previously mentioned correlations, and it equates to 119’50’E – 34’24’N Santa Cruz Island. However, my computations have been a little off target lately… so no guarantees.

    Further to this, I posted a forecast yesterday for Kamchatka, with inclusion of my special solar flare technique ( 🙂 ). This has so far only produced an M 4.5, but the event occurred today at 14:46:24 UTC. At 14:46 UTC, it was sunrise in the Channel Islands on the stated coordinates… and sunrise occurred in Santa Barbara at 14:47 UTC !

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    November 30, 2020 at 9:41 pm #9816

    119’50’W (West) !

    Score: 0
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