• 3 pts
    Marco Polo
    December 13, 2020 at 11:00 am #9899

    Coordinates: 26Β°51’58″N 128Β°27’31″E

    Size: 4.5-5.5R

    Radius: 250 Miles

    Valid from Dec 13th for 72 hours

    This post has received 1 vote up.
    Score: 1
    3 pts
    Marco Polo
    December 13, 2020 at 11:13 am #9900

    Confluence with 5.2R Java and 5.3R Fiji.

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    December 13, 2020 at 2:16 pm #9901

    https://www.volcanodiscovery.com/suwanosejima/news/116197/Suwanose-jima-Volcano-Volcanic-Ash-Advisory-ERUPTED-AT-202012130239Z-FL060-EXTD-SE-OBS-VA-DTG-130230.html

    On 13th Dec at 02:39 UTC, an eruption occurred from Mt Suwanosejima volcano in the Ryukyu Islands. At “12-hours” earlier 14:39 UTC 12th Dec, the RLT was located on the west flank of Mauna Loa volcano in Hawaii. This is the first correlation I have observed with Mauna Loa since 5th Dec. At 11:40:41 UTC today, an M 3.1 event occurred on the west flank of Mauna Loa volcano. This was the strongest event to occur in this region since the M 4.2 event of 4th Dec. This is an example of how correlations with active volcanoes are influencing seismic and volcanic activity !

    On 13th Dec at 07:25:34 UTC, an M 5.3 event occurred south of the Fiji Islands. at “12-hours” earlier 19:25:34 UTC 12th Dec, the ATE threshold was located on Mt Ebeko volcano in the Northern Kuril Islands… did Ebeko influence this event 12-hours earlier ?

    On 13th Dec at 08:39:49 UTC, an M 5.2 event occurred South of Java, Indonesia. At “12-hours” earlier 20:39:49 UTC, the ATE threshold was located on Mt Sakurajima volcano in Kyushu, Japan… did Sakurajima influence this event 12-hours earlier ?

    The point of this example is to emphasis that your forecast location not only correlates with two 5+ earthquakes. But it also correlates with two prominently active volcanoes, via the 12-hour window theory. Therefore, I believe this seismic / volcanic relationship increases the odds of success in your favor !

    Events in Java and Fiji may also indicate further activity from Mt Ebeko and Mt Sakurajima volcanoes, within the next 48 hours. Mt Ebeko volcano has already erupted 3 times during the last 48 hours… so further activity is not unexpected. However, Mt Sakurajima volcano experienced an explosive event on 9th Dec, but the last “eruption” occurred on 5th Dec !

    Okinawa… ancestral home of Mr Myagi :))

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    115 pts
    lester
    December 13, 2020 at 10:05 pm #9903

    On 14th December, the transition of moonset from the north shore of Okinawa Island to the south shore, takes 4 minutes between times 08:12 UTC – 08:16 UTC. Mt Sakurajima volcano erupted at 20:14 UTC 13th December. If you advance the “12-hour” window, this means that exactly 12 hours after eruption, it will be moonset in Ginoza, Central Okinawa at 08:14 UTC !

    Further to this, sunset actually occurs on Mt Sakurajima volcano at 08:15 UTC 14th December… it will also be moonset in Okinawa City at this time !

    Score: 0
    3 pts
    Marco Polo
    December 14, 2020 at 11:21 am #9907

    Impressive set of confluence events Les! If it hits you know we need to type all this stuff up!!

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    December 14, 2020 at 4:33 pm #9909

    Observed… M 6.0 Antofagasta, Chile 15:20:49 UTC 14th Dec. At the time this event occurred, the moon was located on longitude 52’04’W. The opposite longitude calculates as 127’56’E Ginoza, Central Okinawa Island, Japan !

    I have been typing this stuff up for over 12 years… it hasn’t got me anywhere, so don’t waste your time !!

    Score: 0
    3 pts
    Marco Polo
    December 14, 2020 at 5:31 pm #9910

    Do I have your word that once the LA event hits over the next few hours that you will change your mind? πŸ˜€

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    December 14, 2020 at 8:51 pm #9913

    This is called being “optimistically confident”… and reminds me of an old song by Johnny Mercer πŸ™‚

    If you get a 5.5+ hit in the “Greater Los Angeles Area” before Christmas… I will reconsider my position !

    Score: 0
    3 pts
    Marco Polo
    December 15, 2020 at 8:55 am #9919

    By this weekend I make it!!

    Score: 0
    3 pts
    Marco Polo
    December 15, 2020 at 10:25 am #9920

    Extending this forecast by 72 more hours.

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    December 15, 2020 at 4:27 pm #9921

    In 1954 Johnny Mercer wrote a song called “Something’s Gotta Give”… an appropriate title for our situation here. He also wrote another song called “Fools Rush In”… thought I would save this one for another occasion… πŸ™‚

    I have been reviewing my own data in relation to Los Angeles, and have determined only three recent correlations with LA during December; M 5.3 Western Turkey 5/12 – Mt Ebeko volcano 8/12 – M 6.2 Taiwan 10/12. I personally would require more data than this, to speculate a 5+ event in this region. But there is undoubtedly some concern in respect of the M 6.2 in Taiwan… especially if history is fated to repeat itself !

    On 13th July 2008 at 14:58:33 UTC, an M 6.4 event occurred in the Taiwan Region on coordinates 121’15’E – 21’00’N. On 29th July 2008 at 18:42:15 UTC, an M 5.5 event occurred in the Santa Ana district of Los Angeles. According to EMSC records, this was the strongest event to occur in this region during the last 15 years. At the time of this event, it was moonrise on the post seismic M 6.4 Taiwan epicentre !

    https://www.emsc-csem.org/Earthquake/earthquake.php?id=92234

    So maybe there is hope for you yet… πŸ™‚

    Score: 0
    3 pts
    Marco Polo
    December 17, 2020 at 11:29 am #9929

    Ξ‘nd a hit!

    4.6R South of Okinawa.

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    December 17, 2020 at 3:06 pm #9933

    https://www.emsc-csem.org/Earthquake/earthquake.php?id=930237

    Observed… M 4.6 Ryukyu Islands 10:18:36 UTC 17th Dec on coordinates 126’34’E – 26’15’N. At “12-hours” earlier 22:18:36 UTC 16th Dec, the sun was located on longitude 155’38’W Mauna Loa volcano. Hawaii… and the moon was located on longitude 122’47’W San Francisco. At 24-hours earlier 10:18:36 UTC 16th Dec, it was moonset on the M 4.6 Ryukyu Islands epicentre !

    A well observed correlation, and you didn’t need any encouragement from Johnny… πŸ™‚

    Well Done…

    Score: 0
    3 pts
    Marco Polo
    December 18, 2020 at 12:54 pm #9935

    Thank you Mr Miyagi!! 😁

    Score: 0
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