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    Posted in: Make A Forecast  
  • 15 pts
    Canyonrat
    July 5, 2020 at 6:15 pm #9197

    Observed: M 4.0 – 2km NW of The Geysers, CA 2020-07-05 16:14:07 (UTC) 38.788°N 122.766°W 0.7 km depth

    A noticeable increase in the number of quakes has occurred at the Geysers. Activity remains very quiet on the southern half of the Juan de Fuca with the largest of 22 quakes off shore being a 3.0 on June 22.

    My thinking is energy is stuck off shore and has pushed/released inland. The Geysers activity explains this.

    Forecast: M 5.0 to 6.0 2020-07-05 to 2020-07-12 37°32’32.32″N 121°53’37.31″W 100km/62mls radius 70km or less depth.

    Score: 0
    15 pts
    Canyonrat
    July 5, 2020 at 7:32 pm #9198

    To clarify my magnitude range and location…

    Observed: M 5.0 – 29 km SSE of Mina, Nevada 2020-06-30 09:24:23 (UTC) 38.154°N 117.958°W 8.3 km depth USGS
    M 5.8 – CENTRAL CALIFORNIA 2020-06-24 17:40:48 UTC 36.48 N ; 117.97 W Depth 6 km EMSC-CSEM

    These two quakes and the 4.0 at the Geysers all over lap (using EQ3D program) at my center point. The energy in California has been 15 quakes 4.0 or greater in the last 25 days. These three along with the a “potential” push from this quake M 5.5 – 219 km S of Sand Point, Alaska 2020-07-05 08:53:35 (UTC) 53.366°N 160.431°W 10.0 km depth in the next 3 to 10 days makes think larger and sooner.

    There is a slight chance the 4.0 could be a for-shock for a 5.5 on the southern half of the Juan de Fuca, but I think this won’t happen this time.

    Score: 0
    15 pts
    Canyonrat
    July 6, 2020 at 2:48 pm #9202

    Unexpected. Jaun de Fuca activity? Been silent for a few days.

    Observed: M 3.9 – off the coast of Oregon 2020-07-06 12:28:12 (UTC) 43.612°N 129.925°W 10.0 km depth

    Too small for my system of forecasting. Perhaps a bigger quake will occur.

    Score: 0
    15 pts
    Canyonrat
    July 7, 2020 at 8:04 am #9214

    Reported a 400km deep quake central California 2020-070-07 late or 08 early, does not show on any of my feeds. Must have been reported in error.

    Score: 0
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