Forecast: 3.9 to 4.9 likely off shore Yakutat Bay 2020-09-26 to 2020-10-02 58°26’21.11″N 137°59’0.38″W 250km/157mls radius less then 70km/44mls deep
Observed: M 4.9 – Alaska Peninsula 2020-09-25 05:57:57 (UTC) 55.050°N 158.018°W 10.0 km depth
M 4.1 – off the coast of Washington 2020-09-22 23:25:49 (UTC) 47.391°N 128.986°W 10.0 km depth
Thoughts: The moment tensor data for the 4.9 had a strong SSE push and this increases the likely hood the wave energy will make it around the U-turn and head southward down the coast rather then train wrecking in central Alaska. If my forecasted quake does not occur in my 7 day window, there is a 99% chance it will have caused a 3.9 to 4.9 in the middle of Alaska.
