California 4.5 two locations, next 7 days

[Karma: 15 pts]

Canyonrat

July 31, 2020 at 2:48 pm #9325

This is the quick forecast, methodology to follow, center points to follow with 160km/100mls radius.

4.0 to 5.0 off shore San Francisco, possibly on the San Andreas Fault and Ridge Crest 2020-07-31 to 2020-08-07.

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[Karma: 115 pts]

lester

July 31, 2020 at 5:20 pm #9328

https://www.volcanodiscovery.com/suwanosejima/news/107530/Suwanose-jima-Volcano-Volcanic-Ash-Advisory-ERUPTED-AT-202007310504Z-FL060-EXTD-NE-OBS-VA-DTG-310500.html

EMSC also has record of previous events in Alaska and 4+ events in San Francisco !

You should check this eruption time in a T & D sun map !

Score: 0

[Karma: 15 pts]

Canyonrat

August 1, 2020 at 1:13 am #9332

Some specifics about my two forecasts.

Center-point for the San Francisco. Location 37°39’35.23″N 125°22’48.49″W with a 160km/100mls radius that stops at the west edge of the Central Valley.

Center point for Ridgecrest California. Location 36° 5’15.22″N 117°59’25.40″W with a 160km/100mls radius.

This is what my system shows.

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[Karma: 15 pts]

Canyonrat

August 1, 2020 at 1:34 am #9333

So if I understand this, at around 5am PST / 12pm UTC, San Fransisco was in the time window for an event. The next event should occur around 5pm PST / 12am UTC 2020-08-01. I am still learning and will have time this week to delve into new material.

Score: 0

[Karma: 15 pts]

Canyonrat

August 6, 2020 at 9:28 pm #9359

Success…maybe? maybe not…but very interesting activity so far…

I am forecasting 4.0 – 5.0 activity.

Observed: M 3.0 – 22km W of Bonny Doon, CA 2020-08-06 16:00:27 (UTC) 37.075°N 122.389°W 8.8 km depth

A VERY RARE off shore quake from San Fransisco. But too small. 🙁 I still have more time in my forecast, but this is likely it. Located 74km/47mls south of San Francisco. In the last 100 years, just under 300 quakes have struck off shore and only 62 quakes M2.5+ have struck off shore.

But I noticed I put the wrong center point for the off shore event. It should be 37° 6’39.44″N 122°53’20.79″W. So if a larger quake strikes, this is the correct center point. The one I posted is way off shore and does not cover any of the area I described, “edge of central valley or even the San Andreas Fault.” OOPS. This 3.0 struck just west from my “corrected” center point by 44km/28mls and in about 240 ft deep of ocean.

Observed: M 3.8 – 29 km SSE of Mina, Nevada 2020-08-06 13:01:57 (UTC) 38.135°N 118.039°W 9.5 km depth.

This too is a tad low in Magnitude, but struck a stones throw away from my center point at just 45meters/145feet from my center point. Forgive me if I am off a few inches. LOL And I still have more time in my forecast for larger magnitude.

What is also interesting about these two quakes is that this is the first or second time I made two forecast locations based upon the same data. The two quakes both occurred with in 3 hours of each other.

Score: 0

[Karma: 15 pts]

Canyonrat

August 6, 2020 at 9:40 pm #9360

Wait just one minute. I am copying and pasting coordinates and they are pasting changed numbers. I need to double check all of the above info and run a virus scan.

Score: 0

[Karma: 15 pts]

Canyonrat

August 6, 2020 at 10:31 pm #9361

I figured it out. I would copy, then past, but it was pasting the number I copied just before. So when I would copy and past, wrong number, then past again, and the correct number would past. So it was acting like it had two clip boards. No virus. I just gave it the boot…or “re-boot” and she is behaving.

So the 3.8 in Nevada is way outside my forecast area.

Score: 0