DSG March 27, 2017 12:55pm

[Karma: 5 pts]

dsg

March 27, 2017 at 5:58 pm #1083

Location: Pacific Ocean, lat: 14°11’36.74″N long: 147°39’60.00″W, epicenter covering the entire area of:

lat: 22°53’53.81″N lon: 150°31’13.37″W
lat: 22°28’1.62″N lon: 140° 0’27.84″W
lat: 0°36’42.99″N lon: 140° 4’46.56″W
lat: 0°36’24.24″N lon: 150°18’21.61″W

Mag: 4.0+

Foretasted Watch Time:
3/27/2017 6:55 PM (18:55) UTC through 4/2/2017 11:55 PM (23:59) UTC

Note: Yesterday’s forecast of March 26, 2017 CST did not include the expanded coordinated included within this forecast. Territory has the potential for 1 or more earthquakes. Conservative magnitude due to current solar conditions.

Score: 0

[Karma: 5 pts]

dsg

March 30, 2017 at 1:02 pm #1098

Updates to forecast DSG March 27, 2017 12:55pm

Location: Pacific Ocean

Updated Forecast Watch Area Extended – following coordinates and 500km radius from an additional watch point of: lat: 16° 8’28.48″N lon: 137°25’45.89″W.

lat: 22°53’53.81″N lon: 150°31’13.37″W
lat: 22°45’14.39″N lon: 134°52’30.08″W – expanded region to the East of original watch-zone
lat: 0°58’47.19″N lon: 134°57’27.69″W – expanded region to the East of original watch-zone
lat: 0°36’24.24″N lon: 150°18’21.61″W

Mag: 4.0+

Forecast Watch Time: extending initial Forecast Watch time which was 3-27-17 through 4-2-17. Updated now to new watch time of 3-27-17 to 4-4-17.

Formal UTC Watch Time now 3/27/2017 6:55 PM (18:55) UTC through 4/4/2017 11:59 PM (23:59).

Rationale Note: Territory has the potential for 1 or more earthquakes. Conservative magnitude due to current solar conditions, however with 4-1-17 increased potential for solar activity, the magnitude of the epicenter would grow proportionate to solar activity. A USGS earthquake history for this general region exists towards the nadir of solar minimum activity last seen in 2008. I folded in new mathematical updates to the current forecast model I am using, based upon geographic accuracy but with the 500km radius errors made in South America, Zimbabwe/South Africa area, and Afghanistan forecasts from 3-25-17 to 3-3-17. I have run the model 6x and logged about 8 hours of midnight-oil on just this one area, with these same results for the extended watch zone as included in this update/extension. Model is also producing updated coordinates of lat: 16° 8’28.48″N lon: 137°25’45.89″W as an area of vulnerability.

Score: 0

[Karma: 5 pts]

dsg

April 2, 2017 at 6:12 pm #1119

Updating forecast, DSG March 27, 2017 12:55 – with only changes being in magnitude and radius of vulnerability watch point.

Updates to forecast DSG March 27, 2017 12:55pm

Location: Pacific Ocean

Updated Forecast Watch Area Extended – following coordinates and 1000km radius from an additional watch point of: lat: 16° 8’28.48″N lon: 137°25’45.89″W.

lat: 22°53’53.81″N lon: 150°31’13.37″W
lat: 22°45’14.39″N lon: 134°52’30.08″W – expanded region to the East of original watch-zone
lat: 0°58’47.19″N lon: 134°57’27.69″W – expanded region to the East of original watch-zone
lat: 0°36’24.24″N lon: 150°18’21.61″W

Mag: 7+

Forecast Watch Time: extending initial Forecast Watch time which was 3-27-17 through 4-2-17. Updated now to new watch time of 3-27-17 to 4-4-17.

Formal UTC Watch Time now 3/27/2017 6:55 PM (18:55) UTC through 4/4/2017 11:59 PM (23:59).

Rationale: 4-1-17 increased potential for solar activity as noted in prior notes, coupled with atmospheric vulnerabilities and regional charging patterns. Not trying to win anything, just committed to figuring it out and helping, if possible.

Score: 0

[Karma: 5 pts]

dsg

April 3, 2017 at 9:02 pm #1134

Updating forecast, DSG March 27, 2017 12:55 – with only changes being in lowering magnitude down to 4+

Location: Pacific Ocean

Updated Forecast Watch Area Extended – following coordinates and 1000km radius from an additional watch point of: lat: 16° 8’28.48″N lon: 137°25’45.89″W.

lat: 22°53’53.81″N lon: 150°31’13.37″W
lat: 22°45’14.39″N lon: 134°52’30.08″W – expanded region to the East of original watch-zone
lat: 0°58’47.19″N lon: 134°57’27.69″W – expanded region to the East of original watch-zone
lat: 0°36’24.24″N lon: 150°18’21.61″W

Mag: 4+

Forecast Watch Time: extending initial Forecast Watch time which was 3-27-17 through 4-2-17. Updated now to new watch time of 3-27-17 to 4-4-17.

Formal UTC Watch Time now 3/27/2017 6:55 PM (18:55) UTC through 4/4/2017 11:59 PM (23:59).

Rationale: 4/3 Africa discharge event of 6.1 effects model and magnitude scale for this target.

Score: 0

[Karma: 5 pts]

dsg

April 4, 2017 at 4:57 pm #1143

Updating forecast, DSG March 27, 2017 12:55 – with only changes being in extension of forecast watch.
Formal UTC Watch Time now 3/27/2017 6:55 PM (18:55) UTC through 4/7/2017 11:59 PM (23:59).

Score: 0