Earthquakes of the 2nd part 2018

[GeoPen]

GeoPen

July 18, 2018 at 4:09 pm #5028

Prediction of strong and very strong earthquakes (generally Mw 6>) of the second semester of 2018. I hold that significant quakes, will take place around the following coordinates, considered a radius of 100-150km. Irrespective of magnitude, the quakes forecasted are arranged into 3 categories, according to their potential destructiveness. For brevity reasons, the mid-Atlantic ridge is exempted from this forecast.

A. Dangerous earthquakes

1. Nevada (119w/41n) M 6-6.5
2. Offshore California (125w/41n) M 6.8-7
3. Hawaii (156w/20n) M 6-6.8
4. Romania, Vrancea region (27e/45n) M 6.5-6.8
5. Northern Italy (10e/45n) M 5.5-6
6. Greece, along the 24 meridian with a radius of 100 Km M 6.2-6.6. Also, near Dodecanese islands (28e/36n) M 6
7. Turkey (31e/41n) M 6-6.8
8. Philippines (122e/13n) M 6.6-7

B. Potentially damaging earthquakes

1. Alaska (147w/160 to 164n) M 6.8-7.2
2. Colombia (77w/7n) M 6.5-6.8
3. Venezuela, Sucre (63w/11n) M 6-6.5
4. Georgia/Ajerbaijan (45e/43n) M 5.5-6
5. Southeastern Iran (59e/29n) M 6.4-6.8
5. Afghanistan, Hindu Kush region (70e/37n) M 6.4-6.8
7. China, Sichuan (100e/28n) M 6-6.5
8. Taiwan (123e/24n) M 6.8-7
9. Japan off the coast of Kyushu (131e/31n) and off the coast of Honshu (145e/38n) M 6.5-6.8

C. Earthquakes without impact on lives and properties

1. Mexico, offshore Jalisco (107w/19n) and offshore Mexico-Guatemala border (92w/14n) M 6.5-6.8
2. Southern Peru (75w/19s) M 6-6.8
3. Chile (74w/30s) and (80w/44n) M 6-6.8
4. Drake passage (64w/58s) M 6-6.5
5. South Shetland islands (57w/61s) M 6-6.5
6. Scotia Sea (33w/61s) M 6-6.8
7. Sandwich islands (13w/59s) M 6-6.8
8. Ascension islands region (12w/6s) M 6-6.2
9. Southwest Indian ridge (58e/31s) M 6-6.2
10.Indian Ocean, Chagos Archipelago region (73e/7s) M 6-6.2
11. Thibet, Xizang (89e/32n) M 6-6.2
12. Indonesia (104e/7s) and (125e/8s) M 6.2-6.8
13. Sachalin/Sea of Okhotsk M 7-7.8
14. Aleutian Islands (170e/53n) or 178w/53n M 7-7.8
15. Papua, Indonesia (140e/4s) M 7-7.5
16. Solomon Islands (159e/10s) M 7-7.5
17. Loyalty Islands, Vanuatu M 6.5-6.8
18. Auckland Islands (165e/49s) M 6-6.5
19. West of Macquarie Island (154e/60s) M 6-6.5
20. Fiji Islands (178e/20s) M 6-6.8

The most hazardous dates for seismic events to occure are:

July 19-21, 25-29
August 5-7, 10-13, 17-19, 24-26
September 1-3, 7-9, 13-15, 20-22, 28-30
October 4-6, 10-13, 18-20, 25-28
November 1-2, 7-9, 13-16, 21-23, 28-30
December 4-6, 12-14, 19-21, 26-30

• This topic was modified 6 years, 5 months ago by GeoPen.

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GeoPen

July 19, 2018 at 3:40 pm #5033

Correction: The B. 1. Alaska is (147w/60 to 64n) of course.

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GeoPen

August 5, 2018 at 1:01 pm #5112

Today’s M7 on Loloan as well as the previous (July 28-29) M6.4 Gempa and M6 Palue, Indonesia, quakes occured with the approximate magnitudes, near the coordinates and on the dates indicated as dangerous, above. The upcoming solar eclipse on August 11 foreshadows higher seismic activity in the following days.

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JEC

August 5, 2018 at 8:45 pm #5124

Good call! On California, since I can only investigate a few, agree totally. How you manage those areas..hats off to you!

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JEC

August 5, 2018 at 8:49 pm #5125

On Hawaii..its doing something, has slowed down to about 500 earthquakes a day(remember when that number was amazingly high?). But PuuOO crater rift area..is really putting out the SO2. Lava flow has eased up. BUT the earthquakes have changed character–a lot deeper and scattered over the entire rift area. Not sure if that even means anything..and I doubt anyone else knows either. You are makes some good analysis calls, I believe.

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GeoPen

August 22, 2018 at 2:43 am #5205

The M7-7.3 Venezuela earthquake, occured on 8/21 at the exact coordinates predicted. It was a little bit stronger than expected, yet, such a quake was characterized as dangerous in my post above. My forecast for the magnitude of Vanuatu earthquake which took place in Loyalty Islands on the same day was exact.

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