Forecast – nothing larger the 4.5 in North America 2020-05-29 to 2020-06-12

[Karma: 15 pts]

Canyonrat

May 29, 2020 at 5:38 pm #8955

I think I am the first to forecast no quakes. LOL

We just had a noticeable drop in strength along with a very noticeable very large increase in numbers of quakes. It has been seven days since the last 4.5+ quake in North America (noted below) and the largest quake in the last seven days was the 4.2 (noted below). I think I have a fair understanding of this area and I think we have quiet for now. We do have an upcoming grouping of planets starting around 2020-06-25 and that could bring an increase to larger seismic activity. The planets are not my specialty…still learning. So if you know more then me, please post up!

https://www.theplanetstoday.com/solar_system_events_calendar.html

I might take this as a forecast success only because forecasting the absence of a thing has benefits. Just think a picnic in the park, you mostly want to be certain that rain will NOT OCCUR. LOL

Observed:

M 4.2 – 35 km SE of Mina, Nevada 2020-05-27 16:03:23 (UTC) 38.175°N 117.802°W 9.5 km depth

M 5.3 – 32 km ESE of Mina, Nevada 2020-05-22 00:22:00 (UTC) 38.236°N 117.796°W 6.9 km depth

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[Karma: 115 pts]

lester

May 29, 2020 at 7:26 pm #8956

Does this include Oklahoma ?… 🙂

Very novel and challenging forecast !

Hope it works out for you…

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[Karma: 7 pts]

NomadicFred

May 30, 2020 at 12:29 pm #8961

<looks into crystal ball nothing but static> <turns ball around> ……..

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[Karma: 15 pts]

Canyonrat

May 30, 2020 at 11:43 pm #8969

LOL guys. I am orginal if nothing else. LOL

Yes, it just looks this way from a very wide perspective. What got me thinking are the small quakes going off. I am thinking “bell”, first the big gong then vibration sound gets weaker and weaker. The gong period is over, fore now. Not very scientific, but it could be start.

I am also going to take a week+ off of forecasting and start loading up my EQ3D with older select data and determine if any of those large unexpected quakes we just had cam from the West Pacific and the energy rolled under the ocean and under the North American Plate, meaning it “snuck” past Washington, Oregon, and California, then went off far inland. I DO NOT LIKE SURPRISES like we just had the last 2 months. It might be that observational forecasting will not be able to forecast them, but knowing that the energy is there/coming might allow a different forecasting technique to narrow in on potential locations…so that is where I am headed.

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[Karma: 115 pts]

lester

May 31, 2020 at 12:50 am #8970

I think I should take a week off too… Give my computer time to dry out from the coffee I threw at it, when USGS down graded my 5.5 P.N.G. !!

Sometimes, I really hate this hobby… lol

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