John Otter – April 4, 2017 0300 UTC – Denali Gap (update)

[Karma: 3 pts]

John Otter

April 4, 2017 at 3:33 am #1142

Location: Within 3000km radius of Denali (63°04′10″N 151°00′27″W)
Magnitude: 6.5+
Timing: April 4, 2017 0300UTC to April 11, 2017 0000UTC

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EXPLOSIVE ERUPTION WATCH
Kamchatka, through the Aleutians, and to southern Cascadia

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TSUNAMI WATCH
Hawaii, New Caledonia, and Easter Island

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HEIGHTENED ALERT
Anchorage, Alaska

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ORIGINAL FORECAST https://quakewatch.net/forums/topic/john-otter-march-13-2017/
Location: 300 km radius from Mt. McKinley, Alaska, USA
Magnitude: Blot Echo
Timing: New Moon (March 28) to Full Moon (April 11), with higher potential within 48 hours of April 7 (Jupiter Opposition).

Location: 500 km radius from Mt. McKinley, Alaska, USA
Magnitude: Blot Echo
Timing: Within 7 days of last-quarter moon (June 17) with higher potential within 72 hours of Saturn Opposition (June 15).

Location: 300 km radius from Mt. McKinley, Alaska, USA
Magnitude: 7+ (or volcanic eruption)
Timing: Between March 28 and June 24, With highest potential between April 5 and April 9

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DISCUSSION
The original forecast is mostly based upon recent activity from Kamchatka, through the Aleutians, and to southern Cascadia. The geometrically acute intersection of ranges at Denali represents a focus of relief associated with holo-lithosphere expansion dynamics. Absence of large seismic events, accompanied by widespread small magnitude quakes and frequent Blot Echos, indicate that the Denali Gap system is active and unstable.

Additionally, the original forecast is based upon oppositions of Jupiter and Saturn. While planetary alignment alone has failed to consistently portend seismic activity, it is foolhardy to disregard the proximity of the these three planets; especially in a doldrum of solar-induced mass-flow.

This update is triggered by recent solar events. Seven M-Class flares have occurred on the north-west Earth-facing octant in the prior 60 hours; are directed at Saturn; and are accompanied by a major CME. Flare activity will result in mass-voidence of the sector: inducing current-deflection tangentially to the shock front. Shock front will intersect Earth within 5 days, however, the highest charge-cline will occur in the preceding hours. It is within this period to expect the worst.

Current conditions include a strong low in the North Pacific; exhibiting some criteria of an U-Yen low. This low has been persistent, and has been accompanied by 6.5M quakes. Outgoing-Long-Wave-Radiation graphics show a strong electrode in the north Pacific, and a persistent anomaly that lies trans-Pacific in a line parallel south of the Aleutian Range.

Reciprocally, the Brooks Range may be exhibit some reflective behavior. Blot Echos are expected within 1000km of Denali. Explosive eruptions are likely in the northern Pacific Rim.

Hawaiian volcano activity is to be expected.

Score: 0