Lester: February 3 2021 @ 00:15 UTC – Vanuatu-Nicobar- Mt Raung Volcano

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lester

February 3, 2021 at 12:15 am #10224

Locations…

North of Ambrym Island, Vanuatu … 167’56’E – 16’09’S

North of Little Nicobar Island, Nicobar Islands region … 93’47’E – 7’31’N

Magnitude; 5.0 – 6.3

Margin: 300 Radial Kilometres

Period: From 00:15 UTC February 3, for 10 days

Forecast includes eruptive / explosive event from Mt Raung volcano in East Java… for the first 3 days of the stated period !

Thank you

Score: 0

[Karma: 115 pts]

lester

February 4, 2021 at 2:12 pm #10229

https://www.volcanodiscovery.com/raung/news/120919/Raung-Volcano-Volcanic-Ash-Advisory-GROUND-REPORT-OF-CONTINUOUS-ERUPTION-TO-FL120-MOV-E.html

Mt Raung volcano eruption … 3rd February

Score: 0

[Karma: 115 pts]

lester

February 13, 2021 at 8:00 pm #10268

Continuing this forecast for 10 days from 20:00 UTC February 13

Thank you

Score: 0

[Karma: 115 pts]

lester

February 14, 2021 at 10:00 pm #10271

https://www.emsc-csem.org/Earthquake/earthquake.php?id=949234

M 5.3 Port-Vila, Vanuatu … 14th February

Score: 0

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lester

February 16, 2021 at 1:50 am #10274

Observed… M 6.2 Port-Vila, Vanuatu 00:49:26 UTC 16th February

Adjustment to forecast…

Increasing magnitude range for Vanuatu to M 6.0 – M 7.3

Thank you

Score: 0

[Karma: 115 pts]

lester

February 16, 2021 at 11:05 am #10279

https://www.emsc-csem.org/Earthquake/earthquake.php?id=949593

M 6.2 Port-Vila, Vanuatu … 16th February

Score: 0