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115 ptslesterJuly 8, 2020 at 4:00 pm #9224
Location: Reykjanes Ridge … 33’11’W – 57’24’N
Location: Pahala, Hawaii … 155’24’W – 19’13’N
Magnitude: 5.0 – 6.3
Margin: 350 Radial Kilometres
Period: From 16:00 UTC July 8, for 7 days
On 8th July at 09:08:24 UTC, an M 5.6 event occurred on the Western Indian-Antarctic Ridge on coordinates 114’18’E – 49’47’S. At this time, it was sunset on coordinates 140’14’E – 12’03’N post seismic M 6.2 Micronesia epicentre of 6th July… moonrise on coordinates 169’08’E – 19’00’S Erromango Island, North of Isangel, Vanuatu… the ATE threshold was located on 151’18’E – 6’05’S New Britain P.N.G…. and the SLT was located on the Reykjanes Ridge at the stated coordinates. At “12 hours” earlier 21:08:24 UTC 7th July, it was moonset on coordinates 177’49’W – 33’16’S post seismic M 7.4 Kermadec Islands epicentre of 18th June.
On 28th June, it was First Quarter moon phase. At 10:34:10 UTC, the moon was located on longitude 114’18’E… it was sunset on coordinates 110’40’E – 5’37’S pre seismic M 6.6 Java Sea epicentre of 6th July… moonset on coordinates 153’39’W – 56’04’N pre seismic M 5.1 KodiaK Island epicentre of 8th July… moonset on coordinates 155’24’W – 19’13’N pre seismic M 4.3 Pahala, Hawaii.
Between 5th – 7th July, three 4+ events occurred in Hawaii in just five days, compared to one in June, one in April, and one in February… the 28th June correlation may provide an explanation.
Previous correlations related to these locations, can be sourced in my San Francisco forecast of July 7 @ 01:30 UTC. Times and dates can also be verified using the following websites…
http://www.sunrisesunsetmap.com
Thank you
Score: 0115 pts115 ptslesterJuly 8, 2020 at 9:42 pm #9233Personal note…
The USGS has down graded the Western Indian-Antarctic Ridge event of 09:08:24 UTC 8th July, from M 5.6 to M 4.9…after being displayed on their map as 5.6, for 10 hours after the event occurred. As per my methodology, the posted forecast locations are “less” likely to produce a result within magnitudes stated. I do not recall the USGS “ever” making such drastic regrades, as I have been witnessing during the last two months. The current pandemic is obviously having an impact with this organisation. And I would associate recent discrepancies, failed notifications, and multi point downgrades as akin to under qualified people running the show.
Last month I successfully predicted an M 5.9 in New Britain P.N.G… 26 hours later, USGS downgraded this event to 5.1 magnitude. I’ll say that again in case my number dyslexia is affecting my typing… “26 hours later” !!
I make this statement because, although I was on the righteous side of USGS, when this issue was raised by Canyonrat several weeks ago. I for one will no longer be confident that “present” USGS data is 100% reliable. Did an M 4.9 actually occur in Poland this morning, or was it a 3.6 ?… did I waste my time working on that one too !!
My current forecasts will be timed out to permissible period, whilst optional aspects are being considered !
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