Lester; March 12 2021 @ 12:30 UTC – Iceland

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lester

March 12, 2021 at 12:30 pm #10362

Prediction for the emergence (report) of volcanism in the region of Raykjanes Peninsula, Iceland.

Forecast includes seismic activity in the range of 5.0 – 6.3 within 100 km’s of coordinates 21’57’w – 63’52’N

Period: From 12:30 UTC March 12, for 3 days

On 12th march at 05:15 UTC, the ACE satellite recorded a significant aspect change in the MAG Phi data. This coincided with sunrise on Mt Etna volcano in Sicily, and the ATB threshold was located on the Raykjanes Peninsula. Mt Etna has been active since 16th February, yet I have observed very few contacts in the ACE data, relating to this volcano. Therefore, I believe this correlation being recorded at this time, may predominantly have significance for Iceland in the coming days. The ATB threshold times in Iceland are currently changing by 3-4 minutes per day, compared to sunrise of 1-2 minutes per day on Mt Etna volcano. This means that this correlation between these locations, only occurs on 12th March !

Previous forecast attempts have been made with respect to seismicity in Iceland. And I can appreciate the frustration of receiving negative results. Therefore, I will forgo the seismic aspect of this forecast, if “JEC” wishes to continue with his quest… on this “forecast date” !

Thank you

https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/ace-real-time-solar-wind

Score: 0

[Karma: 115 pts]

lester

March 12, 2021 at 2:02 pm #10363

https://www.volcanodiscovery.com/etna/news/124267/Etna-Volcano-Volcanic-Ash-Advisory-ERUPTION-AT-202103120615Z-ERUPTION-HAS-STOPPED-NO-ASH-EMISSION.html

Hmmm… this doesn’t sound good !

The last time a Mt Etna report stated “Eruption Has Stopped”, was on 4th March at 08:17 UTC… five hours before “significant” seismic activity began in New Zealand and the Kermadec Islands region !

Score: 0

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lester

March 13, 2021 at 3:00 am #10367

Observed…

M 5.1 South Georgia Rise 13th March 01:38:45 UTC = Sun located on longitude 157’42’E -12-hours = Sun located on longitude 22’16’W !

Don’t recall seeing a 5+ event occurring this far north of the South Sandwich Islands !!

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lester

March 14, 2021 at 7:05 pm #10373

https://www.emsc-csem.org/Earthquake/earthquake.php?id=959486

M 5.1 Iceland Region (listed as M 5.3 with USGS) … 14th March

Score: 0

[Karma: 115 pts]

lester

March 15, 2021 at 11:45 am #10376

https://www.emsc-csem.org/Earthquake/earthquake.php?id=959486

M 5.4 Iceland Region, 14th March … upgraded from previous post.

Score: 0