Karma: 115 pts
lester
I have an unusual method of determining my prediction locations, which is based on “daily” fluctuations in online data. As a result, the data can sometimes change aspect and redirect focus from the originally intended location. This has the effect of instigating multiple prediction posts per week. So in fairness to others who’s own forecasts can (and have) been relegated to page two within a couple of days of posting, I am going to try a new strategy. My interest here is experimental, with the aim of gaining positive “location” determinations more than chance would allow. Most of my successful proclamations were determined within a 20 day period before occurrence, however better timing and magnitude still eludes me at this point… but I try to prevail :).
I shall therefore continue with 20 day forecasts under this title, and the occasional short alert posting when data dictates… so looking forward to being joined by many different names on page one 🙂
Thanks Guy’s
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F1…March 17 2019, 23:30 UTC – Svalbard Region
Location: North of Mohns Ridge … 7’50’E – 74’0’N
Magnitude: 5.0 – 6.3
Margin: 300 Radial Kilometres
Period: From 00:01 UTC March 18, for 20 days
Score: 0
Karma: 115 pts
lester
F2… March 18 2019, 16:42 UTC – East Timor
Location: West of Hala Island … 123’10’E – 10’08’S
Magnitude: 5.0 – 6.3
Margin: 200 Radial Kilometres
Period: From 00:01 UTC March 19, for 20 days
Score: 0
Karma: 115 pts
lester
F3… March 18 2019, 19:30 UTC – North Sumatra
Location: West of Breueh Island, Banda Aceh … 94’45’E – 5’38’N
Magnitude: 5.5 – 6.8
Margin: 200 Radial Kilometres
Period: From 00:01 UTC March 19, for 20 days
Score: 0
Karma: 115 pts
lester
F4… March 20 2019, 02:00 UTC – Southern Iran
Location: Vakilabad, North of Bandar Abbas … 56’07’E – 28’28’N
Magnitude: 5.0 – 6.3
Margin: 200 Radial Kilometres
Period: From 02:00 UTC March 20, for 20 days
Score: 0
Karma: 115 pts
lester
F5… March 20 2019, 11:26 UTC – Trinidad & Tobago
Location: West of Chaguanas … 61’28’W – 10’28’N
Magnitude: 5.0 – 6.3
Margin: 200 Radial Kilometres
Period: From 12:00 UTC March 20, for 20 days
Score: 0
Karma: 115 pts
lester
F6… March 20 2019, 22:56 UTC – China
Location: Luotuo Lake Region, Western Xizang … 81’30’E – 34’20’N
Magnitude: 5.0 – 6.3
Margin: 200 Radial Kilometres
Period: From 00:01 UTC March 21, for 20 days
Score: 0
Karma: 115 pts
lester
F7… March 21 2019, 22:25 UTC – South Sandwich Islands
Location: Northeast of Zavodovskiy Island … 26’25’W – 55’08’S
Magnitude: 5.0 – 6.3
Margin: 250 Radial Kilometres
Period: From 00:01 UTC March 22, for 15 days
Score: 0
Karma: 115 pts
lester
F8… March 21 2019, 22:30 UTC – Kuril Islands
Location: South of Kurilskiy Rayon Island … 150’32’E – 45’18’N
Magnitude: 5.0 – 6.3
Margin: 250 Radial Kilometres
Period: From 00:01 UTC March 22, for 15 days
Score: 0
Karma: 115 pts
lester
F9… March 22 2019, 17:15 UTC – Tajikistan
Location: Gora Radzhi-Bek Region … 72’38’E – 38’27’N
Magnitude: 5.0 – 6.3
Margin: 200 Radial Kilometres
Period: From 18:00 UTC March 22, for 20 days
Score: 0
Karma: 115 pts
lester
F10… March 22 2019, 21:07 UTC – New Caledonia
Location: La Roach, Mare Island … 168’0’E – 21’30’S
Magnitude: 5.0 – 6.3
Margin: 200 Radial Kilometres
Period: From 00:01 UTC March 23, for 20 days
Score: 0
Karma: 115 pts
lester
Adjustment to forecast…
Increasing F3 margin to 250 Radial Kilometres
Thank you
Score: 0
Karma: 115 pts
lester
F7… South Sandwich Islands
M 6.5 – 94 km NNW of Visokoi Island 2019-04-05 16:14:16 UTC… 27.846’W – 55.932’S
Epicentre located 125 km’s (78 miles) WSW of forecast co-ordinates
Method: event correlation
Time: 7 hours 47 mins remaining from (total) 20 day period
Conclusion: Failed on magnitude !!
Score: 0
Karma: 115 pts
lester
Adjustment to forecast F2.. East Timor
Increasing radial margin to 250 km’s !!
Thank you
Score: 0
Karma: 115 pts
lester
Adjustment to forecast F10… New Caledonia
Increasing radial margin to 250 km’s !!
Thank you
Score: 0
