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115 ptslesterMarch 17, 2021 at 6:45 pm #10384
Prediction for an emergence (report) of volcanism from Mt Piton de la Fournaise volcano on Reunion Island, East of Madagascar on coordinates 55’42’E – 21’14’S
Period: From 18:45 UTC March 17, for 5 days
Analysis…
During the month of February, I had posted a similar forecast for activity to occur at Mt Piton de la Fournaise volcano. During this period, Mt Piton correlated to several significant seismic events, and on at least three occasions, correlated to Mt Etna volcano in Sicily… but alas, not even a wisp of smoke was reported. The T Sequence scenarios were primarily based on correlations with Mauna Loa, and Mt Kilauea volcanoes on the Island of Hawaii, which were also very quiet during this period. However, I believe this is going to change very soon, and therefore may present another opportunity for wispy smoke to emerge from Mt Piton !
The last seismic correlation with with Mt Piton volcano, occurred on 27th February when an M 5.6 event time in Fiji, coincided with sunrise on Mt Piton. There have been no other similar correlations between this event date, and the present. The last volcanic correlation occurred on 9th March, when an eruption time from Mt Sakurajima volcano in Kyushu, Japan, coincided with the ATB threshold being located on Mt Piton. Also on this day, Mt Piton shared a 12-hour ATB / ATE relationship with Mt Etna volcano… but this only occurred for one day only. The last correlation Mt piton had with Mt Etna prior to this date, was on 22nd February.
On 17th March at 02:20 UTC, an eruption occurred from Mt Etna volcano, and it was sunrise on Mt Piton at this time. Checking back to my previous forecast of 5th February. It states that on 16th February at 16:10 UTC, Mt Etna volcano erupted for the first time in its continuing sequence. And the ATE threshold was located on Mt Piton at this time. Mt Etna volcano further erupted on 22nd February at 22:05 UTC, and on this occasion it was moonset on Mt Piton volcano. The 17th March Mt Etna eruption, prompted me to preform an extensive T Sequence search, starting from 9th March and finishing on 30th April… focus was again with Mt Etna, and predominantly with Mauna Loa and Mt Kilauea volcanoes. These are the results…
17th March 01:05 UTC – ATB threshold located on Mt Piton … Moon located on longitude 155’24’W
17th March 02:20 UTC – Sunrise on Mt Piton … Eruption from Mt Etna volcano
17th March 17:09 UTC – SLT (moonset) located on Mt Piton … Sunset on Mt Etna volcano
18th March 08:25:13 UTC – Sun located on longitude 55’42’E Mt Piton … Moonset on Mauna Loa volcano
These are the sum total of correlations related to Mt Piton, and the aforementioned volcanoes during the stated dates. So with no other seismic / volcanic time correlations at hand, I have decided to gamble on this menial bunch of correlations… which occur within the only 48 hours, during a seven week period !
Thank you
Score: 0115 pts115 ptslesterApril 9, 2021 at 10:08 pm #10453Unfortunately, I missed this eruption by one day… 🙁
The report above states that Mt Piton de la Fournaise volcano erupted on 9th April at 7:00 pm local time (15:00 UTC). At 15:00 UTC, it was moonrise on Mauna Loa volcano in Hawaii. At “12-hours” earlier 03:00 UTC, the ATB threshold was located on Mt Etna volcano in Sicily !
http://www.sunrisesunsetmap.com
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