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    Posted in: Make A Forecast  
  • 115 pts
    lester
    October 11, 2020 at 9:00 pm #9644

    Location: Offshore Petrolia, Northern California … 124’36’W – 40’20’N

    Magnitude: 5.2 – 6.5

    Margin: 350 radial Kilometres

    Period: From 21:00 UTC October 11, for 5 days

    Ref; 02:00 UTC 1/10 – 14:22 UTC 8/10 – 20:05 UTC 11/10

    Thank you

    Score: 0
    15 pts
    Canyonrat
    October 19, 2020 at 6:30 am #9662

    Lester, I am having a hard time seeing any quakes right now. LOL

    I think your quake was from a wave of energy that dropped off was earlier seen in these two locations

    Magnitude Mw 5.7
    Region FOX ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS
    Date time 2020-10-08 14:22:41.0 UTC
    Location 52.95 N ; 168.32 W
    Depth 44 km
    Distances 1435 km SSW of Anchorage, United States / pop: 298,000 / local time: 06:22:41.0 2020-10-08
    157 km SW of Unalaska, United States / pop: 4,400 / local time: 06:22:41.0 2020-10-08

    Magnitude Mw 5.9
    Region SOUTH OF ALASKA
    Date time 2020-10-06 05:54:50.6 UTC
    Location 54.91 N ; 159.86 W
    Depth 30 km
    Distances 912 km SSW of Anchorage, United States / pop: 298,000 / local time: 21:54:50.6 2020-10-05
    62 km SE of Sand Point, United States / pop: 1,000 / local time: 21:54:50.6 2020-10-05

    Both of these were on the north side of the plate boundary. That generally means the energy mostly heads west and into Alaska or Canada. When we see 6.5 and larger the energy can head in three directions including back east and even make the U-Turn and head south and into California.

    I think this energy headed into Canada and seen here (Canadian feed)

    Event ID 20201015.0111001
    Date/Time (UTC) 2020-10-15 01:11:01
    Magnitude 3.6
    Coordinates 62.729N, 125.387W
    Depth (km) 7.4
    Description 108 km SW of Wrigley, NT

    Event ID 20201018.1646001
    Date/Time (UTC) 2020-10-18 16:46:38
    Magnitude 4.8
    Coordinates 62.121N, 124.704W
    Depth (km) 10.0
    Description Preliminary; 140 KM SW OF WRIGLEY, NT

    Event ID 20201016.1356001
    Date/Time (UTC) 2020-10-16 13:56:33
    Magnitude 4.0
    Coordinates 51.045N, 130.248W
    Depth (km) 10.0
    Description Preliminary; 197 KM W OF PORT HARDY, BC

    And then struck your watch area USGS feed darn near your center spot

    M 3.4 – 7km ENE of Petrolia, CA 2020-10-18 07:01:57 (UTC) 40.347°N 124.209°W 28.5 km depth

    How ever the push indicates a north ward direction, so it could be the weird activity I am seeing and expecting coming Gulf of California and heading reverse direction to normal flow.

    My conclusion is add some time but the 3.4 might have been it.

    Score: 0
    15 pts
    Canyonrat
    October 19, 2020 at 6:32 am #9663

    Also, I have again been trying to make new forecast posts, but they will not appear of the forum.

    https://quakewatch.net/?post_type=topic&p=9652

    Score: 0
    15 pts
    Canyonrat
    October 19, 2020 at 6:36 am #9664

    Test to see if this website is blocked:

    Pacific North West Seismic Network

    https://pnsn.org/tremor?starttime=2020-10-13T00:00:00&endtime=2020-10-13T23:59:59&coloring=red&magnitude=false

    Score: 0
    15 pts
    Canyonrat
    October 19, 2020 at 6:37 am #9665

    Test to see if this website is blocked:

    Canadian Earthquake Database

    https://earthquakescanada.nrcan.gc.ca/stndon/NEDB-BNDS/bulletin-en.php

    Score: 0
    15 pts
    Canyonrat
    October 19, 2020 at 6:39 am #9666

    Test to see if this website is blocked:

    Mexican Seismic Search Network

    http://www2.ssn.unam.mx:8080/catalogo/

    Score: 0
    15 pts
    Canyonrat
    October 19, 2020 at 6:40 am #9667

    None of them present a problem.

    Score: 0
    15 pts
    Canyonrat
    October 19, 2020 at 10:58 pm #9673

    Lester, I no longer am having a hard time seeing quakes! LOL That 7.5 gives one a proverbial slap in the face and the comment, “get a hold of your self sir!”

    I think there is energy coming to complete your forecast in the next 10 days!

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    October 19, 2020 at 11:46 pm #9676

    Thanks for your input Mark, but I have a different theory why an event “may now” occur in Petrolia, California. I have checked correlations and ephemeral times for the last 6 weeks, in relation to the M 7.5 Sand Point, Alaska event (as per my methodology). The results showed several low 5’s correlations, but nothing that constitutes a contribution towards the level of this magnitude. However, I did find something intriguing, and believe it is too significant to be coincidental !

    On 16th October, two C class solar flares were ejected from the limb of the sun. The first flare was a C 1.5 which peaked at 12:57 UTC. This was followed by a C 3.5 peaking at 15:11 UTC. At 15:11 UTC on this day, the ATB threshold (Astronomical Twilight Begins) was located on coordinates 159’40’W – 54’39’N, pre seismic location of the M 7.5 Alaska epicentre. You can check this out using the “Day And Night Map” at http://www.timeanddate.com

    The first solar flare at 12:57 UTC, corresponded with the ATB threshold being located on Petrolia, California, on the coordinates of this forecast. I now wait for less influential correlations (lol) before making further commitments to this location !

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    October 19, 2020 at 11:49 pm #9677

    https://www.spaceweatherlive.com/en/archive/2020/10/16/xray

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    October 20, 2020 at 10:28 am #9679

    On 20th September at 04:40 UTC, it was sunset on coordinates 159’40’W – 54’39’N pre seismic location of M 7.5 Sand point, Alaska epicentre of 19th October. And the moon was located on longitude 145’41’E (MacQuarie Harbour, Tasmania !). At “12-hours” earlier 16:40 UTC 19th September, the sun was located on longitude 71’37’W (Coquimbo !)… and it was moonrise on the coordinates of this forecast !

    http://www.sunrisesunsetmap.com

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    October 22, 2020 at 2:00 am #9689

    https://www.volcanodiscovery.com/bezymianny/news/111748/Bezymianny-Volcano-Volcanic-Ash-Advisory-ERUPTION-AT-202010212022Z-FL270-EXTD-NW-REPORTED-OBS-VA-DTG.html

    On 21st October at 20:22 UTC, Mt Bezymianny volcano erupted in Central kamchatka, Russia. According to http://www.volcanodiscovery.com this is the first time Mt Bezymianny has erupted since January 2019. At 20:22 UTC, it was moonrise on the coordinates of this forecast. Considering the significance of period with this event, in relation to this forecast location… I believe this to be the correlation I have been waiting for !

    Continuing this forecast for 5 days from 02:00 UTC October 22

    Thank you

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    October 28, 2020 at 3:45 pm #9715

    Continuing this forecast for 5 days from 15:45 UTC October 28

    Ref; 5.8 Sola, Vanuatu 28/10 – 5.8 Coquimbo, Chile 28/10

    Thank you

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    November 3, 2020 at 2:00 am #9728

    Adjustment to forecast…

    Resetting magnitude as 5.0 – 6.3

    Continuing this forecast for 5 days from 02:00 UTC November 3

    Thank you

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    November 8, 2020 at 2:15 am #9742

    Continuing this forecast for 5 days from 02:15 UTC November 8

    Thank you

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    November 22, 2020 at 2:10 am #9779

    Continuing this forecast for 5 days from 02:10 UTC November 22

    Ref; 6.1 Maule, Chile 22/11

    Thank you

    Score: 0
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