M 4.0 to 5.0 off shore in the Gulf of Alaska, 2020-05-12 to 2020-05-19

[Karma: 15 pts]

Canyonrat

May 12, 2020 at 7:13 pm #8818

Forecast: M 4.0 to 5.0 off shore in the Gulf of Alaska, 2020-05-12 to 2020-05-19, 59° 7’0.79″N 142°43’56.18″W 320km/200mls radius.

Observed:

M 4.7 – 59km S of False Pass, Alaska 2020-05-09 14:02:03 (UTC) 54.314°N 163.453°W 70.2 km depth

M 4.7 – 127km S of Port Hardy, Canada 2020-05-10 04:46:01 (UTC) 49.559°N 127.626°W 10.0 km depth.

Comments: This forecast is for an “in-fill” quake between two other quakes and located in a quiet seismic zone. It should come in with less strength then the two observed 4.7’s.

Score: 0

[Karma: 15 pts]

Canyonrat

May 14, 2020 at 5:39 pm #8828

First quake just hit 85km/53mls from my forecast point. Too small and another of many super shallow quakes occurring. Watch continues.

Observed: M 2.1 – 187km S of Cape Yakataga, Alaska 2020-05-14 00:22:04 (UTC) 58.405°N 142.982°W 0.0 km depth.

Score: 0

[Karma: 15 pts]

Canyonrat

May 24, 2020 at 6:53 am #8916

Re-activating this forecast for another seven days from today and upping the strength and moving the center point slightly south.

Observed:

M 5.0 – SOUTH OF ALASKA – 2020-05-20 17:13:20 (UTC) 54.93 N 156.99 W 10km depth https://www.emsc-csem.org/Earthquake/earthquake.php?id=859724

M 5.2 – 151km W of Port Hardy, Canada 2020-05-23 02:14:51 (UTC) 50.428°N 129.509°W 10.0 km depth

Forecast (changes in bold):

M 4.6 to 5.6 off shore in the Gulf of Alaska, 2020-05-23 to 2020-05-30, 58°40’34.90″N 141° 1’14.32″W 320km/200mls radius.

I am expecting and in-fill quake at near to or slightly less in magnitude then the two observed quakes 5.0 and 5.2.

Score: 0

[Karma: 115 pts]

lester

May 27, 2020 at 11:31 am #8935

Observed…

17th May 13:49:45 UTC – M 5.0 Tonga
18th May 13:48:03 UTC – M 5.2 Sichuan-Yunnan-Guizhou, China
20th May 13:46:51 UTC – M 5.1 Tonga

Events coincide with changing sunrise times south of Kodiak Island, Alaska.

Alternatively, events coincide with changing sunset times south of Madagascar.

Score: 0