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7 ptsNomadicFredAugust 19, 2019 at 1:10 am #6350Thank you Lester, I was thinking about some things that had been talked about a while ago and found the timeanddate.com site with the moon light world map … started looking at the last few EQ, and the M 5.0 – 31km SSW of Hualian Taiwan on 08/18 /18 matched up with the Sun at Zenith , and if you look back further there was one in Chile that matched up when both Moon and Sun appeared overhead about 1hour after zenith.. my goal with it is to reduce the window of the timeframe…. at least on ones that follow those hits, like blot echos occuring during either sun or moon and happen again when the sun or moon or both come back around… like we are seeing a little with the Guam setup, Distances from Blot echos i dont have a way yet to shore up the area some, i dont like the idea of saying 400KM radius honestly , as i live in ohio 200 miles is the whole state…. but i agree distance is needed for sure, pacific is big area … hehe … thank you for the reply.. ill try to be more active now…
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7 ptsNomadicFredAugust 19, 2019 at 1:45 am #6351well from the Ace Data Feed https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/ace-real-time-solar-wind we are seeing the Phi angle at 180ish current time 01:45 UTC mark
Score: 0115 ptslesterAugust 19, 2019 at 3:59 pm #6353I’m sorry this didn’t work out for you, but the fact that you made an attempt is commendable. It is only through trying different theories and techniques (and enduring many failures) that we will get closer to an answer. I can see where you are going with this, but I believe an ETA related to the actual positions of the sun and moon, may be the wrong direction to follow. The real players for determining a time hit include the solar / lunar thresholds, active volcanos, post seismic locations… and pre seismic locations if your confident enough to know where they are 🙂 . Here are a couple of examples that you can time check on your T&D maps.
If you check out my “Mt Etna” prediction, which currently resides on page 5 of this forum. You will see that I made reference to the M 4.3 San Francisco Bay area event of 16th July… this event occurred at 20:11:01 UTC on this day. If you input this time and date in the sun map, you will see that the ATE threshold (astronomical twilight ends) was located on Mt Etna Sicily, Italy at this time. This suggests that an electromagnetic correlation between seismic location and pre eruptive location, triggered the actual event !. It is not unusual for San Francisco to experience frequent seismic activity, but according to EMSC records the last 4+ event to occur here was an M 4.4 on 4th January 2018. So from my perspective with the data I had already accumulated for Mt Etna, this 4.3 event was significant enough to chance a prediction.
My successful hit on Mt Etna could still be regarded as a fluke because I have not had a repeat result from other attempts. So my opinion in this case is not credible, unless we check out a little back cast data to try and build up a picture. On the 1st and 3rd January 2018, eruptions occurred from Mt Agung volcano in Bali, Indonesia. As mentioned, on 4th January at 10:39:36 UTC, an M 4.4 event occurred in the San Francisco Bay area. If you check the sun map for this time and date, it will show sunset was on Bali Island, Indonesia… and therefore sunset on Mt Agung volcano. These two examples relay as earthquake V volcano, and volcano v earthquake… so what happens when the seismic event is a little bigger !.
The last 7+ event to date this year, occurred as an M 7.3 in Halmahara, Indonesia at 09:10:50 UTC 14th July. The highest magnitude event to date for 2019, was an M 8.0 in Northern Peru on 26th May. Other correlations related to the Halmahara event time include; the ATE located on Mt Ulawun volcano, New Britain P.N.G… the last pre event time eruption occurred on 26th June. Moonset occurred on Mt Ubinas volcano in the Cerro province of Peru at this time… the last pre event time eruption occurred here on 25th June, and within 24 hours of the Mt Ulawun eruption !. Mt Ubinas volcano experienced a further recent eruption on 20th July… which was also the same day that Mt Etna erupted !!. Further to this, it was also moonset on coordinates 75’16’W – 5’48’S which is the location of the post seismic M 8.0 Northern Peru epicentre. This scenario suggests two active volcanos and a “significant” post seismic location triggered the M 7.3 Halmahara event… Volcano v Volcano v earthquake !
The last 5+ event to occur today (prior to this post), was an M 5.1 in the South Sandwich Islands at 06:06:05 UTC. For the past month, I have been chasing what I believe will be a significant event in Big Island Hawaii. The rate of 2+ events occurring at this location has increased significantly during the last 3 days. At 06:06:05 UTC today, the ATE was located on Mauna Loa volcano, Big Island, Hawaii. From my perspective, ATE contact with Hawaii triggered the M 5.1 South Sandwich Islands event… so with belief in my own method, I have reason to continue chasing Hawaii.
As mentioned at the start of this post, we all have different theories or techniques that we employ to find an answer (or an earthquake)… this one is mine. Like you, I made a lot of my determinations using ACE data, but I am now mindful of the fact that the ACE satellite will have depleted is propellant in approx. 2 – 3 years. So I am trying to find alternative methods towards seismic detection. Probable one reason why I have had very little impact on the results lately… I am on the ACE wagon, so to speak 🙂 .
Always follow your own path… but I hope this helps in some way !.
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7 ptsNomadicFredAugust 19, 2019 at 10:07 pm #6354Yeah i hear ya, i tend to follow my own path just grabbing all the tools i can and see which ones work and which dont for me…. like what i do with my attempts at forex, looking for the rule set that works for me, while staying within the logic set we get from ben and the EU contributers…. did not know ACE was running out of gas, i am going to assume or hope there is another one up there that gives us the Solar Wind info, my guess there is , I have two different links for solar wind info and both are via the swpc.noaa.gov site
i think i am going to get a white board and divide the tools into the
Location:
Magnitude:
Margin:
Depth:
Period:and then from there just fill in the info from each as i go accross the board for a target area.
grats on the volcano hits, i think thats really good…i have some honey do things for tonight… and i want to get started before my wife adds more., thank you for the reply lester, i enjoy the conversations… take care and thank you again, if i have questions ill send up smoke signals
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