NomadicFred: August 25 2019 23:15 UTC- Puerto Rico

[Karma: 7 pts]

NomadicFred

August 26, 2019 at 11:11 pm #6381

Location : 18°58’14.32″N 66°56’0.55″W Mona Ridge Area / Puerto Rico
Magnitude: 6.6 to 7.6
Margin: 220 KM Radial Kilometers
Depth : 10 to 32 KM
Period: From 23:30:00 UTC 08/26/19 to 23:50:00 UTC 08/31/19

Score: 0

[Karma: 7 pts]

NomadicFred

August 26, 2019 at 11:15 pm #6382

my thought outside the forcast is the 28th as the low approaches to the south of Puerto Rico and as the tail end of the first CH is going on about 5pm EST i think , i say EST and not UTC because im using Windy, pressure map and im not seeing a time clearification on screen yet, ill keep poking around, i just figured it was using my local time as the “now” time matched what i see on my laptop above the window.

Score: 0

[Karma: 7 pts]

NomadicFred

August 28, 2019 at 12:45 am #6386

you know those pressure cookers that have the slow release at at top… and it just makes that noise… kinda of like today

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[Karma: 115 pts]

lester

August 28, 2019 at 1:33 am #6387

When you miss a 6.6… you don’t need a pressure cooker to produce that kinda noise !!

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[Karma: 115 pts]

lester

September 24, 2019 at 3:30 pm #6455

I believe that in some cases, particularly those that eventually climax with a significant event, that the data we make determinations from is comparable to lighting a long fuse… rather than a short 7 day period fuse. My own experience has shown me that data we perceive to have a short expiry period, can sometimes relate to one lunation before culmination of an event. This is one reason why I have tried to stagger my forecast time periods for certain locations. Very difficult to cover one lunation (29.5 days av) when you are only allocated 20 days max.

As example the current New Moon lunation started 08:06 UTC 30th August, and culminates 14:52 UTC 28th September… totalling 29 days 6 hours 46 minutes. Now you can determine for yourself weather this is “crackpot” stuff, or a valid scenario worth considering with future forecast attempts. But if I take your “titled” posted time and date for this forecast of 25th August 23:15 UTC, and go forward to the M 6.0 Puerto Rico event at 03:24 UTC 24th September… this totals 29 days 4 hours 9 minutes !!

Very ironic and totally coincidental on your part, but I just wanted to make the point that I thought you deserved some kudos for making this attempt in this region. M 6.0 events are very rare here, and as you do not post forecasts as often as some do here ( 🙂 ) I thought this effort deserved a mention… even thought (officially) you didn’t get it.

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[Karma: 7 pts]

NomadicFred

September 24, 2019 at 7:54 pm #6456

Well thats interesting, i do believe that i walked the sun/moon forward to where i was seeing the pressure play and figured where the OLR was going to go for the Highest rate of change between two areas, i may not have the right idea on the OLR yet but right now i am looking for the direction and rate an area is bouncing back and forth positive to negative and vise versa, thanks for noticing lester… had not known about PR EQ untill the inbox dinged.

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[Karma: 7 pts]

NomadicFred

September 24, 2019 at 8:13 pm #6457

well thats neat, just compared the to locations of the post and the actual , oh its about 20 miles….well then…. a charge build up over time, then crust displacement, was thinking Billys one video

i have some job things to do here the next few days but ill try for wednesday and sunday posts

and also still focus on just South America

take care

Score: 0