• NomadicFred
    7 pts
    NomadicFred
    July 1, 2020 at 12:58 pm #9162

    Location 44°14’39.10″N 121°49’39.05″W

    Magnitude: 5.5 to 6.5

    Range: 75 Miles

    Depth: 4km to 19km

    TimeFrame: UTC time = Wednesday, July 1, 2020 at 19:59:00 to UTC time = Sunday, July 5, 2020 at 12:56:00.

    • This topic was modified 4 years, 4 months ago by NomadicFredNomadicFred. Reason: edit was 751 to 75 miles
    Score: 0
    15 pts
    Canyonrat
    July 2, 2020 at 4:21 pm #9178

    Fred, It looks like an observational forecast.

    I concur with the area and I like that you placed it near a volcano. The over lapping of energy I see from a quick review are these three quakes:

    M 5.0 – 29 km SSE of Mina, Nevada 2020-06-30 09:24:23 (UTC) 38.154°N 117.958°W 8.3 km depth
    M 4.6 – 27 km NW of Stanley, Idaho 2020-06-25 05:20:59 (UTC) 44.399°N 115.181°W 7.5 km depth
    M 3.4 – 21 km ENE of Amanda Park, Washington 2020-06-27 11:25:51 (UTC) 47.500°N 123.624°W 33.5 km depth

    The 3.4 is in the middle of ancient volcano area. The other two are in active volcano areas.

    Possible push from this quake (according to my new hypothesis) M 4.2 – Izu Islands, Japan region 2020-06-26 01:25:36 (UTC) 30.762°N 137.461°E 484.5 km depth. The depth adds .9 to magnitude making it 5.1 worth of energy. Arrival likely July 2 through July 12 with likeliest timing 10 days after the event July 5.

    Historically the area shows zero quake activity. But if it strikes, this will be a very impressive forecast and you will need to explain how you arrived at it…AKA “tell us your secrets” or at least just me…LOL

    Score: 0
    NomadicFred
    7 pts
    NomadicFred
    July 6, 2020 at 4:58 pm #9203

    Sorry for the late reply , my little world is all over the place and i needed some time to figure out a direction to go and a method / process to follow, one of the risks i have is thinking about to many things at one time and not being happy with any solution i plot. In either case. Yeah sisters was a observational for sure, i was looking at the historical data after i saw a “delta class OLR” and by delta i mean an area that has both positive and negative areas well organized and there more than a day or two… just sitting there, it looked lonely and the KP index had itself a little drop so i was thinking maybe the energy would find a home there… the area has had some activity when you look back, but its not resent per say… but the question was where do we see 6.0 or better in relation to all the activity in Mina and Stanley, sounds like a rock and roll group… maybe that was my first geology joke… hmmm my timeline was anything from 1965 on and i picked up 4 events and split the difference and allowed my low range in miles.. the Depth was the Average of the ones i found, and the timeframe was the moon cycle with the 7 day or less rule…

    Score: 0
Viewing 3 posts - 1 through 3 (of 3 total)

You must be logged in to reply to this topic.

Start typing and press Enter to search