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115 ptslesterDecember 2, 2017 at 7:15 pm #3353
Hi Ben,
On 16th November, I formulated a forecast for New Britain Region P.N.G. on co-ordinates 149.790’E – 6.480’S, which locates you on the sea ridge South of Amge Island. When the 6.0 occurred in Eastern New Guinea, my measured distance from forecast co-ordinates to quake epicentre calculated as 244 km’s. I used a 250 km margin and realised it was just within my bounds. It was only when I came to submit in Successful proclamations that I realised I had not included said co-ordinates on my official forecast.
Personally, I was happy to waver this (being a mistake and all), but my well meaning partner in crime has me here under duress 🙂 for you to review if I have a legitimate call on this… he is true testament to the meaning “buddies across the pond”
What ever you decide is fine by me…
Score: 0
29 pts115 ptslesterDecember 3, 2017 at 3:05 pm #3362Hi Ben
I thank you for responding, but I feel as I originally did that new events are occurring, and this is becoming old news. I give appreciable thanks to my friend Counselor Gimber (Chris) for encouraging me in this endeavour… but I will accept my miss result and learn from my mistakes.
However, I would like to suggest you analyse Counselor Gimber’s Ecuador forecast of November 19 10:51 pm. It “very recently” expired, but he changed location from Quito to Quayaquil by analysing the data correctly. We had recently been discussing potential for an event occurring in Ecuador or Haiti… I made a strong case for Haiti, and feel I may have unduly affected his decision to maintain his forecast. You know my views on protocol, but I have also been told that certain circumstances can apply if sufficient data fits the picture. I normally use a 20 day forecast period… so in my book, he got this one!
Thank you
This post has received 1 vote up.Score: 1 -
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