• Tayrance Allen
    14 pts
    Tayrance Allen
    November 13, 2019 at 4:30 pm #6603

    Alert set for 11/13/19 @ 13:30 UTC Time to 11/20/19 @ 19:00 UTC Time:

    Highest alert zones:
    Indonesia/ Philippines region: 6.4 – 7.4
    Vanuatu: 6.0 – 7.0
    Peru: 5.8 – 6.8

    Moderate alert zones:
    Burma region: 5.7 – 6.7
    Mexico: southern tip of Baja – 5.0 -6.0
    Italy: 5.0 – 6.0

    Blot echo watch for Russia: 500km radius of the Kuril Islands- 4.0 -5.0 blot echo will set into effect this area on alert for 6.0 – 7.0

    This post has received 1 vote up.
    Score: 1
    BeccasArt
    19 pts
    BeccasArt
    November 14, 2019 at 6:38 pm #6610

    Hi Terrence. No radius written for the Indonesia/Phillipines forecast, but the rest of prediction is a hit. You and Ben had the same spot marked, great work – M7.1 Ternate at M8:17 PST this morning.

    This post has received 1 vote up.
    Score: 1
    BeccasArt
    19 pts
    BeccasArt
    November 14, 2019 at 6:40 pm #6611

    08:17*

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    November 14, 2019 at 9:48 pm #6612

    Hey Tayrence, I have noticed that the “Karma” points seem to increase when congrats is given to a fellow forecaster. If this is the case, then I reckon that at least 50% of mine are attributed to your “years” of successful forecasting 🙂

    You are one of the original vet’s like myself, and the stats show that our hit rates have improved since we first joined Quake Watch… the same can be said of our differing methods. We have both received commendation from management for our contributions towards seismic science. Therefore, I believe this affords us the right to experiment, make “mistakes” and generally make fools of ourselves in the public arena ( that last part relates to me 🙂 )

    We have had little differences in the time we have both invested here, but we have never intervened with each others determinations… I think that’s called “brotherly respect”. Lastly, could you try for a nice 4.5 in Puerto Rico once in a while… because these big ones are getting boring… 🙂

    Well done again brother…

    This post has received 1 vote up.
    Score: 1
    Tayrance Allen
    14 pts
    Tayrance Allen
    November 15, 2019 at 1:53 am #6614

    Lol Thank you Lester. All love and respect. I see your progress and I think you are really good at what you do. The volcano forecasting is intriguing, Im stil not sure how you get that done but it’s awesome.

    Hi Becca , thank you very much. A radius is not needed. I actually only use radius when I am unable to create an alert map.

    Score: 0
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