GeoPen

GeoPen

August 22, 2018 at 2:43 am #5205

The M7-7.3 Venezuela earthquake, occured on 8/21 at the exact coordinates predicted. It was a little bit stronger than expected, yet, such a quake was characterized as dangerous in my post above. My forecast for the magnitude of Vanuatu earthquake which took place in Loyalty Islands on the same day was exact.

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GeoPen

August 5, 2018 at 1:01 pm #5112

Today’s M7 on Loloan as well as the previous (July 28-29) M6.4 Gempa and M6 Palue, Indonesia, quakes occured with the approximate magnitudes, near the coordinates and on the dates indicated as dangerous, above. The upcoming solar eclipse on August 11 foreshadows higher seismic activity in the following days.

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GeoPen

July 19, 2018 at 3:40 pm #5033

Correction: The B. 1. Alaska is (147w/60 to 64n) of course.

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GeoPen

July 17, 2018 at 4:49 pm #5023

Thank you for your comment, JEC. As for Hawaii, I totally agree, but I consider the days around the upcoming lunar eclipse (27 July, +/- 2 days) as the most dangerous in this month for a major event there, seismic, volcanic or both.

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GeoPen

July 14, 2018 at 6:00 pm #5002

This is the ex post facto evaluation of my predictions of the strong and very strong earthquakes of the first part of 2018 (Source of earthquake data: emsc-csem.org)

A. 1. Mexico (102w/20n) Mw 6,8-7
Actually occured:
2018-02-09 19.13N/104.60W 5.8
2018-02-19 16.53N/97.52W 5.9
2018-02-17 16.15N/97.78W 5.8
2018-02-16 16.59N/97.73W 7.2
2018-06-30 19.09N/105.05W 6.0
2. Northern Italy (10e/45n) Mw 5,5-6,2
NO
3. Romania, Vrancea region (27e/45n) Mw 6,5-6,8
NO
4. Turkey (31e/41n) Mw 6,8-7.
NO
5. Iran-Pakistan border region (62e/27n) Mw 6,5-6,8
NO
6. China Sichuan (100e/28n) Mw 6-6,5 and Qinghai (101e/35n) Mw 6-6,8
NO
7. Taiwan (123e/24n) Mw 6,8-7,2
Actually occured:
2018-02-07 24.10N/121.81E 5.7
2018-02-06 24.15N/121.74E 6.4
2018-02-04 24.09N/121.84E 6.1
8. Sumatra (99e/4s) Mw 6,8-7,2
Actually occured:
2018-01-23 6.98S/106.07E 6.0
2018-06-12 2.00S/98.68E 6.0
9. PNG (137e/1s) Mw 7-8
NO
10.Gibraltar (5w/35n) Mw 6-6,5
NO
11.New Zealand (175e/40s) Mw 6-6,5
Actually occured:
2018-07-07 30.71S/177.94W 6.0

B.
1. Alaska (132w/55n) Mw 7-8
Actually occured:
2018-01-23 56.03N/149.03W 7.9
2. Nevada (119w/41n) Mw 5,5-6
NO
3. Off shore Guatemala (92w/13n) Costa Rica (85w/9n) and Panama (78w/8n) Mw 6-6,5
Actually occured:
2018-04-02 13.06N/88.71W 5.9
2018-04-24 12.49N/87.83W 5.6
2018-05-06 13.11N/88.10W 5.6
2018-06-18 14.24N/90.54W 5.6
4. Chile (70w/23s) Mw 6,5-6,8 and (44s/76w) Mw 6,8-7,2
Actually occured:
2018-01-14 15.74S/74.65W 7.1
2018-01-21 18.90S/69.61W 6.3
2018-03-08 44.05S/81.84W 5.5
2018-04-05 20.42S/70.58W 5.6
2018-04-10 31.00S/71.39W 6.2
2018-06-14 45.79S/76.31W 5.6
5. Iran (50e/32n) Mw 6-6,5
Actually occured:
2018-04-19 28.31N/51.61E 5.8
6. Nepal (90e/27n) Mw 6,8-7,2
NO
7. China Xinjiang (89e/38n) Mw 6-6,8
NO
8. India, Andaman Islands (93e/14n) Mw 6-7
Actually occured:
2018-02-13 12.34N/93.09E 5.6
9. Myanmar (95e/23n) Mw 6-6,5
Actually occured:
2018-01-11 18.42N/96.14E 6.0
10.Indonesia (124e/2s) Mw 6,5-7,2
Actually occured:
2018-02-26 2.72S/126.81E 6.1
2018-03-02 6.24S/130.28E 5.9
2018-03-08 3.35S/130.91E 5.7
2018-03-25 6.71S/129.74E 6.6
2018-04-15 1.41N/126.91E 5.9
2018-06-02 4.61N/126.78E 5.7
11.Japan, off the east coast of Honsu (145e/39n) Mw 6,8-7,8
Actually occured:
2018-01-24 41.10N/142.35E 6.2
2018-02-25 37.54N/141.84E 5.6
2018-04-08 35.13N/132.55E 5.7
2018-06-17 34.84N/135.53E 5.6
2018-07-01 46.99N/144.92E 5.6
2018-07-07 35.07N/140.62E 5.8
12.PNG (149e/8s) Mw 6,8-7
Actually occured:
2018-01-26 3.54S/145.82E 6.3
2018-02-25 6.08S/142.79E 7.5
2018-02-26 6.44S/143.26E 6.3
2018-02-28 6.13S/142.50E 6.3
2018-03-06 6.19S/142.59E 6.7
2018-03-08 4.40S/153.25E 6.8
2018-03-24 5.50S/151.48E 6.3
2018-03-29 5.49S/151.46E 7.0
2018-04-07 5.84S/142.55E 6.3
2018-05-09 5.88S/151.80E 6.0
13.Greece (20e/38n) Mw 5,5-6,2
Actually occured:
2018-06-25 36.72N/21.37E 5.5

C.
1. Alaska (158w/55n) and (145w/60n) Mw 6-6,8
Actually occured:
2018-03-07 45.83N/152.27E 5.9
2018-05-08 56.39N/148.45W 5.5
2. Equador-Peru border region (79w/4s) Mw 6,5-6,8
NO
3. Scotia sea: (23w/55s) (35w/55s) (56w/55s) Mw 6,5-7
Actually occured:
2018-03-16 56.44S/25.60W 5.5
2018-04-09 57.70S/27.92W 5.7
2018-05-14 55.99S/27.14W 5.8
2018-06-06 58.45S/25.69W 5.6
4. The mid-Atlantic ridge: (43w/30n) (10w/2s) (4w/56s) Mw 6,5-7
NO
5. Indian Ocean and the Tasman Sea: (86e/44s) or (123e/50s) or (140e/51s) Mw 6,5-6,8
Actually occured:
2018-02-27 60.31S/150.84E 6.0
2018-03-24 45.86S/96.03E 6.3
2018-04-21 49.01S/123.52E 5.8
2018-05-01 56.72S/142.09W 5.9
6. Vanuatu (166e/18s) Mw 7-7,2
Actually occured:
2018-04-30 15.93S/168.34E 5.8
2018-06-21 17.73S/168.20E 6.1
2018-07-13 18.92S/169.07E 6.4
7. Fiji (175e/22s) Mw 6,8-7,2
Actually occured:
2018-02-01 16.66S/177.44W 6.0
2018-02-09 17.88S/178.62W 5.9
2018-03-09 21.03S/178.61W 5.7
2018-04-02 24.95S/176.80W 6.2
2018-04-05 18.34S/177.88W 5.8
2018-05-01 16.60S/176.95E 5.7
2018-05-01 18.03S/177.96W 5.9
2018-06-16 16.27S/177.60W 6.0
8. Kamchatka (160e/52n) Mw 6,8-7,8
Actually occured:
2018-01-25 55.48N/166.43E 6.2
2018-07-06 51.57N/157.87E 6.1

Earthquakes totally missed:
2018-01-10 17.40N/83.59W 7.6 NORTH OF HONDURAS
2018-01-19 26.85N/110.89W 6.3 GULF OF CALIFORNIA
2018-01-28 53.09S/9.62E 6.5 SOUTHWEST OF AFRICA
2018-02-11 13.82N/146.47E 6.0 MARIANA ISLANDS REGION
2018-04-02 20.65S/63.05W 6.8 CHUQUISACA, BOLIVIA
2018-04-19 42.82S/42.22E 6.0 PRINCE EDWARD ISLANDS REGION
2018-05-02 24.26S/111.65W 6.0 EASTER ISLAND REGION
2018-05-04 19.46N/155.06W 6.9 ISLAND OF HAWAII, HAWAII
2018-05-05 14.47N/123.92E 6.1 LUZON, PHILIPPINES
2018-05-09 36.98N/71.43E 6.2 HINDU KUSH REGION, AFGHANISTAN

As for the second part of 2018, the danger for Italy, Romania, Turkey and Nevada remains and increases. Also, Greece, California and Hawaii come to the fore. But this will be the subject of another post that will follow.

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GeoPen

January 30, 2018 at 3:07 pm #3783

Planetary alignments? Interesting. But, to my knowledge, Vesta-Ceres-Chiron are asteroids.

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