• 11 pts
    Counselor
    February 18, 2018 at 6:48 pm #3921

    (Lol)… had not read this post yet when I extended my California forecast!

    I may be a little obsessed myself. ๐Ÿ™‚

    I appreciate that โ€œoverdue creditโ€ There was one near Batu Merah as well… those can be like my โ€œfish storiesโ€ that I can add about the โ€œone that got away.โ€ ๐Ÿ™‚

    Guatemala showing up for me as well.

    Score: 0
    11 pts
    Counselor
    February 18, 2018 at 6:52 pm #3922

    I have a line passing through quetzaltenango.

    Score: 0
    11 pts
    Counselor
    February 18, 2018 at 6:58 pm #3923

    And, a line down zacapa, Gautamala through Santa Ana, El Salvador.

    • This reply was modified 6 years, 9 months ago by Counselor.
    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    February 18, 2018 at 7:47 pm #3925

    That’s a good analogy, but I think it is best to compare our past failures to “wet fish”… they keep slipping out of our hands ๐Ÿ™‚

    A structure has appeared in all four MAG levels, starting at 16:16 UTC and terminating at 17:04 UTC. It doesn’t appear to be related to any locations we are following, but at 16:16 UTC the lunar terminator was located on the 2.9 LA epicentre again !. It was also located on both sun / moon positions during New Moon at this time…

    Score: 0
    11 pts
    Counselor
    February 18, 2018 at 8:36 pm #3926

    Uh oh… I was afraid you still had LA in your math. I have a couple of maps where I was curious about whether it was LA, but went Ludlow/Mexicali.

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    February 18, 2018 at 9:43 pm #3927

    Oh! I’m sorry Chris, both analogies mean the same thing… looks like I need a vacation in a padded room ๐Ÿ™‚

    I think you are still safe with Mexicali, the rising lunar terminator on the 2.9 LA epicentre could relate to somewhere on the setting threshold like an energy transfer… perhaps Iran or the triple junction region,Indian Ocean. The 17:04 UTC I mentioned is Sunset on 6.650’E – 43.540’N Near South Coast of France…

    Score: 0
    11 pts
    Counselor
    February 19, 2018 at 5:17 pm #3930

    Wasnโ€™t that central east pacific rise a part of the Guatemala sequence you are working on? Saw that and remembered the T&D with the sun/terminator you pointed out.

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    February 19, 2018 at 9:43 pm #3933

    The East Pacific rise event is in the same general area as Guatemala, but it doesn’t fit in with the thresholds… however, its sunrise correlates with solar Noon on the Santa Cruz Islands !

    I was searching through stored ACE images today, and found several contacts at 16:16 UTC,they correspond with Dusk on the Gulf of Aden.

    Here’s something else I did today… I sourced a possible seismic location in Kazakhstan, by only using the EMSC published quake list…

    17th Feb 18:56:28 UTC – M 5.0 Java, Indonesia
    19th Feb 06:57:01 UTC – M 5.9 Oaxaca, Mexico

    The times indicate the sun was on true and opposite longitude during these events… I determined the true longitude to be 79.385’E

    2nd Feb 00:20:42 UTC – M 5.5 Molucca Sea = Dawn on 79.385’E – 42.980’N
    11th Feb 00:10:32 UTC – M 5.0 Southwest of Africa = Dawn on ,,,,,, – ,,,,, ( it is also Sunset on the Guatemala co-ordinates !)
    14th Feb 00:05:30 UTC – M 5.5 Kepulauan Aru, Indonesia = Dawn on ,,,,, – ,,,,,

    31st Jan 02:00:32 UTC – M 5.3 Flores Sea = Sunrise on ,,,,, – ,,,,,
    7th Feb 12:03:27 UTC – M 5.3 Fiji Region = Sunset on ,,,,, – ,,,,,
    ……………………………………………………………………..
    18th Feb 02:54:53 UTC – M 5.3 South Sandwich Islands
    18th Feb 14:55:33 UTC – M 5.0 Panama

    At 02:54 UTC and 14:56 UTC, the rising / setting lunar terminators converge on 79.385’E – 42.980’N Kegen, Southern Kazakhstan.

    I don’t know if this will work… but it looked good on paper ๐Ÿ™‚

    Score: 0
    11 pts
    Counselor
    February 22, 2018 at 2:29 pm #3946

    Hey Lester!

    Hoping you are recovering ok? A coworker friend of mine just came down with the flu. Remembering you were dealing with it too.

    Chat with you later.

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    February 22, 2018 at 5:15 pm #3948

    Thanks Chris, I am feeling much better. I was having trouble sleeping until I discovered “hot toddies”, Whiskey and Hot water mixed with a spoon of honey… perhaps your co worker would benefit from this recipe !

    Are you still watching Guandong, China ?

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    February 23, 2018 at 1:16 am #3950

    Here’s something different… an EMSC T sequence for Southwest Islands, Palau Region… 131.100’E – 5.110’N

    05/2 09:29:49 UTC – M 5.0 Raykjanes Ridge ……….. = Sunset
    15/2 09:31:16 UTC – M 5.0 South of Fiji Islands ….. = Sunset
    17/2 21:30:43 UTC – M 5.2 Oaxaca, Mexico ………… = Sunrise
    19/2 10:38:37 UTC – M 5.3 South Coast of Papua,Ind .. = Dusk
    20/2 09:29:27 UTC – M 5.1 Sulawesi,Indonesia …….. = Sunset

    I tried to take the “Doc & Marty” scenario into account, and came up with the following…

    On 23rd February at 09:20 UTC,the geocentric position of the sun will be 43.350’E – 9.783’S Off West Coast of Madagascar. The geocentric position of the moon will be 131.100’E – 16.333’N over the Philippine Sea. At this time, it is also Sunset in the Philippine Sea on the co-ordinates stated… therefore the moon is central on the sunset threshold. Also at this time, the lunar terminator is located on 43.350’E – 9.783’S… it is central to the suns position.

    The lunar terminator is also located on 24.90’E – 42.09’N Bulgaria at this time !!

    Dawn on 131.100’E – 16.333’N Philippine Sea occurs on 23rd Feb at 10:34 UTC… Solar Noon on 24.90’E – 42.09’N Bulgaria also occurs at 10:34 UTC 23/2. Solar Noon in the Philippine Sea at 03:31 UTC, and it is Dawn in Bulgaria on the stated co-ordinates… there is equilibrium here !!

    Another one that looked good on paper… one of these equations might work someday ๐Ÿ™‚

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    February 23, 2018 at 11:17 am #3952

    23/2 03:31:16 UTC – M 5.0 Chignik Lake, Alaska = Solar Noon on 131.100’E Philippine Sea / Southwest Islands, Palau !!

    I appear to be on the right track… question is, am I at the right stop ?

    Score: 0
    11 pts
    Counselor
    February 23, 2018 at 3:00 pm #3954

    Glad to hear you got some sleep. Yes, still watching guangdong, China. Really wondering what I am tracking there. I caught a fresh mag flux connected to it again, but, because itโ€™s a terminator line, it could East Timor, Philippines, mid Atlantic Ridge (maybe trin/Tobago), down in that los Lagos area of Chile? (Moon terminator)

    My desire is to try and keep to the model this time, but my stubborn โ€œfish senseโ€ has me thinking it could be a spot! My location at mid Atlantic at Sargasso Sea popped a 5 3 months after my forecast there. ๐Ÿ™‚ so, could be nothing. Whatโ€™s interesting is I am seeing South Africa again in the solar terminator, as well as Arabian peninsula/Iraq/ eastern Turkey into russia… then back throughout aleutians near chignik!

    Still working on it ๐Ÿ™‚

    I am leaning nearer to the Philippines in your recent sequence…but you did get Taiwan last time!

    Anyway, been distracted by recent rumbling in my neck of the woods…Danville/Diablo California had a M3 this morning and curious to see if I am on the right track myself? If itโ€™s not a foreshock, another bit I f hyper vigilant goose-chasing for me (lol).

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    February 23, 2018 at 6:20 pm #3955

    I was thinking about you when saw several events had occurred in Diablo, CA. I don’t think you are on a wild goose chase my friend… in fact, we appear to be closely related on this one with respect to our chosen locations. In the equation above, I mentioned the geocentric position of the sun at 09:20 UTC today was 43.350’E – 9.783’S West of Madagascar (place a dot on the sun image). If we now wind the clock back to 01:56:10 UTC, the moon is on longitude 121.979’W (Diablo)… Sunset occurs on 121.979’W – 37.829’N Diablo today at 01:56 UTC… it is Sunrise on the 6.1 Hindu Kush epicentre 31/1… the lunar terminator is located on the 6.0 Pacific-Antarctic Ridge epicentre 2/2… “and” it is Dawn on the Sun dot West of Madagascar… a “Doc & Marty” scenario ๐Ÿ™‚

    The Madagascar sun location is related to both Diablo, CA and Palau, Indonesia… the math leans more towards Palau, but all the action is currently in California !

    I’ve been watching Eastern Turkey myself… the list of events above at 09:30 UTC’s and 21:30 UTC has the sun on longitudes 41 East and 139 West !

    I have also noticed several recent contacts related to Guangdong , China, and there is the fact that it does have correlation with the 7.2 Oaxaca, Mexico event. If you are going to miss another “fish”… make sure its not a Chinese one ๐Ÿ™‚

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    February 23, 2018 at 8:59 pm #3956

    23/2 20:19:24 UTC – M 3.6 Diablo, CA … 23/2 20:20 UTC = Dawn on 131.100’E – 5.110’N Southwest Islands, Palau !!

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    February 23, 2018 at 9:22 pm #3957

    BTW – at 21:30 UTC today, it will be Sunrise on 131.100’E – 5.110’N Southwest Islands, Palau, and the sun will be on longitude 139.166’W, the opposite longitude being 40.834’E (Eastern Turkey !). What is different this time is the lunar terminator is located on 43.350’E – 9.783’S West of Madagascar… on the sun dot !!

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    February 24, 2018 at 4:10 pm #3959

    24/2 11:02:22 UTC – M 5.2 Babuyan Islands Region, Philippines… Dusk on this epicentre occurred today at 11:16 UTC, also at this time it was Dawn on 91.950’W – 13.830’N Offshore Guatemala !

    At 17:31 UTC today, the geocentric position of the moon will be 26.650’E – 19.250’N in the central Sudan desert. Dusk on these co-ordinates occurs at 17:31 UTC… therefore the moon is central on the Dusk threshold. Also at this time, it is Sunrise on 171.416’W – 12.083’S North of the Samoa Islands… this is the location occupied by the sun during the 7.2 Oaxaca, Mexico event 16/2. The sun is on longitude 79.450’W, it is Solar Noon in Macuchi, Ecuador… 40 km’s East of Quevedo !. The math shows Fry of Macedonia may make an appearance in the next 24 hours…

    Up to the time of this post, the last MAG Phi contact occurred at 10:30 UTC, it was Sunset on 112.685’E – 23.865’N Kuidongzhen, Guandong, China… after all, it is the 24th today ๐Ÿ™‚ (ref; post of 18th Feb 4:40 pm – bottom of last page !)

    I missed out on Honshu “again” ๐Ÿ™

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    February 24, 2018 at 4:33 pm #3960

    BTW – an aspect change occurred in SWEPAM density data at 12:26 UTC, it was Sunrise on 91.950’W – 13.830’N Offshore Guatemala… and Sunset on 79.385’E – 42.980’N Southern Kazakhstan !

    Score: 0
    11 pts
    Counselor
    February 24, 2018 at 4:37 pm #3961

    Maybe we have a couple of shared locations for a Bill and Ted? China and Guatemala?

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    February 24, 2018 at 7:11 pm #3962

    If you are happy to do this then I agree… the Phi data has still not changed aspect (at the time of this post), so it is kind of an irony that last contact was on Kuidongzhen, china !. There is currently no significant solar influence (hence my miserly 5.0 on Honshu ๐Ÿ™ ), so I suggest this would be in the 5.5 range. Dawn and Sunrise occur at this location today at 21:40 UTC and 22:56 UTC respectively… it will be interesting to see if the Phi data alters aspect at these times. You found this one… it is only right that you do the honours ?

    I am 100% on Guatemala, it is just the timing that we have to try and establish. At the moment, I am thinking a Bill & Ted excellent adventure in Guatemala for 7 days, beginning 1st March… does this sound agreeable ?

    Score: 0
    11 pts
    Counselor
    February 24, 2018 at 10:03 pm #3963

    Sounds good Ted! I will follow you for Guatemala! ๐Ÿ™‚

    For China… would a M5 – M6 sound fair?

    And, we are both saying Kuidongzhen, Guandong, China. I can post that one, but are you thinking the timing is ok for now around 7 days?

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    February 24, 2018 at 10:26 pm #3964

    Yes! I agree, 5 – 6 in Kuidongzhen, Guandong is a good range, and 7 days from now would be fine…

    for the past 5 days, seismic activity has only produced low 5’s, it seems to trend that within 48 hours of the moon being geocentric to the Dusk threshold, there is an up tick in activity. The 7.2 Oaxaca, Mexico was the last major event to occur, it has yet to extend its influence to other potential locations… Kuidongzhen seems to have a strong case for being in its sights!

    I would stake my reputation on being right this time… but I don’t have one ๐Ÿ™‚

    Score: 0
    11 pts
    Counselor
    February 24, 2018 at 10:37 pm #3965

    I have no rep either… so, we only stand to gain on this one I suppose! ๐Ÿ™‚

    The usual 250km radius, and I will aim to post this soon.

    Guess a little sparring match in California might have put us on the right track?

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    February 24, 2018 at 11:08 pm #3966

    Agreed? though you won with a 2.0 dead bang on Mexicali… on some other forums, this would have been a great achievement ๐Ÿ™‚

    Score: 0
    11 pts
    Counselor
    February 25, 2018 at 2:04 am #3970

    Oh… how nice of bucaramanga to show itself with a blot again after I chose to go west of it this time. ๐Ÿ™‚

    Score: 0
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