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115 ptslesterFebruary 25, 2018 at 4:26 pm #3972
Hey Chris,
If you think you are having problems, how is this for a strange coincidence. My calculations have taken me from Fry of Macedonia to Sumatra… with help from Ben 🙂
I worked a small T sequence yesterday, which calculated as 05:16 UTC 24/2. At this time, it was Dawn on the 4.4 Wales-UK epicentre 17/2, the lunar terminator was located on the 5.0 Iceland (swarm) epicentre 19/2… and it was Sunrise on Fry of Macedonia. Seismic events here seem to go off at the drop of a pin, and this is why I gave mention of it yesterday in my post (4:10 pm). I didn’t catch the SO news yesterday, so I watched it this morning (my time) before it changed to the 25th Feb edition. Ben mentioned the 4.0 Canary Isles event had taken his interest, it certainly took mine when I realised it had occurred at 05:16 UTC !
When I ran a T sequence for this epicentre, it showed Dawn had occurred here at 06:21 UTC, the longitude of the sun at this time was 88.066’E… the opposite longitude to this is 91.934’W (Guatemala !!). At 02:40 UTC 24/2, the setting lunar terminator was located on the 4.4 Wales-UK epicentre, and the 4.0 Canary Islands epicentre !. When I advanced the lunar sequence, I discovered that on the 27th Feb at 05:38 UTC, the lunar terminator will be located on the 4.0 Canary Islands epicentre 24/2… located on the 5.2 New Britain Region P.N.G. epicentre 15/2… and 99.070’E – 1.770’N North Sumatra… which is currently showing some mag 3+ activity.
So here’s a question… why did Bill wake up this morning to find himself in North Sumatra ? 🙂
The 5.2 New Britain Region event mentioned above, occurred on 15th Feb at 11:40:06 UTC it was Dusk on 112.685’E – 23.865’N Kuidongzhen, Guandong, China at 11:41 UTC. This was an indication that Kuidongzhen had potential for a seismic event to occur. However, also at 11:41 UTC, it was Sunset on 99.070’E – 1.770’N Sarulla, North Sumatra. When I ran a T sequence for this location, I found the best optimal chance of a “notable” seismic event occurs on the 27th February… the same date as the lunar connection above.
Dawn 22:26 UTC = Solar Noon on 153.704’W – 0.304’N Central Pacific Ocean, this is the location occupied by the moon during the 6.1 Taiwan event 4/2… Dusk on 46.149’W – 15.833’N Central Atlantic Ocean, this is the location occupied by the moon during the 6.3 New Guinea event 26/1… the setting lunar terminator is located on the 6.0 Myanmar epicentre 11/1… the rising lunar terminator is located on the 7.2 Oaxaca, Mexico epicentre 16/2.
Sunrise 23:35 UTC = Dusk on 57.516’W – 18.083’S Brazil-Bolivia Border, this is the location occupied by the sun during the 6.5 Southwest of Africa event 28/1… the setting lunar terminator is located on 79.450’E – 19.566’N Central India, this is the location occupied by the moon during the 6.5 Southwest of Africa event 28/1… at 23:34:28 UTC, the moon will be on longitude 17.470’W, this is the same longitude the 4.0 Canary Islands event occurred on !
Dusk 12:49 UTC = Dawn on the 7.2 Oaxaca, Mexico epicentre… the setting lunar terminator is located on the 6.0 Pacific-Antarctic Ridge epicentre 2/2, and 118.050’W – 34.190’N Pasadena, CA 🙂
Chris…Sarulla, North Sumatra had a parallel T connection with Kuidongzhen, China on the 15th Feb, your guidance and data contribution gives you reason to be in the loop with Sumatra. At 12:50 UTC today, the MAG data recorded a signal drop, it was Dusk in Sumatra and Dawn in Oaxaca, Mexico… that 7.2 influence I was talking about seems to be waking up !!
Score: 011 ptsCounselorFebruary 25, 2018 at 5:44 pm #3973I saw that, and Honshu BTW!
You are going to like this… I kept looking South around the Sumatra/Java gap near Jakarta…I also had a contact that occurred before the 5 in that North Sumatra epicenter…thought what is that 5 didn’t clear out all the potential energy there?
Then mag flux data did something odd were the usual uptick on the USGS charts looked more subtle today. My curiosity had me looking at more the more subtle fluxes this time…Guatemala and Sumatra came up…as well as new Britain.
I read the other areas and many of those show up as well.
Thanks for including me! 🙂
Score: 0115 ptslesterFebruary 25, 2018 at 6:10 pm #3974We do seem to be adding extra coal in the fire box of this train at the moment don’t we 🙂
You can see the Africa connection to Sumatra in the list above, well, on 21st Feb at 10:27:53 UTC, a 5.2 occurred Southwest of Africa again… Sunset on 112.685’E – 23.865’N Kuidongzhen, China occurred at 10:28 UTC on this day !
Yes! I finally got a hit in Japan, but here’s the best part. The T sequence for this epicentre shows Sunset occurred today at 08:24 UTC, if you input this time in the moon map, look where the lunar terminator is located… it is on 91.950’W – 13.830’N Offshore Guatemala !!
Score: 0115 pts11 ptsCounselorFebruary 25, 2018 at 6:49 pm #3977Prob from unanswered activity there:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/6zmwfff5WgmmLmY02
Score: 011 pts11 pts115 ptslesterFebruary 25, 2018 at 7:25 pm #3980At 17:44:44 UTC, the lunar terminator was located on 131.100’E – 5.110’N Southwest Islands Region, Palau 🙁
I guess I can take comfort in the fact I mentioned an uptick would occur 48 hours post moon / Dusk conjunction… an opening shot with a 7.5 is not what I envisioned though… yesterdays planetary alignment has just moved up my list of curiosities !!
I’ll see what else I can find…. are we allowed to use profanities on this forum 🙂
Score: 011 ptsCounselorFebruary 25, 2018 at 7:47 pm #3981Haha…:-)
Ben, if you read this soon… Lester and I are imagining a slew of choice profanity for the moment.
I second the desire to use them Lester. 🙂 at least for the moment.
Shall we terminate our combined watches since we may have missed our stop?
Score: 0115 ptslesterFebruary 25, 2018 at 9:58 pm #3982I could think of a few choice words with lots of P’s N’s and G’s in them at the moment (lol)
I don’t think we have missed our stop yet! e.g the ACE data feed stopped at 17:04 UTC = no viable correlation found at this time… ACE data feed resumed at 19:30 UTC = the lunar terminator is located on 112.685’E – 23.865’N Kuidongzhen, Guandong, China !!. After several days of working this forecast, it is extremely coincidental that the satellite would resume operations, at the time the lunar terminator is exactly on our spot… don’t you think ?. The T sequence for the 7.5 P.N.G. is rather unique, it suggests a grand combination was key to its inevitable action… see what you think !
The T sequence for M 7.5 New Guinea, Papua New Guinea 25/2
Dawn 19:25 UTC = Dawn on 6.0 Mariana epicentre 11/2… Dawn on 138.966’E – 21.983’S Queensland, Australia, this is the location the sun occupied during the 7.6 North of Honduras event 10/1… the rising lunar terminator is located on the 7.6 North of Honduras epicentre 10/1… it is also located on the 6.3 Tarapaca, Chile epicentre 21/1
Sunrise 20:37 UTC = Sunrise on the 6.0 Mariana epicentre 11/2… Sunrise in Queensland, Australia on the co-ordinates and reason stated previously… Sunset on 32.950’W – 13.316’S South Atlantic, this is the location the moon occupied during the 6.3 Gulf of California event 19/1
Sunset 08:50 UTC = Dawn on 61.733’W – 20.250’S Paraguay, this is the location the sun occupied during the 6.3 Gulf of California event 19/1
Dusk 10:00 UTC = The rising lunar terminator is located on 60.566’E – 7.850’S Western Indian Ocean, this is the location the moon occupied during the 7.6 North of Honduras event 10/1
4 X Honduras – 2 X Mariana – 2 X California = 7.5 New Guinea P.N.G.
During the whole of 2017, there were a total of eight 7+ earthquakes… we are now 7 weeks 6 days into 2018, and we have already had five 7+ events. Considering that we are approaching solar minimum, this kind of high mag activity in such a short period could imply a mag 8 or 9 could be close at hand !!
I think I will delay my proclamation post for now, my little Japanese fish is not worth exhibiting today… a New Guinea shark came along and ate it 🙁
Score: 011 ptsCounselorFebruary 26, 2018 at 2:10 pm #3990That’s a good point Lester. Hopefully we won’t miss any of the other signs.
A blot appeared in Kamchatka, but then a 6.1 just popped near ceram Sea/Weber Basin Indonesia.
Going to go watch the morning news. I might try to check-in when I can during the week. My posted forecasts are about expire, but your reasoning has me thinking we need keep our eyes peeled.
Score: 011 pts115 ptslesterFebruary 26, 2018 at 5:17 pm #3992Hey Chris… Yes I saw Ben’s message, another excuse to use profanities again… I have started sending my wife out of the room whilst I log on to Quake Watch in the mornings 🙂
I think I mentioned before, I was logging strong contacts for Duke of York Island up to the 9th Feb.. I therefore forecast a 7+. a 5.8 occurred the day after, and then the 7.2 oaxaca, Mexico occurred on the 16th. Solar Noon here occurred at the same time as Dawn on Duke of York Island… I naturally assumed I was in the wrong place. Further contacts for Duke of York started again on the 19th, I reduced the Magnitude because I expected energy depletion would alter the outcome. Technically speaking, I was right because a 5.6 occurred today in my range. I can appreciate how Ben works this system, but in truth I was 400 miles off the New Guinea epicentre… its only a 5.6, but at least I feel I earned it !
I have worked a couple of events today that seem to be keeping us on course for China, although I am surprised that with several high mag events occurring, no fore warning activity is occurring here !
M 5.6 New Britain Region 04:41:02 UTC = the longitude of the sun at this time was 112.983’E (Guandong !)… the rising lunar terminator was located on the same 5.6 New Britain Region epicentre… the setting lunar terminator was located on the 4.0 Canary Islands epicentre 24/2.
M 6.0 Ceram Sea, Indonesia 13:34:56 UTC = the longitude of the moon at this time was 112.050’E (Guandong !)
The T sequence for this epicentre shows Dawn occurs today at 20:31 UTC, the setting lunar terminator is located on 112.685’E – 23.865’N Kuidongzhen, China. Sunrise occurs here at 21:40 UTC, it is Dawn at this time on the same Kuidongzhen co-ordinates.I noticed a blot has appeared today in the model on Chiapas and Guatemala… an encouraging sign perhaps !
Score: 0115 ptslesterFebruary 26, 2018 at 7:35 pm #3993M 3.8 ESE of Anza, California 18:44:41 UTC
At 18:44:41 UTC, the moon was on longitude 37.733’E, when the 7.5 occurred in New Guinea yesterday at 17:44:44 UTC, the moon was on longitude 37.616’E. Also at 18:44:41 UTC, the sun was on longitude 97.966’W, being on this longitude means it was Solar Noon on the 97.738’W 7.2 Oaxaca, Mexico epicentre !
The T sequence for Anza, CA shows Solar Noon occurs here at 20:00 UTC today… it is Sunrise on Duke of York Island P.N.G. at this time !
Score: 011 ptsCounselorFebruary 26, 2018 at 7:52 pm #3994So, are you back in California then?
Gotta another curious spot… a little more activity nearby perhaps? It shows in my flux spots for guangdong too. Don’t want to ignore it now considering what’s going on.
Vema fracture zone near Guiana Basin?
10.767N 43.255W is the site of a 7.3 that occurred back in 17Mar62 as I was researching Guandong for past activity of M6+
Score: 0115 ptslesterFebruary 26, 2018 at 9:40 pm #3995No! I’m not back in CA, I was giving my interpretation why mid-morning coffee breaks in California were being disrupted by the moon being over the Red Sea 🙂
The T sequence for Verma Fracture Zone today on the co-ordinates you posted, shows Dawn occurred at 08:00 UTC… this is already a curiosity because it is exactly 12 hours before Solar Noon in Anza, CA !… notably to me, it was Sunset on the co-ordinates of my expired Bougainville forecast. Sunrise occurred at 09:11 UTC, it was Dawn on Trinidad & Tobago, and again it was Dusk on the same Bougainville co-ordinates. Sunset has just occurred at 21:04 UTC, it is Dawn on the 6.4 Taiwan epicentre 6/2 at this time. Dusk occurs at 22:14 UTC, it will be Sunset in Trinidad & Tobago.
My current model only utilises 6+ positions, Verma fracture zone correlates with a prominent post seismic site in Taiwan… which is a favourable point to consider. It also extends routes to Trinidad & Tobago and Bougainville.
Here’s a small correlation I was working on earlier, Verma fracture zone also seems to fit in with today… try these times on your map
26/2 M 5.8 New Guinea P.N.G. ….. 08:26:57 UTC = solar map
26/2 M 5.7 New Guinea P.N.G. ….. 11:56:06 UTC = Moon map
26/2 Dawn on Verma fracture zone . 08:00:00 UTC = moon mapThey all converge on the North Coast of Iceland, 30 km’s East of the swarm epicentre on the 19th
In my opinion, the Taiwan connection suggests you found a good spot !
Score: 0115 pts115 ptslesterFebruary 27, 2018 at 12:16 am #4002Chris… I have been browsing my stored data to find connections to the 7.5 New Guinea event… I could not find anything of significance. This leads me to believe my grand combo scenario may be a viable source to tracking down potential high magnitude locations. I have therefore formulated a forecast in Southern Iran on this basis (an experiment !)… I joined a lot of the dots related to New Guinea and ended up here !
Its late here now, so I’ll post the formula tomorrow… BTW don’t let your Ecuador forecast laps !!
Score: 011 pts115 ptslesterFebruary 27, 2018 at 4:05 pm #4007At 08:26 UTC today, the ACE satellite resumed operation for a brief period of 5 minutes. At this time it was Dusk on the 5.5 North of Isangel, Vanuatu epicentre 27/2… Sunset on the 5.6 Honshu epicentre 25/2 (parallel T connection!)… and the Sunrise threshold had converged with the setting lunar terminator on the North Coast of Iceland !!
………………………………………………………………………………
Southern Iran… 26th FebruaryAt 14:16 UTC, it was Sunset on 55.750’E – 27.750’N Southern Iran… it was Sunset on 60.566’E – 7.850’S Western Indian Ocean, this is the location the moon occupied during the 7.6 North of Honduras event 10/1… the setting lunar terminator was located on 171.416’W – 12.083’S North of the Samoa Islands, this is the location the sun occupied during the 7.2 Oaxaca, Mexico event 16/2.
At 17:30:34 UTC, the moon was on longitude 55.516’E (Iran!)… the sun was on longitude 79.430’W, this is the same longitude it occupied at 17:30 UTC 24th Feb, the moon was geocentric to the Dusk threshold at this time (Quevedo, Ecuador resides on longitude 79.460’W)… it was Sunrise on 171.416’W – 12.083’S North of the Samoa Islands (same description as 14:16 UTC)… the setting lunar terminator was located on 138.966’E – 21.983’S Queensland, Australia, this is the location occupied by the sun during the 7.6 North of Honduras event 10/1.
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The T sequence for Fin, Southern Iran 26/2Dawn 01:26 UTC = Dusk on 91.950’W – 13.830’N Offshore Guatemala… Sunrise on 79.385’E – 42.980’N Southern Kazakhstan… it was Sunset on the 6.3 Gulf of California epicentre 19/1… the setting lunar terminator was located on 26.650’E – 19.250’N Central Sudan Desert, this is the location the moon occupied at 17:30 UTC 24/2 at the point it was geocentric to the Dusk threshold.
Sunrise 02:44 UTC = the longitude of the sun was 142.233’E, therefore it was Solar Noon on the 7.5 New Guinea P.N.G. epicentre 25/2… the longitude of the moon at this time was 91.783’W (Guatemala!)
Sunset 14:16 UTC = refer to 14:16 UTC above
Dusk 15:34 UTC = Sunset on 37.616’E – 20.050’N Red Sea, this is the location occupied by the moon during the 7.5 New Guinea P.N.G. event 25/2… the rising lunar terminator was located on the 4.0 Canary Islands epicentre 24/2
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Speculation…At 01:25 UTC 28th February, it will be Dusk on the Offshore Guatemala co-ordinates… Sunrise on the Southern Kazakhstan co-ordinates… Sunset on the 6.3 Gulf of California epicentre 19/1… and the Dawn threshold will converge with the setting lunar terminator on 55.750’E – 27.750’N Fin, Southern Iran. An insignificant Class B 3.3 flux event occurred yesterday (26th) at 15:43 UTC, it was Dawn at this time on 161.420’W – 53.840’N Unimak Seamount, Aleutian Islands. When the 7.5 New Guinea event occurred on 25th Feb at 17:44:44 UTC, it was Sunrise on this same location. At 01:25 UTC on 28th, the rising lunar terminator will also be located on this location !!
At 17:43:10 UTC on 5th March, the moon will be on longitude 142.740’E, the 7.5 New Guinea epicentre is located on longitude 142.790’E. The sun will be on longitude 82.933’W Off the Coast of Ecuador, this is the exact same longitude it occupied during the 7.5 New Guinea event 25/2… the rising lunar terminator will be located on 55.750’E – 27.570’N Fin, Northwest of Bandar Abbas, Southern Iran !! (2 minutes later, it will be Solar Noon on the 7.6 North of Honduras epicentre 10/1)
These are my interpretations of possible trigger scenario’s, the only space data I have used is the B 3.3 flux event, the rest is just post seismic combination. The math suggests something awaits in Southern Iran, the space data does not. It is a little mental exercise for me to compile this kind of material… it will be interesting to see if there is an actual result!
I could not accommodate Anza or Pasadena, CA in this equation… so I’m afraid they will have to sit this one out 🙂
Score: 0115 ptslesterFebruary 27, 2018 at 7:06 pm #4010Chris… one of your old haunts has resurfaced again 🙂 5.9 West of Macquarie Island 17:29:23 UTC. This “time” is included in the equation above !, the difference is the moon was on the same longitude as the 6.1 Hindu Kush event 31/1… the lunar terminator does not locate to any points on the model.
I have found another potential location on 87.450’E – 28.650’N, this is close to the Southern Xizang / Nepal border (a close opposite to Guatemala!). I have spent the last 2 hours working this spot… the 5.9 Macquarie Island event has just confirmed it is a good track.
If you get any free time this week, let me know if you see anything here ?
Score: 011 ptsCounselorFebruary 28, 2018 at 3:27 pm #4013Hi Lester,
I hope to be able to take a look this evening my time. Before that quake in Macquarie, I had a few flux spots there and in Hindu/Kush region. Didn’t have too much for Nepal. The last bit of mag data I had showed mid NZ in the passage to north island on up. I haven’t had the time in the last couple of days though. Not sure where things are shifting or repeating.
Score: 011 ptsCounselorMarch 2, 2018 at 2:36 pm #4020Hey Lester,
Didn’t get too much time to really get anything new. That is why I didn’t end up coming back that night. Had many spots that confirmed some areas we have been discussing. I finally tracked a line that included the Nepal area around 1200-1230 UTC March 1st, but it wasn’t much of a flux/relaxation point that appeared as strong as others I tried to track when I could.
I saw your Chile post, nice catch. I had been inclined to post one for Chile with something I saw. You have been quick to post a few new areas too! 🙂 March 4th is coming. I know you have been working on this date for some time with a few areas in mind.
Been having a rough two weeks of lucid dreaming that has been leaving me feeling spent and headachey. I may limit my work again this weekend…maybe 🙂
Score: 0115 ptslesterMarch 2, 2018 at 9:24 pm #4021Hey Chris,
Yes! I posted a couple of new forecasts, but they were kind of a rush job. The bad weather hit us yesterday (beast from the East!) and I was concerned about losing my power again. The UK is in complete chaos at the moment, and my own village has been completely cut off by heavy snow… good thing I stocked up with Scotch broth 🙂
I was not finished with working Italy, but the combo does show some impressive contacts. Re-posted Honshu, but this appears to have been Hokkaido. American Samoa is the interesting one here, I used my 17:30 UTC equation for Southern Iran from my previous post and combined it with the MAG data feed terminating at 15:20 UTC 27th Feb… input this time in the moon map, and you will see what I mean!. What is more interesting is that all the data feeds terminated today at 17:26 UTC… it was Sunrise on American Samoa !!
Sorry to here of your sleeping issues, perhaps you should try a couple of “hot toddies” like I mentioned before… it wouldn’t help with headaches but you might have better dreams 🙂
BTW – At 17:26 UTC is was also Solar Noon in Quevedo, Ecuador !
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