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115 ptslesterApril 6, 2018 at 4:32 pm #4264
OH! Chris… I reworked my data for Gallieni Fracture Zone, Isla Grande de Chiloe and Quigley Canyon, I discovered I was 4 minutes out with my calculations. I had “not” taken into account a re-fractal difference of the moons position due to atmospheric effects.
This being the case, I reviewed the ACE data break times, compensated for re-fractal difference, included the 5.5 P.N.G. 07:47 UTC event (check this in the moon map !) and reviewed stored data from my Parkfield forecast from weeks ago, included the data you just post… and they all land on 120.660’W – 35.920’N Deer Canyon, Parkfield. The current Perry, Oklahoma events have an exact parallel T connection with this location !!!
Hope you don’t mind the forecast and name change… I thought new names, new chance 🙂
I’ll post all the specs to you later…
Score: 011 pts115 ptslesterApril 6, 2018 at 6:33 pm #4266The rising / setting sun has a ,minimal re-fractal influence of 1 hour 10 minutes in equatorial lattitudes… in other words, true energy is influencing the morning / evening sky 1 hour 10 minutes before and after the sun has risen or set. Equatorial latitudes is an example, this time varies per latitude during the year as the sun is either heading North or South. The moon on the other hand influences its horizon position at a minimal 4 minutes because unlike the sun, it is radiating reflected energy! The timing of solar / lunar convergence is dependent on the moons lateral position, and distance from influenced location. If the sun is low in the sky, it creates a long shadow, if it is high, it is a short shadow. Same goes for the moon, but we don’t see moon shadow in the same context, but if you do the math to include it in the equation… it works !
Hope you can excuse my bad manners earlier, I have been eager to get Parkfield for years and your data kinda put the icing on the cake to what I was working on… I meant to first compliment you on a fine image analysis display!. I do not completely understand it,but I can see how an influence is increasing in Northern New Zealand. The important thing is, that we should combine this with our other ongoing methods to see if we can better determine a workable time frame for occurrence. As part of our project in Bay of Plenty, I had already determined a Dawn / Moonrise convergence on 177.565’E – 36.900’S White Island Canyon, Bay of Plenty. This occurs on 14th April at 17:10 UTC, however, if we are to take into account a 4 minute influence before Moonrise, this changes the time and position to 17:06 UTC on 178.580’E – 37.040’S 27 km’s NNE of Matakoa Valley. This location is 90 km’s East of White Island Canyon, so it wouldn’t make a big difference with a 250 km margin. Your data and this calculation suggests we should post a forecast no later than 13th April, we don’t want the Doc and Marty pre 24 hour effect catching us out 🙂 . You should check these times out in the solar and lunar maps to see the convergence… pay particular attention to the moons longitude co-ordinates at 17:10 UTC !!
Sorry to hear you are having acceleration problems “Marty”, I ordered a new flux capacitor from eBay for you… they had some at Amazon, but these had special coating applied to them to protect them against “lightning” strikes 🙂
Score: 0115 pts115 pts11 pts115 pts11 pts115 pts115 ptslesterApril 7, 2018 at 11:30 am #4275M 6.3 New Guinea, P.N.G. 05:48:38 UTC
The T sequence shows it was Sunset here at 08:33 UTC today, also at this time it was Moonrise on 120.660’W – 35.920’N Deer Canyon, Parkfield, California !… I am using “Sky Rose Ranch, Deer Canyon Road as the source point.
The math is also connecting to 120.520’W – 37.630’N La Grange, Waterford… this location is 30 km’s Southeast of Oakdale, and 190 km’s North of Parkfield. Options… either my math is off, or there is a possible second target !
More later…
Score: 0115 pts11 pts11 ptsCounselorApril 7, 2018 at 2:51 pm #4278New stuff:
T&D based on mag fluxing-
https://photos.app.goo.gl/9KDitf2u3VapsC5D3
TEC images:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/leBN4jOCiVoGWCfI3
Particulates Vs OLR Vs Wind/clouds:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/GgM7tr9PjZe4TFg93
Note that some images say yesterday on the link connected to OLR. When the 4/6/18 pic comes out, I am hopeful that OLR will show itself more concentrated in the areas with wind and particulates as well as lows. I am trying to find a way to “live track OLR”, if this correlate well enough, since OLR anomalies are strongly tied into Ben’s model.
Our areas still look like good candidates for the moment. If we follow the red and Blue changes in TEC, note the changes in magnetic flux points on T&D maps as well, most of those areas with strong potential will have strong winds, clouds, stronger OLR anomaly, and particulates, lining up with fault lines.
Your method ends up landing you likely areas Lester! So, you have been on the right track too my friend.
Look at Northern California! Japan!
Of course some spontaneous ones may show in the high pressure zones. I am eyeing Mona passage again, Bolivia seems to looking to repeat, PNG of course! 🙂
I will come back again later today I hope! I wanted to put this up for us now because I have a busy weekend and won’t be able to do too much.
Later you old wolf in goats clothing! If we manage to get one of our joint forecasts, then I will need to find a brand of sherry to celebrate!
Any recommendations! 🙂
Score: 011 pts11 pts115 ptslesterApril 7, 2018 at 9:13 pm #4284Ugh! I am trying to forget my last experience drinking sherry 🙁 if we find reason to celebrate, I would rather do it with “your” favourite brand of Californian coffee 🙂
Chris… I think I have found a pre-seismic location in Ecuador… I can also see it in your posted Flux phys images !!
At 11:28 UTC, my machine recorded a significant aspect change… at 11:30 UTC, a significant Phi contact occurred in the ACE MAG data ( you have a T&D image for 11:26 UTC)… I decided to go with the “Phi” time.
I we move forward to 05:26 UTC tomorrow (8th), the geocentric position of the moon will be 10.716’E – 20.150’S at 248 km’s of the coast of Namibia, Africa. Sunrise on these co-ordinates on this day occurs at 05:26 UTC… so in effect, the moon will be geocentric on the Sunrise threshold. The geocentric position of the sun at this time will be 98.983’E – 7.183’N on Ko Rok Noi Island off the coast of West Malaysia. If we include the 4 minute post Moonset equation,then Moon set occurs here at 05:26 UTC… so in effect, the sun will be geocentric on the setting lunar terminator.
At 11:30 UTC today, it was Sunset on 98.983’E – 2.010’N Tarutung, North Sumatra, if we go “back to the future”, you will see at 05:26 UTC 8th April the sun was on longitude 98.983’E, therefore Solar Noon in Sumatra… a Sunset / Solar Noon combo !
Also at 11:30 today, it was Sunrise on 81.990’W – 5.310’S at 100 km’s West of Islilla, off the coast of Ecuador, again if we go “back to the future”, and include the pre Moonrise equation, you will see at 05:26 UTC the rising lunar terminator is located on 81.990’W – 5.310’S… a Sunrise / Moonrise combo !
Are you still with me so far ? 🙂
The combo suggests either Sumatra or Ecuador as a potential event… but your data favours Ecuador. Flux Phys images for 16:17 am and 16:18 am show a signal drop at approx 17:30 UTC, Solar Noon on the Ecuadorian co-ordinates occurs today at 17:31 UTC. Flux Phys image for 9:12 pm shows terminated signal traces at 11:00 UTC 7th April… the moon was on longitude 81.733’W at this time !!
If my moon calculation is incorrect, there will be a 1 degree (111 km) difference to these co-ordinates. I am going to post a D & M forecast for Ecuador… and we should keep an eye on Sumatra for any future contacts !.
If memory serves me right, I recall “Marty” had a big problem with profuse amounts of body hair when he was a “teen”ager 🙂
btw – also at 05:26 UTC 8th April, it is Moonset on 115.023’E – 34.222’S Hamalin Bay, South of Perth, Western Australia… still a chance to find a reason for Moby’s demise !!
Thanks for the inclusion in Mono Passage… and does your data show anything for Aleutian Islands ??
Score: 0115 ptslesterApril 8, 2018 at 12:11 am #4287Four significant contacts have occurred in the MAG data at 19:00 UTC… 20:12 UTC…22:04 UTC… 22:26 UTC
19:00 UTC and 20:12 UTC correspond to Dawn / Sunrise on 144.750’E – 15.790’N 100 km’s Northwest of Saipan, Northern Mariana Islands… the moon was also on longitude 144.750’E at 20:12 UTC !!
19:00 UTC and 22:04 UTC correspond to Moonset / Sunset on 69.850’W – 59.510’S Drake Passage
I have not been able to determine a combo for 22:26 UTC at this time, but it was a “serious” contact. The map shows it was Sunset along most of the Chile-Argentinian border, Dawn in the Andaman & Nicobar region, Sunrise on Bali, Indonesia and Dawn / Sunrise in East and West China.
The Mariana’s show great potential… Doc is going to bed now, so if “Marty” finds anything worthy of Doc’s attention, he is welcome to post a forecast accordingly… so that Doc may find “Marty’s” forecast in the future 🙂
Score: 0115 ptslesterApril 8, 2018 at 9:01 am #4290Chris… this is a lonely interest we are following, and it seems a lot of work for very little reward. When a few good words come your way, you sometimes get a little punch drunk and respond OTT as I think I may have done.
A 5.2 occurred offshore Guatemala at 05:08 UTC… time to get serious again !
Enjoy the rest of your weekend 🙂
Score: 0115 ptslesterApril 8, 2018 at 10:44 am #4291At 05:08 UTC today, it was Moonrise in Mona Passage and Moonset on Jakarta !
An aspect change has occurred in the MAG data at 09:47 UTC, it was Dawn on 73.035’W – 35.165’S Off the Coast of Constitucion, Maule, Chile… Dusk on 144.750’E – 15.790’N Northern Mariana Islands… and Sunset on Okinawa Island, Ryukyu Islands !
Score: 011 ptsCounselorApril 8, 2018 at 1:20 pm #4292Do you have anything for Haiti? Or south west Peru?
If the that major point of 2226 from yesterday’s data is connected the mag flux around that time, If I were to look at relaxation points, it puts me in that general area.
The relaxation period was 7April2018 at 2300 -2310 your 2226 corresponds to a peak!
https://photos.app.goo.gl/CL3E7EJIyZ9kMxjU2
Score: 011 ptsCounselorApril 8, 2018 at 3:25 pm #4293and yes I get OTT as well… getting that way for me leads to headaches/migraines… pushing through this time :-)… so far so good. Just plain old tension headaches.
Recent TEC and particulates:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/XdAG3xWOfYCJWaBS2
Recent fluxing:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/xvfpiDSlOKEwb2Pe2
Perhaps Japan, Marianas, Philippines, Tobelo (Indonesia), south end of Kamchatka!
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11 pts11 ptsCounselorApril 8, 2018 at 5:03 pm #4296Wow! Sea of Japan side! Another miss, not as close, but on the side we were forecasting. 🙂
Aside from the mag data that got me there with you, check this out!
https://photos.app.goo.gl/u9xV3rmMaG6PVAKH3
Score: 0115 ptslesterApril 8, 2018 at 8:27 pm #4297I reviewed my own recorded data, the signal calculates as 11:26 UTC 7/4 (this fits with your data)… however the 11:30 UTC ACE contact is “still” Viable at a different location.
Yesterdays contact times of 11:26 UTC – 19:00 UTC – 22:04 UTC correspond to Sunrise / Moonrise / sunset on 70.640’W – 59.020’S Sars Bank, Drake Passage respectively. Also at 22:04 UTC,it was Sunset on the 5.6 Santiago Del Estero, Argentina epicentre 25/3… and Sunset on the 6.8 Bolivia epicentre 2/4.
At 22:26 UTC 7th April, the moon was located on longitude 112.333’E, the opposite longitude to this calculates as 67.667’W. Determining a specific location with T sequence data,I narrowed this down to 67.667’W – 18.640’N Mona Canyon, Mona Passage. Moonrise occurred here on the 7th at 04:20 UTC, the longitude of the sun at this time was 115.556’E. When I cross referenced this longitude with the contact times, I came up with; 11:30 UTC – 22:26 UTC corresponds to Dusk / Sunrise on 115.556’E – 10.990’S Lombok Basin, South of Bali Indonesia.
Further to this, Moonset on Mona Canyon on the 7th occurred at 15:44 UTC, also at this time it was “Moonrise” on 115.556’E – 10.990’S Lombok Basin !!
I have formulated a kind of combo / convergence scenario… if a result is forthcoming with this selection, it will give further reason to post for Bay of Plenty on the 13th 🙂
9/4 13:53 UTC – Dawn / Moonrise on 162.890’W – 53.810’N Unimak Seamount, Aleutian Islands
On 7th April at 05:48:41 UTC, a 6.3 occurred in New Guinea P.N.G. … Moonrise occurred here on this day at 14:00 UTC,it was also Dawn on Unimak Seamount on the stated co-ordinates at this time !!
9/4 16:13 UTC – Dawn / Moonrise on 162.330’E – 53.400’N Kamchatka Terrace
9/4 16:23 UTC – Dawn / Moonrise on 159.950’E – 53.300’N East Coast of Kamchatka
9/4 16:40 UTC – Dawn / Moonrise on 155.980’E – 35.680’N West Coast of Kamchatka
10/4 05:13 UTC – Dawn / Moonrise on 30.030’W – 51.520’N Hecate Seamount, Northern Mid-Atlantic Ridge
10/4 05:44 UTC – Dawn / Moonrise on 16.100’W – 66.090’N at 30 km’s Southeast of Kopaster, Iceland
Also at 05:44 UTC… Moonrise on 73.035’W – 35.165’S Constitucion, Maule, Chile… Sunset on 5.8 Ndoi Island, Fiji epicentre 5/4… Sunset on 162.890’W – 53.810’N Unimak Seamount, Aleutian Islands !!
10/4 17:01 UTC – Dawn / Moonrise on 155.485’E – 49.750’N Kamchatka PeninsulaThe selection is basically the same as last time, usual suspects and fault lines… on 9th – 10th April, convergence only occurs at high Northern latitudes, convergence in the Southern Hemisphere is restricted to the Antarctic continent.
At 16:32:31 UTC today, a 5.6 occurred in Oda, Japan, the sun was located on longitude 67.666’W at this time = Solar Noon on Mona Canyon !!
The D & M preliminary list now consists of Northern Mariana Islands, Drake Passage and Lombok Basin.
Chris… Just caught your post before I submitted, Particulate data in your images does seem to show influence very close to occurrence… a promising tool indeed. If the math is starting to land on Bali and Lombok Basin, there has to be a Java / Indonesia connection coming our way, Jakarta was hit with the lunar terminator earlier today… so it must be our turn soon ?
Not had a chance to look at Haiti and Peru yet… but it is on my to do list !
Note the Tromso magnetometer Data at 19:46 UTC… it is Moonset on the Drake Passage co-ordinates. I think this is enough to convince me the combo is viable, there were two 6+ events in this region last year.
Do you want to go for a ride to the bottom of the world ? 🙂
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