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115 ptslesterJuly 8, 2017 at 8:26 pm #1960
HookEcho, As we both have our sights on Japan today (July 8), I have sourced some information that might be useful in some way or form. I checked all 5+ events from July 1, to see if a correlation existed with my forecast “Off Coast of Wakayama, Japan, 136.100’E – 33.540’N”, and I found the following…
2017-07-03 11:18:20 UTC, M 5.0 Fry of Macedonia … 20.96’E – 40.15’N
Sunset on stated Co-ordinates 18:12 UTC July 6 – Dawn on co-ordinates 136.100’E – 33.540’N, 18:12 UTC July 62017-07-04 00:37:17 UTC, M 5.4 Solomon Islands … 162.99’E – 11.32’S
Dawn on stated co-ordinates 18:14 UTC July 10 – Dawn on co-ordinates 136.100’E – 33.540’N, 18:14 UTC July 102017-07-05 23:29:40 UTC, M 5.1 Tonga Region … 174.13’W – 20.97’S
Sunrise on stated co-ordinates 18:14 UTC July 10 – Dawn on co-ordinates 136.100’E – 33.540’N 18:14 UTC July 102017-07-06 06:30:16 UTC, M 5.8 Western Montana … 112.42’W – 46.98’N
Sunrise on stated co-ordinates 11:50 UTC July 10 – Dusk on co-ordinates 136.100’E – 33.540’N 11:50 UTC July 102017-07-06 08:03:58 UTC, M 6.5 Layte, Philippines … 124.80’E – 11.11’N
Sunset on stated co-ordinates 10:10 UTC July 10 – Sunset on co-ordinates 136.100’E – 33.540’N 10:10 UTC July 102017-07-07 03:04:47 UTC, M 5.1 Offshore Valparaiso, Chile … 72.21’W – 33.66’S
Sunrise on stated co-ordinates 11:53 UTC July 4 – Dusk on co-ordinates 136.100’E – 33.540’N 11:53 UTC July 42017-07-07 08:43:30 UTC, M 5.2 Balleney Islands Region … 154.34’E – 61.35’S
Dawn on stated co-ordinates 19:58 UTC July 10 – Sunrise on co-ordinates 136.100’E – 33.540’N 19:58 UTC July 10If your full moon / Japan statistics, and my calculations are correct, this could indicate a larger than average event on approx 136’E, on or within 48 hours of the 10th. To date, there have been 22 5+ events, 136.100’E – 33.540’N is the only one that was able to exceed three differential links with. I also found the following which may be of some interest…
2017-06-24 02:37:18 UTC, M 5.6 Mozambique, Africa … 34.53’E – 19.95’S
Dawn on stated co-ordinates 02:58 UTC June 24 – Solar Noon on co-ordinates 136.100’E – 33.540’N 02:58 UTC June 24 !!This might amount to nothing, but the old folks trip was cancelled today, so I had some time to kill.
Amazing what you can find with a plasma globe and two fingers 🙂
Score: 037 ptsHookEchoJuly 9, 2017 at 3:21 am #1965Lester,
Thank you for the additional info in regards to Japan.
“this could indicate a larger than average event on approx 136’E, on or within 48 hours of the 10th.” You may be corrrect. In addition to the Full Moon, The Phi angle reversed from a negative into a positive sector between 05:50-14:30 UTC. where it remained in the negative. Along with the weakened magnetosphere, there should be plenty of additional thermal neutrons. Now I see an additional deep seismic shock for the region that has occurred:
M4.4 – 288km NNW of Chichi-shima, Japan 2017-07-08 20:21:56 UTC at a depth of 101.6 kmThe sad part is we no longer have access to accurate thermal neutron public data to cross check, they took that away from us a few years ago after we started following and publicly posting the correlation between local ground station readings with seismic activity. This was before I knew aabout SSBC’s association. When I asked why they were removing the spikes, the reply I received was the spikes in thermal neutrons right before the larger events were “errors” and that some of the stations “getting old” and now they are no longer displayed, and if any do happen to slip by and appear they are promptly removed. Yeah, sure. This example is just one of many instances that certainly leaves an impression they do simply not want was predicting earthquakes. Almost every time we would find useful data and start posting, it disappears. And not just us..back in the day, there is a man named Stan Deyo who used to accurately identify future epicenters utilizing a Navy weather satellite system [cannot recall the name] when that data was pulled from the public domain. It doesn’t make much sense, and happens way too often to be a coincidence.
I had made a few recent successful predictions for the Japan region. There was a deep seismic shock M4.7 – 4km S of Toba, Japan 2016-11-11 04:53:37 UTC at a depth of 348.2 km.. It was followed by a shallower, higher event M6.2 – 24km ENE of Ishinomaki, Japan 2016-11-11 21:42:59 UTC at a depth of 44.8 km. These events occurred within the 5 day period leading up to the Full Moon. which took place November 14 13:52 UTCNext, a deep seismic shock occurred again in the 4 magnitude range M4.5 – 207km W of Chichi-shima, Japan 2016-11-20 23:05:03 UTC at a depth of 452.8 km., It was followed by a shallower,higher magnitude event M7.3 – 61km ESE of Namie, Japan 2016-11-21 20:59:46 UTC at a depth of 10.0 km.
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HookEcho.
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37 ptsHookEchoJuly 9, 2017 at 8:17 am #1969Counselorgimber,
“Was it an occurrence that included the thermal nuetrons, as well as the factors used on quakewatch, as the last precursor to a quake of those higher magnitudes?” I have no idea. But what I can tell you is that most higher magnitude earthquakes effect the ionosphere.“For Hook, I forgot to ask about the F2 critical frequency chart on spaceweathernews. Do those measurements in anyway correspond to what you had posted about?” Yes. Well sort of. The main difference is the ionograms from the independent stations are better suited for identifying ionospheric anomalies. The global maps generate an automated interpretation of ionograms from around the world, so are basically worthless for earthquake forecasting purposes, as any potential earthquake related anomalies that may occur above or near an epicenter only affect the immediate and nearby area[s] of the ionosphere.
But I can explain to you what I used to do. When a high magnitude earthquake wold occur I would make note on the global maps if the event happened under an area with high TEC [total electron content]. Many times it does, and other times no. I will share an image of the main equatorial plasma bands: https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B83EkoitOiKQd1lVUVRUZEtCREk/view?usp=sharing
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Notice how some of the regions that the larger seismic events occur often are either located below or nearby the plasma bands. I will come back and finish up this post, I am nodding off, lol. Basically attempting to use the global ionosphere maps as a reliable factor for earthquake prediction is not a top choice, but are helpful imo in creating an overall understanding of what processes are occurring during a high magnitude event, which can add to your knowledge and prove useful down the road.115 ptslesterJuly 9, 2017 at 2:43 pm #1974HookEcho, They are suppressing data because they don’t want logistical control of seismic events in the public domain. If you or I made a judgement call that the people of Japan should be put on alert for the next 48 hours… who would listen ? we are not in authority. If our forecasts were reliable, everyone would listen,and they would “lose” authority… and look foolish.
One from this morning…
2017-07-09 05:57:03 UTC, M 5.6 South Sandwich Islands … 27.70’W – 56.15’S
Dusk on stated co-ordinates 19:55 UTC July 11 – Sunrise on co-ordinates 136.100’E – 33.540’N, 19:55 UTC July 11There is a 5 kilometre difference between them both being 19:54 UTC on the 10th, but I am keeping to accurate data!. This event occurred 14 kilometres NW of the 5.3 on June 20, time difference on this date between this location and 136.100’E – 33.540’N was 9 minutes.
We don’t always see eye to eye, but my confidence rating changed from 75 to 90% when you posted your Japan alert… we can’t both be wrong 🙂
Score: 037 ptsHookEchoJuly 10, 2017 at 2:52 pm #1978Lester,
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Not seeing eye to eye at times I personally believes presents a door leading to the potential to progress. It generates drive and motivation.
At least it does for me anyway. Yet another deep EQ in Japan: M4.6 – Bonin Islands, Japan region 2017-07-09 20:09:39 UTC at a depth of 421.5 km. I need to extend my forecast a few days115 ptslesterJuly 10, 2017 at 11:42 pm #1985HookEcho,
Your words are appreciable, one of our differences appears to have raised it’s head again though… so I hope you still feel the same way after this…2017-07-10 15:37:30 UTC, M 5.6 Southeast of Easter Island … 100.65’W – 36.12’S (Lester:June 18 2017, 8:58 pm)
I referred to this as “West Chile Rise” during our conversation on page 2 of this thread. Unfortunately, I missed a hit by 2.5 days, but this is the region I targeted with the satellite feed disruptions. The event occurred 74 kilometres west of my forecast, it would be in the ext reams of coincidental that the accuracy of said event (considering how it was determined !) would coincide with shift changes, or hand overs. They discovered the South American Anomaly due to equipment disruption on the Hubble space telescope… ACE is going one better and finding earthquakes! If you believe they are capable of doctoring “thermal neutron data”, then shift change would be a plausible excuse on this occasion !!
Fortunately, we can still test this further… another 12 of the times I have logged relate to sunrise on co-ordinates 96.460’E – 4.730’N Aceh, North Sumatra (Lester: July 2 2017, 12:06 am). My forecast records here will show that I have been tracking this location since May 22… the satellite breaks started May 25. The satellite disruption coincides with data I was working on 2 weeks prior to posting my forecast !
It would be nice to drop a line to those boy’s at SWPC, and tell them how helpful we are being… don’t you think 🙂
Score: 0115 pts11 ptsCounselorJuly 11, 2017 at 6:51 am #1994Hook, Thanks for the map. I tried looking at couple of areas for a recent forecast I made and have noticed the plasma bands are nearby. This will definitely help me focus a bit more for future forecasts. What are the dotted lines? Are those areas where the plasma bands can migrate/shift at times? Or, if they don’t really shift, are those dotted lines a measurement of electical/magnetic influence? Do they also share the same diurnal movement like the telluric currents?
This next bit is my theorizing after those ionospheric anomaly images you shared:
Your other images connected to the ionospheric anomalies had me looking at F2 frequency map thinking about resonance. I was reading that telluric currents oscillate at very low frequencies ( as low as 3 MHz, but even around ranges that powergrids will operate around 50 – 60 MHz). Those high amperage static discharge measurements of 100,000 AMPS for M6, to 1 million for M7, make sense to me if we are looking at this rock to air interface as something similar to a tesla coil. Earth, and the energy that is generated in the mantle, has the crust acting a high resistance interface. The crust has areas of exposed rock formations that used to be part of the mantle (ophiolite/peridotite) which could, when exposed to electric currents, or shifting magnetic fields, begin to build up a static charge. The energy is transferred as the frequency of these interfaces begin to resonate at or around the same frequency. The quakes would be the kinetic response to the charges being nuetralized/as they are neutralizing. This would still occur under the earths oceans in the same manner because of the very low frequencies being able to pass through water.
Am I making any sense? I have just started keeping track of some quakes that were misses for me. The quake in the Phillipines near Masarayao, when looking at a few maps that i tried finding through google (some from articles about mining for diamonds so not necessarily earthquake related) ocurred fairly close to a spot of exposed ophiolite. I am trying to look into this for other regions, like California, because many of the past large earthquakes along the San Andreas fault, or in the Sierra Nevada range, seem to occur in areas of exposed ophiolite. I am trying to compile a map of my own to test this idea out, but that is where my theorizing with you, and Lester, has left me.
Not sure if this bit of information has already been looked at by anybody else, including yourself, but let me know if this sounds plausible.
Score: 037 ptsHookEchoJuly 11, 2017 at 11:16 am #1995Lester,
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Yes, this is quite an interesting correlation you have latched onto. Note, I never stated you were wrong about ACE, I was just offering a possible explanation. It appears it may be time for them to completely remove ACE data from the public domain:-)115 ptslesterJuly 11, 2017 at 2:43 pm #2008HookEcho,
I have used ACE many times in this way, and many times I have achieved a positive result. They are going to pull the plug on a major piece of seismic kit as far as I am concerned… they might realise this in ten years hence, but it will be too late by then !At the start of this thread, I covered a few correlations related to 138′ 34′ E – 6′ 30′ S Taroea Anim, Western P.N.G. I found a couple more related to our current forecast and today’s events…
2017-07-11 07:00:11 UTC, M 6.6 Auckland Islands, NZ … 164.50’E – 49.12’S
Positional longitude of the sun at this time was 76′ 21′ ESunrise on co-ordinates 138′ 34′ E – 6′ 30′ S ( P.N.G. ) 21:00 UTC July 11
Sunrise on co-ordinates 164.50’E – 49.12’S ( Auckland ) 21:00 UTC July 112017-03-02 Dusk on co-ordinates 136.100’E – 33.540’N ( Japan ) 10:17 UTC
Dusk on co-ordinates 138′ 34′ E – 6′ 30′ S ( P.N.G. ) 10:17 UTC
Positional longitude of the moon at this time was 76′ 19′ EMarch 2 is the only day of correlation between the Japan and P.N.G. locations. I don’t think this info is of credible use… I just found it interesting that the sun and moon practically occupy the same longitude !
Nice work Counselor… there are some interesting displays on YouTube related to electrical conductivity in salt water, one I like in particular is titled “Electrical Experiments – Roobert33″. It may not be of use to you, but if you theorise about EM or piezoelectric conductive properties, the oceans have no boundary’s for transmission.
Unrelated – Whilst browsing YouTube, I came across a NOAA animation entitled ” Earthquakes of the First 15 Years of the 21st Century”. It shows all earthquakes between January 1 2000 – December 31 2015, within a 2 minute window… it’s like watching the Earth fall apart !!
Apologies for the cardinal differences in the data, I’m using an old program I acquired in the 90’s, it doesn’t have a converter… and I could not find my calculator 🙂
Score: 037 ptsHookEchoJuly 13, 2017 at 8:13 am #2033Counselorgimber,
“sounds plausible.” Yes 🙂I cannot recall, but I believe you had asked about access to ionograms? http://giro.uml.edu/
Here is the thing, half of them do not get updated, others stopped data recording years ago. There are a handful that are up to date. Just remember the ionospheres F2 layer naturally changes height and is variable throughout the day, and anomalies can occur for a variety of reasons. It is a pain in the arse imo, but maybe you have more patience than I.Oh, the image of the plasma bands. Below the plasma bands, a layer of the ionosphere called the E-layer becomes partially electrified during the day. High-altitude winds blow electrically charged plasma in the E-layer across Earth’s magnetic field, creating an electric field.
This electric field shapes the plasma above the E-layer into two bands. Therefore, anything that changes the motion of the E-layer plasma also affects the electric fields it generates; this in turn reshapes the plasma bands.
There are four pairs of bright spots in the bands where the plasma was thicker than average. One of the pairs was located above the Pacific Ocean, but three of them were situated above the Amazon Basin in South America, the Congo Basin in Africa and Indonesia—areas with lots of thunderstorm activities.
Score: 017 pts37 ptsHookEchoJuly 13, 2017 at 5:03 pm #2037This?? https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B83EkoitOiKQY2Z3LXVVRktkT1k/view?usp=sharing
Prolly not…Ben sent that to me when we were playing with the Solar Polar Fields etch-a-sketch pad.
Randomness:
EQZ http://early-est.rm.ingv.it/warning.html
Schumann resonances: http://sosrff.tsu.ru/?page_id=7
Trimble: http://www.trimble.com/Positioning-Services/Ionosphere-Scintillation-map.aspx
South America ‘stuff’
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Low latitude TEC plots: http://lisn.igp.gob.pe/stations/realtime.php115 ptslesterJuly 13, 2017 at 9:01 pm #2038A few correlations from the 8th >>>
2017-07-08 15:10:14 UTC, M 5.1 Tonga … 173.39’W – 20.24’S
Sunrise on stated co-ordinates 18:11 UTC – Dawn on 136.100’E – 33.540’N Japan … 18:11 UTC July 82017-07-09 05:57:03 UTC, M 5.5 South Sandwich Islands … 27.54’W – 56.15’S
Dawn on stated Co-ordinates 19:55 UTC – Sunrise on 136.100’E – 33.540’N Japan … 19:55 UTC July 92017-07-10 01:41:49 UTC, M 5.9 Leyte, Philippines … 124.84’E – 11.01’N
Sunset on stated co-ordinates 10:06 UTC – Sunset on 136.100’E – 33.540’N Japan … 10:06 UTC July 102017-07-11 12:09:17 UTC, M 5.3 Near Coast of Ecuador … 79.67’W – 0.27’N
Dawn on stated co-ordinates 10:06 UTC – Sunset on 136.100’E – 33.540’N Japan … 10:06 UTC July 112017-07-12 19:48:07 UTC, M 5.9 Sea of Japan … 131.62’E – 40.88’N
Sunrise on stated co-ordinates 19:56 UTC – Sunrise on 136.100’E – 33.540’N Japan … 19:56 UTC July 122017-07-13 03:36:08 UTC, M 6.4 New Ireland Region, P.N.G. … 153.20’E – 4.79’S
Sunrise on stated co-ordinates 19:57 UTC – Sunrise on 136.100’E – 33.450’N Japan … 19:57 UTC July 132017-07-13 14:30:33 UTC, M 5.1 Vinchina, Argentina … 69.11’W – 28.88’S
Dawn on stated co-ordinates 10:06 UTC – Sunset on 136.100’E – 33.540’N Japan … 10:06 UTC July 13It has changed from being future correlations, to real-time present day correlations, and the rate is currently one a day !
Here’s something different… match the times !
2017-07-11 13:35:56 UTC, M 5.0 Sakhalin, Russia … 142.97’E – 46.21’N
Dawn 16:14 UTC … Dusk 12:54 UTC … Sunrise 18:51 UTC … Sunset 10:22 UTC2017-07-09 M 5.5 South Sandwich Islands … Sunrise 10:22 UTC July 6 – 12
2017-07-11 M 5.2 Kyushu, Japan ………… Sunset 10:22 UTC July 10 – 19
2017-07-10 M 5.2 Ascension Island Region .. Sunset 18:51 UTC July 5 – 20
2017-07-12 M 5.8 Sea of Japan …………… Dawn 18:51 UTC July 11 (only)
2017-07-11 M 5.6 Northern Sumatra ……….. Dusk 12:54 UTC July 9 – 152017-07-12 09:08:18 UTC, M 5.5 Offshore Maule, Chile … 73.14’W – 35.42’S
Dawn 10:31 UTC … Dusk 23:27 UTC … Sunrise 12:02 UTC … Sunset 21:54 UTC2017-07-11 M 5.3 Near Coast of Ecuador ….. Sunset 23:27 UTC June 26 – July 22
2017-07-11 M 5.2 Kyushu, Japan …………… Dusk 12:02 UTC July 11 – 12
2017-07-13 M 5.1 Vinchina, Argentina ……. Sunset 21:54 UTC July 8 – 152017-07-10 21:37:53 UTC, M 5.2 Ascension Island Region … 13.51’W – 7.46’S
Dawn 05:55 UTC … Dusk 20:07 UTC … Sunrise 07:09 UTC … Sunset 18:51 UTC2017-07-08 M 5.6 South of Loyalty Islands .. Sunset 05:55 UTC June 30 – July 10
2017-07-10 M 5.9 Leyte, Philippines ………. Dawn 20:07 UTC July 8 – 10
2017-07-11 M 5.0 Sakhalin, Russia ………. Sunset 18:51 UTC July 10 – 14Small example… Weather it is from above or below, there is an answer here somewhere !!
I IZ BoRed tOO… BoRed of waiting for this quake to go off 🙂
Score: 0115 pts37 ptsHookEchoJuly 13, 2017 at 10:05 pm #2041Counselorgimber,
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Did yo happen to notice the most recent M6.4 – 38km SSE of Taron, Papua New Guinea 2017-07-13 03:36:09 UTC epicenter is located beneath one of the equatorial plasma bands and when ionospheric TEC was at its peak for the region? Pretty cool to have an example shortly after our posts to reference.37 ptsHookEchoJuly 13, 2017 at 10:36 pm #2042Lester,
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Which quake are you awaiting? The significant that is going to occur in Burma? Hehe..that would be something. I have the region on my latest forecast. A deep seismic shock occurred after I had posted M4.8 – 16km SE of Mawlaik, Burma 2017-07-13 05:03:31 UTC at a depth of 89.7 km.. Well, not terribly deep but last year M5.0 – 40km NE of Mawlaik, Burma 2016-08-23 02:11:12 UTC at a depth of 101.7 km occurred the day before the M6.8 Burma hit. Alot of similarities as far as recent EQ’s and such. That deep energy swinging around the bend through Indo/Sumatra region just like last year.115 ptslesterJuly 14, 2017 at 12:44 am #2044HookEcho,
I have my eye on Burma, and I agree that something is there, but my bag of tricks is not showing me anything worth committing to yet !. I’m not sure of our time difference, but if you happen to check the Ace EPAM Electrons monitor, it show an increase in low energy electrons at 22:15 UTC. It is Dawn on 96.460’E – 4.730’N Aceh, North Sumatra at 22:15 UTC (Lester: July 2, 12:06 am). The same feed stops at 23:30 UTC (I don’t -8 LS on the Proton/electron monitors… terrestrial influences apply !), it is Sunrise on the same co-ordinates at 23:30 UTC, anybody else been constantly monitoring Northern Sumatra since May 22 ??? … sometimes, coincidental happenings are not what they appear to be !The quake I am waiting for is still Japan on 136.100’E – 33.540’N. I posted on it 4 days before the blot echo appeared in the same region, the magnifying glass effect is attracting core energy to the surface. You once said you haven’t disclosed all your techniques on this site… well, there are many strings to my bow which remain unmentioned for the present too. The blot echo has moved North into the Sea of Japan… trust me, it left a footprint before it moved on, a big quake is still there !
I’ll run another sequence on Burma tomorrow… if we end up double dating again, you will know I found something 🙂
Score: 037 ptsHookEchoJuly 14, 2017 at 2:38 am #2046Oh yes..Japan. I was thinking of the region earlier. And all those recent deep quakes, energy has to go somewhere. It looks like South America is getting ready to rumble as well. I included Chile/Argentina in my latest forecast. We are going to see a major quake, and the deep Solomon Is. event after the M6.4 PNG, wants to go East, but I can see it doubling back West. I have forecast that accurately before, and bet it will again. If Fiji pops a 4 mag., I would consider it a separate event altogether, not related to the earlier PNG. I expect a 4 to 5 mag. @ Fiji, a seismic teleconnection to Chile/Argentina. Maybe that M5.1 New Zealand is far enough North to consider to it a connection to M5.1 Argentina. I should post it because this is not the first time I have seen these regions pair off.
Score: 037 ptsHookEchoJuly 14, 2017 at 5:29 am #2048And there is the Fiji seismic teleconnection I was expecting: M4.4 – 106km SE of Ndoi Island, Fiji 2017-07-14 03:36:42 UTC at a depth of 407.0 km seismically teleconnected to M4.4 – 102km W of El Aguilar, Argentina 2017-07-14 00:24:53 UTC at a depth of 190.6 km
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115 ptslesterJuly 14, 2017 at 5:52 am #2051If you -8 LS on 22:15 UTC and 23:30 UTC, you end up with Dawn / Sunrise in North Sumatra as 22:07 UTC / 23:22 UTC. These times match co-ordinates 99.610’E – 1.655’N North Padang Lawas Regency, and places you 30 km’s NE of Padangsidempuan (5.0 epicentre). I must be getting old…OOP’s, to late 🙂
M 2.4 flux event, peaking at 02:09 UTC… Sunrise on Triple Junction, Central Indian Ocean Ridge 70.680’E – 26.520’S occurred at 02:09 UTC. The same location we covered earlier, related to the 6.3 Western Turkey event on June 12… this could get interesting !!
Score: 011 ptsCounselorJuly 14, 2017 at 3:19 pm #2054HookEcho,
Yes! I saw that quake in PNG not too long after you shared the image about the plasma bands. I was stoked to see that happen as well. I am taking a time out from forecasting again to review it, and some additional information. Since I was reviewing some information about the ocean, where I was reading up on the exposed ophiolite formations there as well, I was also fascinated by the salinity concentrated in very similar regions around the plasma bands (as well as the thicker parts). In addition, those same vertical fields you mentioned also occur on the ocean floors as well (none of this being anything new to you guys, more stuff I didn’t know and hope to adopt in my analysis 🙂 ). So, I am especially interested in sitting with the links that look at the ionosphere. However, if they have been that much of a pain for you, then I am anxious about my ability to work with it. You, Lester, and a few others, seem to be having success reading some other signs that are longer term, which is more my speed when I can sit and analyze. Hoping to make another forecast soon!
Hook- in the seismic teleconnection, is there a degree range from these paired areas in how they correspond to degree ranges of P and S waves travelling through the mantle?
Score: 037 ptsHookEchoJuly 14, 2017 at 5:27 pm #2056“However, if they have been that much of a pain for you, then I am anxious about my ability to work with it.” Oh I still worked with it, it just doesn’t pan out for as much effort and time you put into it. A daily outgoing long wave radiation anomaly map stomps on anything the ionosphere will offer as a reliable precursor, imo. But, I did do it myself, and it took up much time. just giving you fair warning. However, you may find some of my posts from the past encouraging, even though they do little good in the forecasting sense:
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https://plus.google.com/u/0/117300779230803580292/posts/RsXEwbK5mmm
https://plus.google.com/u/0/117300779230803580292/posts/ZLkk4s5aRr2
https://plus.google.com/u/0/117300779230803580292/posts/iNWi3nRPNyc
“Hook- in the seismic teleconnection, is there a degree range from these paired areas in how they correspond to degree ranges of P and S waves travelling through the mantle?” I believe it is something else entirely. But,
I will be back on later, and see what else I can dig up.37 ptsHookEchoJuly 15, 2017 at 5:04 am #2057“.. the deep Solomon Is. event after the M6.4 PNG, [the thermal energy] wants to go East, but I can see it doubling back West. I have forecast that accurately before, and bet it will again.” Sure enough, on the move back West with a deep seismic shock: M4.3 – 149km N of Lae, Papua New Guinea 2017-07-14 06:10:11 UTC at a depth of 171.6 km. Could result in another high magnitude event @ PNG, or continue to the West, Indonesia region or migrate NW up the bend into the Philippines. Hold that thought..
Some relevant info for you all:
From 1970 to 1984, there were no M7.0+ deep earthquakes in the Southwest Pacific, this was interrupted in 1985-86 by a group, but then became quiet again until 1991 coinciding with the declining solar curve started from the cycle 22 peak
After that the region has become seismically very active up until today.Deep great earthquakes (magnitude 7.0 or greater) are considered the first tangible appearance of the Earth’s outer-core discharged thermal energy, they are considered to directly reflect the activity of the outer core which is intricately interacting with the solar activity and its cycle. High magnitude deep quakes, particularly in Fiji- Southwest Pacific, most sensitively respond to the outer core activity, because the region is the site where thermal plume rises directly from the outer core according to the mantle tomography.
The Earth’s core activity has entered an active phase since 1990 as seen in the sudden appearance of great deep earthquakes after 1990, coinciding with the start of unusual behaviour of the Sun.
Score: 0115 ptslesterJuly 15, 2017 at 6:14 pm #2059HookEcho,
I ran a sequence on Burma as I suggested, the results where not encouraging… but due to current events, it has “now” got my attention. I used a different method to the one used for determining Japan. I took the times of previous seismic events as a basis of correlation and matched them with a location 10 km’s North of Hpasawng, in the Kayah Province, Southeast Burma on co-ordinates 97.286’E – 18.920’NHere’s what I came up with…
2017-06-23 21:33:28 UTC, M 5.2 South of Fiji … 176.63’W – 23.30’S
Dawn on co-ordinates 97.286’E – 18.920’N … 21:33 UTC June 232017-07-10 21:37:53 UTC, M 5.2 Ascension Island Region … 13.51’W – 7.46’S
Dawn on co-ordinates 97.286’E – 18.920’N … 21:38 UTC July 102017-07-11 12:09:17 UTC, M 5.3 Near Coast of Ecuador … 79.67’W – 0.72’N
Sunset on co-ordinates 97.286’E – 18.920’N … 12:10 UTC July 112017-07-11 13:35:56 UTC, M 5.0 Sakhalin, Russia … 142.97’E – 46.21’N
Dusk on co-ordinates 97.286’E – 18.920’N … 13:35 UTC July 112017-07-15 12:12:22 UTC, M 5.9 Sulawesi, Indonesia … 121.96’E – 0.37’N
Sunset on co-ordinates 97.286’E – 18.920’N … 12:12 UTC July 15you will note that Ascension, Ecuador and Sakhalin have shown correlation with each other in the “Here’s something different” piece above. Ecuador also been shown to have correlation with 136.100’E – 33.540’N Japan (also above). Today’s correlation is the 5.9 event in Sulawesi… the significance of this is the magnitude. Again, using my best scientific vernacular, I believe the event has left a solar footprint on this location, which will have a seismic awakening in approximately 14 days hence. Further to this, Sunset today on 121.96’E – 0.37’N Sulawesi occurred at 10:04 UTC, Sunset on co-ordinates 136.100’E – 33.540’N Japan also occurred today at 10:04 UTC !!. A final point, Ecuador and Sakhalin occurred on the same day, they are an exact match to Sunset and Dusk on this location !. There is currently (July 15) no Blot Echo signature occupying the region of Burma, it will be interesting to see if this changes over the coming days.
Is this location anywhere near your forecast areas ?
Sorry for the delay, meant to get back to you with this yesterday, I got roped into a domino session at my club… I’m much better at this than playing dominoes 🙂
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