• 115 pts
    lester
    June 29, 2020 at 2:11 pm #9145

    Elements… Sun – Moon – ATB – ATE – RLT – SLT

    ATB = Astronomical Twilight Begins … official point were night becomes day
    ATE = Astronomical Twilight Ends … official point were day becomes night
    RLT = Rising Lunar Threshold … fore-glow on horizon before Moonrise
    SLT = Setting Lunar Threshold … afterglow on horizon after Moonset

    The RLT / SLT periods average 4 minutes before and after moonrise / moonset, but this can vary in relation to orbital distance, and lateral position relative to earth. Sun and Moon positions are calculated as longitude relative to earth. And marginal difference in respect of the moon, has been calculated as within one degree of longitude.

    Players…

    2020-06-23 – 15:29:05 UTC – M 7.4 Oaxaca, Mexico… 95.901’W – 16.029’N (95’54’W – 16’00’N)
    2020-06-23 – 17:50:26 UTC – M 5.9 Guam Region … 145.538’E – 14.007’N (145’31’E – 14’00’N)
    2020-06-21 – 19:07:55 UTC – M 6.0 Iceland Region … 18.687’W – 66.389’N (10’40’W – 66’22’N)
    2020-06-18 – 12:49:53 UTC – M 7.4 Kermadec Islands … 177.838’W – 33.294’S (177’49’W – 33’16’S)
    2020-06-14 – 14:24:29 UTC – M 5.9 Eastern Turkey … 40.710’E – 39.376’N (40’41’E – 39’25’N)
    2020-06-13 – 15:51:23 UTC – M 6.6 Naze, Japan … 128.262’E – 28.939’S (128’15’E – 28’55’N)
    2020-06-04 – 08:49:39 UTC – M 6.4 Tobelo, Indonesia … 128.248’E – 2.923’N (128’14’E – 2’55’N)
    Mt Ebeko Volcano, Northern Kuril Islands region
    Mt Merapi Volcano, Central Java, Indonesia

    Tools…

    http://www.timeanddate.com
    http://www.sunrisesunsetmap.com
    http://www.fourmilab.ch

    The Idea of this hypothesis is to determine a sequence of events using the elements stated, which precede seismic and volcanic activity up to several days or weeks prior to occurrence. It is a question of “odds” weather the following sequence of events could be deemed liable for instigating subject event… within an acceptable period of time !

    Analysis…

    On 11th June at 23:51:11 UTC, the sun was located on longitude 177’49’W, therefore Solar Noon (high noon) on the Kermadec Islands epicentre… the SLT was located on the Kermadec Islands epicentre at this same time… and the SLT was also located on Mt Ebeko volcano. Mt Ebeko had erupted earlier this day at 03:24 UTC, after an inactive period from last eruption on 1st June. Next eruption after 11th June did not occur until 21st June !.

    At “12 hours later 11:51:17 UTC 12th June, it was Sunrise on the Oaxaca, Mexico epicentre, and the sun was located on longitude 2’11’E… this being the opposite longitude to 177’49’W Kermadec Islands epicentre.

    On 13th June at 11:51:30 UTC, it was again Sunrise on the Oaxaca, Mexico epicentre… the RLT was located on the Kermadec Islands epicentre… and the sun was again located on longitude 2’11’E !

    On 13th June at 18:23:53 UTC, the sun was located on longitude 95’54’W, therefore Solar Noon on the Oaxaca, Mexico epicentre… and the moon was located on longitude 177’36’W, within one degree of the Kermadec Islands epicentre.

    On 13th June at 18:52 UTC, it was Moonset on the Oaxaca, Mexico epicentre… Sunrise on the Kermadec Islands epicentre… and the ATB threshold was located on the Naze, Japan epicentre. Players list above shows M 6.6 Naze Japan event occurred exactly 3 hours before this correlation !

    On 21st June at 10:31 UTC, the ATB threshold was located on the Oaxaca, Mexico epicentre… and it was Sunset on Mt Merapi volcano in Java, Indonesia. Earlier on this day, spectacular explosions followed by a high level eruption occurred from Mt Merapi volcano at 02:40 UTC

    On 23rd June at 02:20:11 UTC, the ATE threshold was located on the Oaxaca, Mexico epicentre… it was Moonset on the M 6.0 Iceland epicentre… and the sun was located on longitude 145’31’E. Later this day, an M 5.9 event occurred in Guam, on this longitude !

    On 23rd June at 15:29:05 UTC, the M 7.4 event occurred in Oaxaca, Mexico. At “12 hours” earlier 03:29:05 UTC, the RLT was located on the Iceland epicentre… the RLT was also located on the M 5.9 Eastern Turkey epicentre… and the sun was located on longitude 128’18’E. As the player list shows, the M 6.6 Naze, Japan event and the M 6.4 Tobelo event, both occurred within 4 minutes of arc of the suns longitude at this time. The sun was on the opposite longitude of these post seismic 6+ epicentres, when the event was triggered !

    Ash column from Merapi volcano today (image: BPPTKG)

    Analysis was provided for record and reference.

    Thank you

    Score: 0
    NomadicFred
    7 pts
    NomadicFred
    January 7, 2021 at 2:00 pm #10063

    “As the player list shows, the M 6.6 Naze, Japan event and the M 6.4 Tobelo event, both occurred within 4 minutes of arc of the suns longitude at this time. The sun was on the opposite longitude of these post seismic 6+ epicentres, when the event was triggered !”

    took that sentence for me to have the “ah ha” moment.

    good luck Lester

    Fred

    Score: 0
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