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115 ptslesterJuly 4, 2020 at 7:46 pm #9187
This is a “targeted” experiment and observational exercise, the objective being to see how many moderate and significant threshold correlations occur, at one location during a period of one month. Locations used to determine said correlations include post seismic M 6+ epicentres of occurring events during the month of June, and regions associated with daily activity. Several “frequently” active volcanoes are also included in this formulation.
The San Francisco Bay Area was chosen at random, and the experiment does not imply notable seismic activity is likely to occur in this region. My methodology is able to determine threshold correlations both past, present, and future. But there are several other factors to be taken into account before potential seismic activity could be considered. The following correlations are a guide of what is to come during the month of July. But this sequence may also be accompanied by unforeseen volcanic and seismic events, which may contribute towards a greater outcome in San Francisco. As example, I finished preliminary formulation of this experiment on 30th June. On 3rd July at 01:25 UTC, an eruption occurred from Mt Ebeko volcano in the Northern Kuril Islands, Russia. At this time, it was moonrise East of Oakland, San Francisco. Later on this day at 19:24:36 UTC, an M 2.1 event occurred in the Mt Diablo region… moonrise at this epicentre occurred at 01:24 UTC. One minute makes a big difference with my method, and I can only be as accurate as the data being provided. If the volcano erupted at 01:24:30 UTC, I would probably have rounded it off to the top of the minute too !. Prior to this M 2.1 event occurring, last recorded event according to EMSC occurred on 17th June… did a volcanic correlation on this day, with this pre seismic location influence this outcome !. Future volcanic and seismic correlations will be listed in this thread.
I have calculated these correlations from coordinates 122’40’W – 38’00’N in the Kent Lake region. But for any future correlations like the example above, a deduction of 4 minutes would implicate correlation with moving west from the Mt Diablo region.
1st July 10:00 UTC – Moonset in SF – -12 hours = Sunset on the post seismic M 6.8 Antofagasta, Chile epicentre of 3rd June.
2nd July 05:30 UTC – ATE threshold located on SF – Moon located on longitude 122’22’W… -12 hours = Moonset on Mt Sakurajima Volcano in Kyushu, Japan.
6th July 04:28 UTC – Moonrise in SF – -12 hours = Sun located on longitude 65’49’W Puerto Rico.
8th July 11:02 UTC – ATB threshold located on SF – Moon located on longitude 122’19’W… -12 hours = Sunset in Puerto Rico …SLT on Mt Sakurajima volcano.
8th July 12;56 UTC – Sunrise in SF – Moonset in Puerto Rico … Moonrise on Mt Sakurajima volcano.
10th July 06:52 UTC – Moonrise in SF – -12 hours = Sunrise on post seismic M 7.4 Kermadec Islands epicentre of 18th June.
11th July 07:18 UTC – 19:18 UTC = moonrise / moonset 12 hours !
11th July 12:58 UTC – Sunrise in SF – Sun located on longitude 13’06’W i.e. Solar Noon on post seismic M 6.0 Southern Mid-Atlantic epicentre of 10th June.
12th July 11:05 UTC – ATB threshold located on SF – -12 hours = Sunset in Puerto Rico. This 12 hour window correlation occurs between 8th and 16th July.
12th July 20:16 UTC – Moonset in SF – Sun located on longitude 122’33’W … Last Quarter moon phase in progress.
13th July 12:59 UTC – Sunrise in SF – RLT located on Mt Klyuchevskoy volcano in Kamchatka… -12 hours = Moonrise on post seismic M 6.0 Southern Mid-Atlantic epicentre of 10th June.
14th July 03:33 UTC – Sunset in SF – Sun located on longitude 128’14’E i.e. Solar Noon on the post seismic M 6.6 Naze, Japan epicentre of 13th June… -12 hours = RLT on post seismic M 6.6 Naze, Japan epicentre.
14th July 08:34 UTC – Moonrise in SF – ATB threshold located on Puerto Rico.
14th July 13:00 UTC – Sunrise in SF – -12 hours = Sunset on post seismic M 7.4 Oaxaca, Mexico epicentre of 23rd June
16th July 11:08 UTC – ATB threshold located on SF – -12 hours = Moonset in SF
17th July 20:17 UTC – Sun located on longitude 122’44’W – -12 hours = RLT located on post seismic M 6.8 Antofagasta, Chile epicentre.
18th July 01:11 UTC – Moonset in SF – Moon located on longitude 128’13’E… M 6.6 Naze, Japan event occurred on longitude 128’14’E.
18th July 20:17 UTC – Sun located on longitude 122’40’W – SLT located on post seismic M 6.8 Antofagasta, Chile epicentre… -12 hours = Moonset on Mt Sakurajima volcano.
19th July 02:10 UTC – Moonset in SF – ATB threshold located on Mt Ebeko volcano.
19th July 11:50 UTC – Moonrise in SF – ATE threshold located on Mt Merapi volcano in Central Java, Indonesia.
20th July 11:13 UTC – ATB threshold located on SF – Sunrise on post seismic M 6.8 Antofagasta, Chile epicentre.
20th July 12:50 UTC – Moonrise in SF – ATE threshold located on Mt Ebeko volcano.
22nd July 11:14 UTC – ATB threshold located on SF – -12 hours = Moonset on post seismic M 6.8 Antofagasta, Chile epicentre.
23rd July 05:20 UTC – Moonset in SF – -12 hours = ATB threshold located on post seismic M 7.4 Kermadec Islands epicentre.
25th July 13:08 UTC – Sunrise in SF – -12 hours = Moonrise on post seismic M 6.6 Naze, Japan epicentre.
26th July 05:15 UTC – ATE threshold located on SF – SLT located on post seismic M 7.4 Oaxaca, Mexico epicentre.
This concludes San Francisco correlations for the month of July.
Thank you
Score: 0115 ptslesterJuly 5, 2020 at 3:45 pm #9192On 5th July, two data breaks occurred in the ACE satellite transmission. First break occurred during a penumbral eclipse of the moon between times 05:25 UTC – 06:03 UTC. The second break occurred between times 10:00 UTC – 10:23 UTC… these data breaks correspond with the following scenarios…
05:25 UTC – The SLT (Setting Lunar threshold) and Sunrise both located on coordinates 33’08’W – 57’23’N in the Reykjanes ridge region, South of Iceland. On 10th July 23:04 UTC – Sunset on Reykjanes Ridge… Sunset on Puerto Rico… -12 hours = ATB threshold located on San Francisco… Sun located on longitude 15’22’E i.e. Solar Noon on Mt Stromboli volcano in Italy on coordinates 15’12’E. On 12th July 11:05 UTC – ATB threshold located on San Francisco… Sun located on longitude 15’11’E !
06:03 UTC – Both Sunrise and Moonrise located on coordinates 35’20’W – 53’10’N Charlie-Gibbs Fracture Zone, Northern Mid-Atlantic ridge… approx 500 km’s South of Reykjanes coordinates… -12 hours = Moonrise on Mt Stromboli volcano
10:00 UTC – The RLT (Rising Lunar Threshold) was located on Mt Ebeko volcano in the Northern Kuril Islands. Mt Ebeko volcano has now erupted 4 times between 01:25 UTC 3rd July – 19:58 UTC 4th July.
10:23 UTC – ATB threshold located on Guatemala… Moonrise on Bali Island, Indonesia… -12 hours = Moonset on Bali Island. On 2nd July 20:31 UTC – Moonrise Reykjanes Ridge on stated coordinates… SLT on Bali Island, Indonesia !
6th July 04:24 UTC – Sun located on longitude 115’15’E Bali Island, Indonesia – Moonrise in San Francisco !
Shortly after the data breaks, a significant aspect change occurred in the ACE MAG data between times 11:40 UTC – 12:00 UTC, these coincide with Sunrise and Moonset in Guatemala respectively !
Score: 0115 pts115 ptslesterJuly 5, 2020 at 4:39 pm #9194On 5th July at 08:53:35 UTC, an M 5.5 event occurred South of Sand Point, Alaska. at “12 hours” earlier 20:53:35 UTC 4th July, the ATE threshold was located on Central Italy.
On 5th July at 03:36 UTC, it was sunset in the Kent Lake region of San Francisco, and the SLT plus sunset was located on coordinates 13’25’E – 42’15’N South of L’Aquila, Central Italy… Moonrise occurred on Kent Lake one minute earlier at 03:35 UTC !
Score: 0115 ptslesterJuly 5, 2020 at 6:04 pm #9196On 2nd July at 03:35:20 UTC, an M 5.1 event occurred on the Southeast Pacific Rise. At this time, it was sunrise South of L’Aquila, Central Italy… Sunset in Oakland, San Francisco… and Moonrise on the post seismic M 5.1 Isangel, Vanuatu epicentre of 30th June. The Isangel, Vanuatu event occurred at 22:10:09 UTC, at “12 hours” earlier 10:10:09 UTC 30th June, it was Sunset on Bali Island, Indonesia !
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7 ptsNomadicFredJuly 6, 2020 at 5:33 pm #9204Hey lester hope things are well with you , i have be deflating and redirecting myself and my time a little…im still around just have not been making the rounds. Ill chat later this week, working on a few things. going to have a post in a sec for Gulf of California
Score: 0115 pts115 ptslesterJuly 9, 2020 at 11:48 am #9234On 8th July at 05:19:00 UTC, an M 4.9 event occurred SSE of Rudna, Poland on coordinates 16’16’E – 51’28’N. According to EMSC records, this was the greatest magnitude event in Poland since an M 4.9 event occurred on 6th February 2010.
At 11:00:09 UTC 8th July, the sun was located on longitude 16’16’E… the ATB threshold was located in the San Francisco Bay Area… and the moon was located on longitude 121’52’W. As example, Mt Diablo in the East Bay Area, resides on longitude 151’53’W.
At 12 hours earlier 23:00:09 UTC 7th July, it was one minute past moonset on Mt Sakurajima volcano in Kyushu, Japan. At the time of this post, there has been no activity from Mt Sakurajima volcano since 09:07 UTC 28th June…day of First Quarter moon phase. At 09:07 UTC on this day, it was sunset on coordinates 140’14’E – 12’03’N pre seismic M 6.2 Micronesia epicentre of 6th July.
This correlation with a significant event in Poland, is inline with the scenario for 8th July in the T sequence listed above.
Score: 0115 ptslesterJuly 9, 2020 at 3:22 pm #9235For potential reference purposes, I conducted a brief analysis of the “last” 4+ event to occur in the San Francisco Bay Area… as per my methodology, it may shed light on future correlations. The analysis only consists of relevant / significant correlations, loading all 5+ events within one month of period in question, would require significant time, which is not warranted for a one off analysis.
On 15th October 2019 at 05:33:42 UTC, an M 4.5 event occurred in Pleasent Hill, San Francisco on coordinates 122’03’W – 37’55’N. Later on this day at 19:42:30 UTC, an M 4.7 event occurred in Tres Pinos, California on coordinates 121’16’W – 36’38’N.
On 5th October at 03:15:08 UTC, the ATE threshold (Astronomical Twilight Ends) was located in the San Francisco Bay Area… the sun was located on longitude 128’22’E… and the RLT ( Rising Lunar Threshold) was located on coordinates 125’00’E – 6’42’N. These coordinates represent the pre seismic epicentre of an M 6.4 event, which occurred in Mindanao, Philippines on 16th October at 11:37:06 UTC… the day after the San Francisco event. Further events at this Mindanao epicentre include an M 6.6 on 29th October, and an M 6.5 on 31st October. On 25th September 2019 at 23:46:43 UTC, an M 6.5 event occurred in Serum, Indonesia on coordinates 128’22’E – 3’27’S. Therefore, at 03:15:08 UTC 5th October… it was solar noon (high noon) on this post seismic epicentre.
On 7th October at 03:12:02 UTC, the ATE threshold was located in the San Francisco Bay Area… and the moon was located on longitude 121’16’W Tres Pinos. It is this correlation that is of greatest significance. Firstly, the ATE threshold and the moon correlate to both locations on the same day, and both events occurred on the same day. Secondly, the analysis can be more easily dismissed, when main focus is with pre and post seismic locations… frequency of events would be detrimental. However, the question of “odds” is key regarding “infrequent” events i.e. how often does the moon and the ATE threshold line up with San Francisco and Tres Pinos ??
My analysis description only allows me to state; ATE threshold in “San Francisco Bay Area”, as it is calculated using my model. Precise ATE / ATB minute calculation, used to be available from the USNO website (United States Naval Observatory). However, this particular service was taken offline in October 2019 for upgrades, and has not yet returned !
In my previous post, an example was given relating to the “ATB” threshold and the moon simultaneously correlating in the San Francisco Bay Area on 8th July. In October 2019, the M 4.5 event occurred 8 days after ATE / Moon correlation. Will this happen again, or will the ATB threshold be “less” influential !!
Score: 0115 ptslesterJuly 13, 2020 at 9:39 am #9253On 13th July at 08:13:26 UTC, an M 5.2 event occurred South of the Kermadec Islands. At “12 hours” earlier 20:13:26 UTC 12th July, it was Moonset in Oakland, San Francisco Bay Area… and the sun was located on longitude 121’55’W Mt Diablo region.
This correlation closely corresponds with analysis for 12th July in the first post above.
Score: 0115 ptslesterJuly 15, 2020 at 2:02 pm #9263On 15th July at 11:06 UTC, Mt Suwanose-jima volcano erupted in the Ryukyu Islands, Japan. At this time, the ATB threshold was located in the San Francisco Bay Area, and the sun was located on longitude 15’01’E, Therefore it was solar noon on Mt Etna volcano in Sicily, Italy, on longitude 14’59’E. At 12 hours later 23:06 UTC, it was moonset in the San Francisco Bay Area.
This correlation closely corresponds with analysis for “16th July” in first post above.
Score: 0115 ptslesterJuly 15, 2020 at 4:20 pm #9264On 15th July at 08:59:55 UTC, an M 5.3 event occurred in the Andreanof Islands, Alaska. At this time, it was moonrise in the San Francisco Bay Area. Combined with moonset at 23:06 UTC (previous post), this calculates as Moonrise / moonset in the Pleasant Hill / Mt Diablo regions !
At “12 hours” earlier 20:59:00 UTC, the ATB threshold was located on coordinates 120’27’E – 7’14’S post seismic M 5.7 Flores Sea epicentre of 14th July.
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