T. Allen Apr. 20th 2020 Russia/ New alert @00:40 UTC Time

[Karma: 14 pts]

Tayrance Allen

April 20, 2020 at 12:42 am #8743

Alert set for April 20th 2020 @00:40 UTC Time until April 26th @21:00 UTC Time:

Highest alert regions:
Russia- 500 km radius of Kuril’sk: 7.3 – 8.3
New Zealand- 500 km radius of Opunake: 6.8 – 7.8
Ecuador- 500 km radius of Pimampiro: 6.5 – 7.5

Moderate alert regions:
Sandwich Islands- 500 km radius of Visokoi Island: 6.2 – 7.2
West Chile Rise- 500 km radius of 36.727°S 95.883°W: 4.8 – 5.8

Score: 0

[Karma: 15 pts]

Canyonrat

April 22, 2020 at 7:30 pm #8757

Observed: M 5.3 – Kuril Islands 2020-04-22 06:51:01 (UTC) 46.543°N 153.429°E 10.0 km depth About 450km/280mls from the city Kurilsk.

Observational forecasting shows two waves in the area, one 4.0ish and the other 6.0ish. And this 5.3 is between them, makes it uncertain which wave it is.

But timing and spacing makes it look like it is from the M 6.6 – 209km W of Chichi-shima, Japan 2020-04-18 08:25:37 (UTC) 27.140°N 140.106°E 453.8 km depth, which 36 hours later struck M 6.3 – 25km SE of Ofunato, Japan 2020-04-19 20:39:05 (UTC) 38.912°N 141.932°E 38.0 km depth. When looking at the moment tensor data it had a 66% of its energy headed EES and was back from the plate boundary by about 160km/100mls. The 5.3 was back from the plate boundary by about 80km/50mls.

You are definitely looking in the right area at the right time. If your method is seeing M 7.0+ then there could be a third wave or new starting point forming in this area.

All eyes open!

This post has received 1 vote up.

Score: 1

[Karma: 14 pts]

Tayrance Allen

April 26, 2020 at 7:36 pm #8772

Alert extended April 26th 2020 @19:35 UTC Time until April 27th @00:40 UTC Time

Score: 0

[Karma: 14 pts]

Tayrance Allen

April 27, 2020 at 1:09 am #8775

Alert extended April 27th 2020 @01:05UTC Time until April 27th @21:40 UTC Time

Score: 0