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11 pts11 ptsCounselorMarch 25, 2018 at 9:41 pm #4163
Why not get distracted by the 6.4?! 🙂
Hahah not bad for a guess!? More dry British humor?? 🙂
Here is something I found distracting…
Note the depth of these quakes and the time:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/IDtjoChZXleEsJAu2
I don’t usually go into RSOE EDIS, but all the New Zealand work we are doing had looking to see where I could find some small quake activity is showing.
Score: 011 ptsCounselorMarch 25, 2018 at 1:56 pm #4159Lester,
I know I am not Ben, but I am curious to hear what he would have to say! 🙂
I think your data precedes how that energy is transitioning down into the other parts that play a factor.
Here is some of my collected screenshot data that is making me kick myself…again…over PNG:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/OiBBN4eM52vTXHfQ2
Did you see where the sun was and one of terminators? Do you see the increase in TEC on both the sunlit side and the night side after the terminator passed in the hours preeding the quake?
There are mainstream scientists now looking at the KP index more closely, and major earthquakes at 7+ (especially 8+) have noted increases in magnetic oscillation of the magnetosphere just prior to the event (which preceded by the energy that you use from the ACE feeds). This is why I have been trying to keep up with you and link what you do to some extent. Yet, you end up being dead on the spot of a quake using your method. He has noted how significant your hits have been before on his YouTube channel.
You and I end up in similar areas sometimes when I focus on the locations of moon/sun/terminators using magnetometer data alone. But, the magnetosphere is going to have a delayed response to that solar wind data that impacts us (time needed for the magnetic oscillating to occur), and the atmospheric conditions that Ben is using shows up again at most of these big quakes. But, timing/trigger is still the big sticking point.
The is model capturing 90% of the energy released at the major faults (last time I checked). And, the strong high/low convergence lines, or strong lows, tend to hover right over the these zones Just before/during/after the quake.
That is why I have mentioned the earthapot lows to you before in your misses. However, the things you have said about what your method implies about these quakes is interesting and hoping Ben will see your work as another possible tool to keep our group competitive in the coming years as mainstream science now looks to forecast quakes.
Score: 011 pts11 pts11 pts11 ptsCounselorMarch 23, 2018 at 1:30 pm #4144I can to look at something today hopefully. Don’t worry about jinxing anything since I do that enough for myself by doubting what I see elsewhere:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/EV4XT5wpBCdJb11q1
I was observing things in that spot for close to a month and then saw TEC bubbles fluctuate in a way that reminded me of the last time I successfully forecasted in the mid Atlantic ridge. However, I was eyeing other locations with Mag fluctuations recently and in disbelief that where I saw the TEC would be anywhere close to what I would have forecasted. At least I can say that I am not making this stuff up either 🙂
Score: 011 ptsCounselorMarch 20, 2018 at 6:48 pm #4137Last post for today…
I have been noting increased TEC fluctuations on the night time side near the South Island of NZ since March 10 around 1145 UTC – 1845. Here is some of the recent images just to give an example:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/ex5Kr1oFniboXzD12
I have a lot more, but just wanted to show where there may be support.
Score: 011 ptsCounselorMarch 20, 2018 at 3:43 pm #4136Oops forgot to add Taurangi (North coast at Bay of plenty) which is part of line I have that links to Hikurangi trough.
I also have a line that repeats (if one draws a line) through Nelson/seaward kaikoura range/ just west of banks peninsula… before this one it was around greymouth/Westport passing through the southern alps just inbetween of Christchurch/Timaru.
Score: 011 pts11 ptsCounselorMarch 19, 2018 at 10:01 pm #4131Sounds good to me!
I will start looking. I remember that weird set of markers I gave you for that region a while back where I was everywhere, but the main Islands themselves (Chatham rise, Auckland Islands, Kermedec Trench, and Tasman sea!).
Hoping to have something less spread out then.
Score: 011 ptsCounselorMarch 19, 2018 at 8:20 pm #4129Wow! Double T-connections sounds almost as significant as the grand T-sequences you’ve been working on.
The recent magnetic disturbances had me looking at recent spikes/relaxation points again, but trying to keep myself to areas that also, as close as I could see, share some of the main model precursors. The new moon/and shift to spring had me itching to post. 🙂
Thanks for including Bill in the other post. 🙂
Score: 011 ptsCounselorMarch 19, 2018 at 1:15 pm #4123Should have listened to your recommendation for M5-6 🙂
Wondering if that quake was at a depth to dissipate enough of that energy?
Not bad for a recent B&T! 🙂
Got a returning Blot next door to iquique, Chile! But, Mendoza, Argentina was also on the same line I was working on. Not sure how that one is looking.
Score: 011 pts11 pts11 pts11 ptsCounselorMarch 16, 2018 at 1:24 pm #4101Hey Lester, Was it a quake at triple junction/Indian ridge? Or, reunion Island? 🙂 sadly I can’t remember.
I saw a quake in San Leandro Northern California and Venezuela near Trinidad and Tobago. Wondering if there is still something coming.
I have had to be very present for my students in these last few days, and I will also be in schedule soon where I will be limiting myself from here again in the future.
I will still try to check in, maybe try to forecast on occasion. However, I may just share what I find in here with you first if you don’t mind? If it happens that one of my destinations is near you, I would rather do a B&T post. 🙂
I am doing ok otherwise and hoping you are as well. Downloaded a copy of hacksaw ridge to have a movie night one of these days. I will let you know what I think 🙂
Score: 011 pts11 ptsCounselorMarch 11, 2018 at 3:45 pm #4071Hey Lester,
Got any new info for Hollister? I am seeing an OLR image that could mean the next low that arrive in mid/north California could have potential. We approach a new moon on the 17th too with a couple of lows forecast to come through the west coast.
Wanted to know if Ted would be interested in an extension for Hollister? 🙂
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