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Viewing 25 posts - 1 through 25 (of 615 total)
  • 11 pts
    Counselor
    June 24, 2020 at 6:24 pm #9083

    Oh Lester 🙁 a month ahead again my friend.

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    11 pts
    Counselor
    June 7, 2020 at 8:27 pm #9005

    Extending this to 7 days from time of initial post.

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    11 pts
    Counselor
    June 4, 2020 at 2:58 am #8985

    M5.5 followed up by a M4 in Coso. Hopefully nothing more follows as low pressure build in that area.

    Score: 0
    11 pts
    Counselor
    May 23, 2020 at 3:59 am #8904

    Hi Lester,

    Great success… LOL. Our youngest turned 2 that day. 🙂 Good memory!

    I may have have to do a new post you guys, but I will max out this one instead.

    Mag 6+ will end on 7 days out, but I will max this out to 20 days from initial post with a Mag 7+. I may scrap this if I can come back again soon.

    Score: 0
    11 pts
    Counselor
    May 18, 2020 at 7:49 pm #8877

    Just in case this quakes in the area were foreshock activity… I am extending this watch for another 4 days. Total of 7 from the initial post.

    Score: 0
    11 pts
    Counselor
    May 18, 2020 at 6:49 pm #8876

    Oh cool… Btw, 40th anniversary of Mt. St. Helen’s last major eruption!

    Score: 0
    11 pts
    Counselor
    May 18, 2020 at 3:08 pm #8872

    Well… a 5.5 252 KM west of this location is a solid miss. 🙂

    Hopefully, someone in here got this one?

    Score: 0
    11 pts
    Counselor
    May 16, 2020 at 10:00 pm #8860

    Hi Lester, I know that’s not true 🙂

    You, and T. Allen seem to be trading off in the big room anyway. That can’t be by chance. 🙂

    Canyonrat… yes, that’s it…and it is the anomaly page mentioned in some of Ben’s forecasts as well. The image on 5/12 shows something closer to Nevada before it shifts again some more.

    Score: 0
    11 pts
    Counselor
    May 15, 2020 at 8:26 pm #8844

    Oh I forgot to mention the OLR maps is part of the review too, but that is also part of Ben’s model too.

    If you look at the OLR PSD map room at NOAA, there is an interesting area on the current weekly set of maps right around tonopah. 5/10 and 5/11.

    • This reply was modified 3 years, 11 months ago by Counselor.
    • This reply was modified 3 years, 11 months ago by Counselor.
    Score: 0
    11 pts
    Counselor
    May 15, 2020 at 6:10 pm #8842

    It was a lot of long term tracking, but I was mostly keeping to Ben’s model. Where I was trying to drill down was through observing the low pressure patterns, many smaller quakes occurring at deeper than 10 km, reviewing the M4 and M5 quakes that surrounded the area, looking at the quake history that occurred during solar cycle min/max, looking at rain/snowpack information too… Even tried to monitor when phi angle was shifting to see where in the western US would show an uptick on average as that phi angle shift occurred, as well major planet alignments which I have taken more seriously for this region lately as it related to my timing recently.

    Then, I got side tracked by what looked like more immediate area closer to the coastline, but you will notice many of my previous California forecasts were focused on the backside of the sierras…

    Score: 0
    11 pts
    Counselor
    May 15, 2020 at 2:36 pm #8837

    Ah… Tonopah, Nevada. Not too far from Fallon! Although not an official forecast from just my mention of it above, but hopefully someone had it?

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    11 pts
    Counselor
    May 11, 2020 at 5:59 am #8809

    Yes, definite kudos Canyonrat!

    Either of you two eyeing Dixie Valley, near Fallon, Nevada?

    Score: 0
    11 pts
    Counselor
    May 8, 2020 at 9:14 pm #8802

    So, extending this watch for two more days. Total of 7 days from the initial post.

    Hey Lester and Canyonrat! 🙂

    Score: 0
    11 pts
    Counselor
    May 3, 2020 at 11:03 pm #8789

    Correction: starting with 5 days instead of 3.

    Score: 0
    11 pts
    Counselor
    April 11, 2020 at 5:29 pm #8678

    Just for the sake of concern about pressure building up for this area after that magnitude 5 near Mono Lake/June Lake, CA…

    I will just extend this watch for the max of 20 days from initial post with magnitude potential at 7+.

    Hopefully you guys are getting some good information on this action right now.

    • This reply was modified 4 years ago by Counselor.
    Score: 0
    11 pts
    Counselor
    April 11, 2020 at 4:02 pm #8676

    Hey Lester and Canyonrat,

    Looks like the spot I forecasted back on March 14 popped at 5.3 today. It’s too bad I can’t put in more time for this like I was for the July quake I forecasted last year.

    I hope to come back again to help soon. 🙂

    Score: 0
    11 pts
    Counselor
    April 7, 2020 at 12:09 am #8632

    I am extending this watch period for 4 more days.

    Keep up your solid work Canyonrat! Always nice to see more people putting up forecasts. I don’t visit as often as I would like to, but the group in here is awesome!

    Hello to all!

    Score: 0
    11 pts
    Counselor
    March 21, 2020 at 1:46 pm #6892

    Extending this forecast for an added 7 days for a total of 14 days from the initial forecast. Also, adjusting the potential to M7+. There was a M4.5 in Indian Hills, NV (just outside of Carson City, NV) that is right on my radius marker of 250 KM from Big Pine, CA (Owens Valley). Worries over it as being a foreshock.

    Score: 0
    11 pts
    Counselor
    March 21, 2020 at 4:57 am #6890

    Yes, the family is doing well. 🙂 How about you?

    Score: 0
    11 pts
    Counselor
    March 21, 2020 at 2:11 am #6887

    Hey Lester,

    Is this a hit?

    Score: 0
    11 pts
    Counselor
    November 11, 2019 at 3:43 pm #6596

    Well… maybe to add to the weirdness. I will extend my watch for at least another 7 days.

    🙂 thanks again for all your adds to my post, Lester.

    • This reply was modified 4 years, 5 months ago by Counselor.
    Score: 0
    11 pts
    Counselor
    November 8, 2019 at 2:21 pm #6585

    Thanks for all you data, Lester! 🙂 Another set of 3.3 quakes back to back this morning. With all the links your making on this thread, I will be finding it hard not to keep checking on different sites for information today. Wish I could stay in here longer. Thanks again.

    Score: 0
    11 pts
    Counselor
    November 7, 2019 at 2:49 pm #6574

    Good to see you too Lester!

    back to back M3.3 with clustering at Ventura, CA. Hoping this is going to be isolated, but similar clustering took place on the Garlock fault prior to the two big quakes in ridgecrest, CA. My above watch is still active. I will say this zone is now higher risk for an M6+ for a 250 KM radius around Oxnard, CA.

    • This reply was modified 4 years, 5 months ago by Counselor.
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    11 pts
    Counselor
    October 15, 2019 at 8:49 pm #6519

    Haha… no sir! This I will do, when I can, for free. Not nearly as adept at this as I would like so I will keep checking in :-). Just want to be of help.

    A 4.7 near Holister since this post! One of your spots from before.

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    11 pts
    Counselor
    August 2, 2019 at 2:50 am #6300

    Terminating watch.

    Score: 0
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