HookEcho

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HookEcho

June 6, 2017 at 9:20 pm #1733

Likely planted by another youtube “earthquake forecaster” or one of his minions.

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HookEcho

June 6, 2017 at 6:50 pm #1731

Perfect example of Westernly earthquake migration for these regions. PNG deep, followed by (slightly SW) shallower, higher magnitude PNG quake. Then the next set (which just so happens to be to the West of the first set) we have the deep Indonesia event, followed by the shallower, higher magnitude event.
Note: This is not always the case, like when there is a large amount of movement, it becomes a clusterf*ck and it becomes more difficult to figure out which seismic events are related..sometimes the energy travels up more toward the N/NW, or decides to break pattern to keep us on our toes, but most of the time we can bet on this direction of transmigration from related deep to shallow for these regions.
https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B83EkoitOiKQUlpuSTRUdDJWNjg/view?usp=sharing

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HookEcho

June 6, 2017 at 6:47 pm #1730

Richard- Perfect example of Westernly earthquake migration for these regions. PNG deep, followed by (slightly SW) shallower, higher magnitude PNG quake. Then the next set (which just so happens to be to the West of the first set) we have the deep Indonesia event, followed by the shallower, higher magnitude event.
Note: This is not always the case, like when there is a large amount of movement, it becomes a clusterf*ck and it becomes more difficult to figure out which seismic events are related..sometimes the energy travels up more toward the N/NW, or decides to break pattern to keep us on our toes, but most of the time we can bet on this direction of transmigration from related deep to shallow for these regions.
https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B83EkoitOiKQUlpuSTRUdDJWNjg/view?usp=sharing

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HookEcho

June 6, 2017 at 9:07 am #1728

Well, thus far: M4.6 – 40km NNW of Finschhafen, Papua New Guinea 2017-06-06 07:22:59 UTC at a depth of 71.3 km. The Westernly direction of migration correct (Ok, can be considered SLIGHTLY SouthWest) and within my alert zone. but lacking in magnitude. Still plenty of time to go in this watch period…
Please note: Imo, knowing the most likely direction of energy transmigration for a particular region is a key factor to the advancement of our forecasting. Now, there is the possibility this shallower, slightly higher magnitude follow up event to the West of the initial deep seismic shock that occurred earlier in PNG, may be all we will see during this watch period. However, I am pleased I was able to snag this example before the deep seismic shock that occurred near Fiji set off a follow up that would be to the East of PNG, potentially putting into question my claims.
Map: https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B83EkoitOiKQNFdtUVpGMGxkU0U/view?usp=sharing

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HookEcho

June 6, 2017 at 12:44 am #1726

Humbled. WE made this possible. Even the 0bservers that did directly contribute, their encouragement and support kept me going when I was ready to give up and throw in the towel. Thank you.

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[HookEcho]

HookEcho

June 6, 2017 at 12:29 am #1719

Hello friend. I have noticed your migration is to the East from the PNG/Solomon Is. region. Please note the majority of the time the migration from initial deep seismic shocks that result in a higher magnitude earthquake is to the W/NW. Here is a list of some past predictions [before things turned goofy, and this extended earthquake lull] that you may find useful. Also note, there were a few, but misses were minimal.
Partial List Of Past Earthquake Predictions: https://docs.google.com/document/d/1sWvbqqzfp6Mx6i2AxRzSaE4xfznib2gnuescSCD6ixI/edit?usp=sharing

• This reply was modified 6 years, 11 months ago by HookEcho.
• This reply was modified 6 years, 11 months ago by HookEcho.
• This reply was modified 6 years, 11 months ago by HookEcho.

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HookEcho

June 4, 2017 at 8:02 pm #1706

Ben-“Really like how you are using one thread for all these.” Yes. This way we can analyze the method together,I have very likely missed a few but grab them when I notice. I personally think there is something to this. Possibly Ley lines, some currently undiscovered ionospheric/atmosphreric/lithospheric seisemic teleconnection..we should do a videeo/podcast that includes this soon.

• This reply was modified 6 years, 11 months ago by HookEcho.
• This reply was modified 6 years, 11 months ago by HookEcho.

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HookEcho

June 4, 2017 at 7:30 pm #1704

M5.1 – 139km E of Neiafu, Tonga 2017-06-04 00:20:53 UTC 10.0 km
M4.3 – 87km SW of Copiapo, Chile 2017-06-04 00:07:28 UTC at a depth of 29.3 km.
M4.4 – 232km ESE of Lambasa, Fiji 2017-06-04 09:53:55 UTC at depth of 550.1 km.
Migration map: https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B83EkoitOiKQWlh0ZFNzU0l4d00/view?usp=sharing

• This reply was modified 6 years, 11 months ago by HookEcho.

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HookEcho

June 2, 2017 at 6:19 am #1685

Hello friend. This is the section where we post our earthquake forecast..your post above is off topic and does not really belong. I would actually consider this SPAM. Please Don’t Litter Help Keep Our Community Clean

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HookEcho

June 2, 2017 at 2:29 am #1683

Alert Map update 02:27:56 UTC Friday, June 2, 2017:https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B83EkoitOiKQdWY4dzhpT0xmREU/view?usp=sharing

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HookEcho

June 1, 2017 at 9:23 pm #1681

M5.0 – 104km ESE of Hirara, Japan 2017-05-30 06:20:15 UTC at a depth of 10.0 km.
M5.2 – 198km N of Sola, Vanuatu 2017-05-30 10:24:44 UTC at a depth of 267.9 km.

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HookEcho

May 30, 2017 at 2:02 am #1664

If a hit occurs in the Japan region, there is also the potential for a seismic event within a magnitude in the Vanuatu region within 24 hours of the hit, testing the Earthquake Migration Global Pattern. Note: The test of this pattern can also have the Vanuatu region quake occur first before the Japan seismic event.
Migration Map: https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B83EkoitOiKQUjg4MUlJUXBISVU/view?usp=sharing

• This reply was modified 6 years, 11 months ago by HookEcho.

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HookEcho

May 22, 2017 at 3:39 am #1626

M4.6 – 162km E of Miyako [Off East Coast of Honshu], Japan 2017-05-21 05:05:30 UTC at a depth of 10.0 km
M4.9 – 93km S of Isangel, Vanuatu 2017-05-21 07:10:37 UTC at a depth of 83.2 km.
(M4.8 – 116km SW of Isangel, Vanuatu 2017-05-21 09:26:17 UTC) at a depth of 10.0 km.
Migration Map: https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B83EkoitOiKQUjg4MUlJUXBISVU/view?usp=sharing

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HookEcho

May 21, 2017 at 4:39 am #1620

Factors:
Blot Echoes.
Within 5 days of New Moon.
Basis on short term study focusing on the relationship between lunations and the rate of earthquakes greater than M6.0.
New moons did indicate that there was a correlation between the number of earthquakes and the period prior to a new moon.
this correlation was significant at the 95% confidence level. The P-Value is 0.047303. The result is significant at p < 0.05.
Conclusion:
Earthquakes generally tend to increase as the new moon approaches,
New moon/earthquakes graph:
https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B83EkoitOiKQYjJoZ3hObW1vbUU/view?usp=sharing

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HookEcho

May 17, 2017 at 12:24 am #1598

On average, and perhaps if we exclude influence from atmospheric pressure zones..there seems to be a general short term trend of Southern migration. My initial thought for the post was, will the next annual “significant magnitude” epicenter for South America be located even further South, or/when will the pattern break or reset?

• This reply was modified 7 years ago by HookEcho.

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HookEcho

May 16, 2017 at 11:51 pm #1595

M5.1 – South of the Fiji Islands 2017-05-16 15:29:14 UTC at a depth of 208.7 km
M4.6 – 31km W of Santa Lucia, Ecuador 2017-05-16 15:59:17 UTC at a depth of 56.9 km
(M5.4 – 61km ENE of Tambo, Peru 2017-05-16 17:09:06 UTC) at a depth of 10.0 km
Migration Map: https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B83EkoitOiKQTGJ1NXRLZDZ6NUU/view?usp=sharing

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HookEcho

May 6, 2017 at 1:37 pm #1506

M4.6 – 64km NNE of Isangel, Vanuatu 2017-05-05 19:33:05 UTC at a depth of 243.0 km.
M4.3 – 132km WSW of Iwanai, Japan 2017-05-06 01:45:41 UTC at a depth of 224.5 km.
Migration Map 3: https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B83EkoitOiKQUjg4MUlJUXBISVU/view?usp=sharing

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HookEcho

May 1, 2017 at 1:26 am #1478

Note: Forecast seismic event could potentially occur and transmigrate to the South, extending into Northern Chile.

• This reply was modified 7 years ago by HookEcho.

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HookEcho

April 30, 2017 at 12:56 am #1466

M5.0 – 15km S of Agrihan, Northern Mariana Islands 2017-04-29 23:49:19 UTC at a depth of 213.1 km.
Magnitude range:6.0 – M6.5
Duration: 48 hours Beginning at 23:49:19 UTC, 2017-04-29.
Alert Map: https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B83EkoitOiKQNHhPQXhLeVJHTEE/view?usp=sharing

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HookEcho

April 30, 2017 at 12:21 am #1465

Additional Factors: M4.6 – 277km NW of Saumlaki, Indonesia 2017-04-29 22:17:04 UTC at a depth of 155.4 km
Approaching solar sector boundary crossing transitioning from negative to positive expected.
The distribution of M>6.3 earthquakesdepending on the time intervals from the day of the IMF sign change
(772 earthquakes observed all over the Earth in 1973-1992 are included): https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B83EkoitOiKQRmZpMWplZDk3UUk/view?usp=sharing

• This reply was modified 7 years ago by HookEcho.

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HookEcho

April 28, 2017 at 3:43 am #1455

Short term study we did focusing on the relationship between lunations and the rate of earthquakes greater than 6.0.
What this study does is analyze whether earthquakes increase during the five days before a lunation, or if there is no effect. There are 203 periods of 5 days each where for each 5 day period the sum of the number of quakes that occurred during that period were compared with an increase in quakes as proposed during these periods. The New moons did indicate that there was a correlation between the number of earthquakes and the period prior to a new moon.
this correlation was significant at the 95% confidence level.

Conclusion:
Earthquakes generally tend to increase as the new moon approaches, but the full moons have no significant effect.
[Graphs linked below]

Statistics:
For New Moons:
R Score:
N:

Significance Level:
0.01
0.05
0.10
The P-Value is 0.047303. The result is significant at p < 0.05.

X Values
∑ = 390
Mean = 1.921
∑(X – Mx)2 = SSx = 624.739

Y Values
∑ = 140
Mean = 0.69
∑(Y – My)2 = SSy = 463.448

X and Y Combined
N = 203
∑(X – Mx)(Y – My) = 75.034

R Calculation
r = ∑((X – My)(Y – Mx)) / √((SSx)(SSy))

r = 75.034 / √((624.739)(463.448)) = 0.1394

Meta Numerics (cross-check)
r = 0.1394 Key

X: X Values
Y: Y Values
Mx: Mean of X Values
My: Mean of Y Values
X – Mx & Y – My: Deviation scores
(X – Mx)2 & (Y – My)2: Deviation Squared
(X – Mx)(Y – My): Product of Deviation Scores

For Full Moons:
Result Details & Calculation

X Values
∑ = 390
Mean = 1.921
∑(X – Mx)2 = SSx = 624.739

Y Values
∑ = 136
Mean = 0.67
∑(Y – My)2 = SSy = 452.887

X and Y Combined
N = 203
∑(X – Mx)(Y – My) = 14.719

R Calculation
r = ∑((X – My)(Y – Mx)) / √((SSx)(SSy))

r = 14.719 / √((624.739)(452.887)) = 0.0277

Meta Numerics (cross-check)
r = 0.0277 Key

R Score:
N:
Significance Level:
0.01
0.05
0.10
The P-Value is 0.694835. The result is not significant at p < 0.10.

For both New moons and full moons as peaks:
R Score:
N:
Significance Level:
0.01
0.05
0.10
The P-Value is 0.194167. The result is not significant at p < 0.10.

New Moon as Peaks and Full Moons as detractors:

R Score:
N:
Significance Level:
0.01
0.05
0.10
The P-Value is 0.173043. The result is not significant at p < 0.10.

Full moon/earthquakes:
https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B83EkoitOiKQd3dDY2pRNHVjVDA/view?usp=sharing

New moon/earthquakes:
https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B83EkoitOiKQYjJoZ3hObW1vbUU/view?usp=sharing

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HookEcho

April 27, 2017 at 3:08 pm #1452

Very wise to include the New Moon as a factor, a five day interval. I cannot wait to join you all and participate in more in discussions in a few weeks. ~Scott

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HookEcho

April 25, 2017 at 1:38 am #1400

Great job! It appears you all are getting the hang of this. Keep it up 🙂

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HookEcho

April 25, 2017 at 1:31 am #1399

Ya, I located your post earlier Tayrance, Good job.

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HookEcho

April 23, 2017 at 12:23 am #1370

More very recent examples:
M5.2 – 23km W of La Puerta de San Jose, Argentina 2017-04-20 21:24:26 UTC at a depth of 114.3 km.
M5.4 – 112km SE of Pangai, Tonga 2017-04-20 22:59:22 UTC at a depth of 10.0 km.
Migration Map: https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B83EkoitOiKQWlh0ZFNzU0l4d00/view?usp=sharing

M4.7 – 153km W of Havelu, Tonga 2017-04-22 22:33:20 UTC at a depth of 251.2 km.
M4.9 – 48km W of Valparaiso, Chile 2017-04-22 22:46:42 UTC at a depth of 10.6 km.
Migration Map: https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B83EkoitOiKQWlh0ZFNzU0l4d00/view?usp=sharing

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