Brief Communication: Correlation of
global earthquake rates with temperature
and sunspot cycle
Abstract
We studied the complex and non-stationary records of global earthquake employing
the robust statistical and spectral techniques to understand the patterns, processes and
periodicity. Singular Spectral Analysis (SSA) and correlation methods are used to quantify the nature of principle dynamical processes of global annual earthquake rates. The SSA decomposes the principle component of earthquake rates (first mode), which suggests that there is a linear increase in the yearly earthquake number from 1975 to 2005 accounting for 93 % variance and may be identified with the earth’s internal dynamical
processes. Superimposed on this monotonic trend, there is an 11 years cyclic variation (second and third modes) accounting for 5 % variance, which may corresponds to the well-known solar cycle. The remaining 2 % higher order fluctuating components appears to be associated with artificial recharge and natural triggering forces (reservoir, tidal triggering etc.). The correlation study indicates that there is strong positive and
negative correlation among the global earthquake rates with surface air temperature and sunspot numbers respectively. Interesting coupling mechanisms do exist, in which atmospheric circulations perturbed by the abrupt temperature variability might change
the torques/momentum of inertia (earth’s angular momentum) of the earth and thereby may offer the required inputs to trigger earthquake activities at the “critical phases”. Full Article:https://www.nat-hazards-earth-syst-sci-discuss.net/2/2851/2014/nhessd-2-2851-2014.pdf
I haven’t focused on your thread as of yet, just skimmed over it. As I have been quite busy as well.
You already started the clock? Ok, I will try and find the time later this evening to pick my 5.
Btw, I do not work in a dishonorable fashion. I will avoid your post and see if we end up with the same regions.
Then we can properly adjust from that point.
20 days? Better yet, If I have 20 days I will name 5 regions that I believe will hit M5+ with the epicenters within 200 miles. If I correctly forecast 3 out of the 5 it will be considered a success and 4 or 5 for 5 we shall have a ceremony in my honor, and be crowned Grand Poobah.
“forecast within a 200 mile radius in New Zealand takes effort” Really? NZ is only like what, 250 miles wide? When I get back online I will forecast the next 2 most likely areas to be hit with an above M4 eq in New Zealand, no maths required. We shall see if I am correct. (just for fun)
It appears incomplete, I was likely short on time or on my way to work. I have all sorts of them and various notes in my drive, I should go through them and review. I may have forgotten something of value.
This reply was modified 6 years, 9 months ago by HookEcho.
M4.9 – 38km SSE of Los Andes, Chile 017-08-21 12:02:24 UTC at a depth of 98.1 km M4.9 – 124km ENE of Neiafu, Tonga 2017-08-21 12:11:01 UTC at a depth of 10.0 km M4.9 – 55km S of Domartang, China 2017-08-21 01:12:14 UTC at a depth of 10.0 km
This reply was modified 6 years, 9 months ago by HookEcho.
This reply was modified 6 years, 9 months ago by HookEcho. Reason: ````````````````````````````````````````````````````````
Well, it seems I may have a winner with the “Peak Times” add-on.
I had noticed Ben had Guatemala starred on his 24 hr prediction map.
I am not sure if he had known that Guatemala was likely going to shake based off the Sun/Moon current conjunction point, (the region correlates very wel) or other factors. I didn’t get around to asking as he was at the EU conference and I was blowing up his phone the entire evening as it was.
I gave a set of peak times in regards to Guatemala and Chile both being starred.
Top quakes of the day, M5.1 Peru (I missed by 14 minutes) and my main focal point:
M5.1 Guatemala (I missed by only 3 minutes).
INITIAL TEST RUN COMPLETE
PROCEED….
However, I am going about any further testing in “Silent Mode.”
Which I may not even be updating here on this website, I have to speak with Ben again after he rests up and how he wants to go about this.
All eye’s are on the both of us.
As usual..
M4.6 – 73km W of San Antonio de los Cobres, Argentina 2017-08-16 15:49:31 UTC at a depth of 153.7 km M4.5 – 126km ENE of Ndoi Island, Fiji 2017-08-16 22:35:52 UTC at a depth of 496.7 km
See, I work the sky too..I just stay locked and focused on a precursor until they take my toys away and I move on to the next.
By them subjecting me to such atrocities I become more versatile.
Actually I just wanted enough from the South America station to be able to write an article if I so desire on seismo- ionospheric couplings.
They can have their dumb monitor back.
And Lester..DUDE.
Counselor is grown just like the rest of us.
.
